VIRCVirco Mfg. CorporationConsumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliancesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.17 · now $6.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VIRC has typically landed between $5.20 and $7.61 — a range of −15.8% to +23.3% from the issuance price $6.17.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where VIRC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$5.2worst · -15.8%$7.61best · +23.3%
  • now $6.17 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.15 (-0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.78–$6.51
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.2–$7.61
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2007-11-06−52.2%−55.0%+1.0%
2007-11-07−51.3%−55.5%+0.0%
2007-11-05−49.9%−54.3%+2.7%
3 best
2023-11-28+91.6%+0.0%+91.6%
2023-11-29+88.4%+0.0%+91.3%
2023-11-27+87.8%−1.4%+87.8%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+3.6%
n=20
Feb
35%
−1.9%
n=20
Mar
30%
−2.5%
n=20
Apr
35%
−2.1%
n=20
May
55%
+2.8%
n=20
Jun
70%
+5.9%
n=20
Jul
45%
+1.0%
n=20
Aug
35%
−1.8%
n=20
Sep
30%
+3.3%
n=20
Oct
60%
+2.8%
n=20
Nov
45%
−1.2%
n=20
Dec
55%
+3.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$9$52026-09-15: 1 insider purchase, $18K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A2026-07-16: 1 insider purchase, $4K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A2026-07-15: 1 insider purchase, $31K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A2026-07-09: 1 insider purchase, $30 — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A2026-07-08: 1 insider purchase, $48K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A2026-06-29: 1 insider purchase, $8K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A2026-06-11: 2 insider purchases, $27K — VIRTUE ROBERT A …2026-06-09: 1 insider purchase, $8K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A2026-04-15: 2 insider purchases, $74K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A, Lind Robert R2026-04-14: 3 insider purchases, $43K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A, VIRTUE ROBERT A …2026-04-13: 1 insider purchase, $2K — RICHARDSON BRADLEY C2026-04-10: 2 insider purchases, $27K — VIRTUE ROBERT A, RICHARDSON BRADLEY C2026-01-13: 1 insider purchase, $16K — VIRTUE ROBERT A2026-01-07: 1 insider purchase, $13K — RICHARDSON BRADLEY C2025-10-17: 1 insider purchase, $96K — VIRTUE DOUGLAS A2025-10-16: 1 insider purchase, $35K — VIRTUE ROBERT A2025-10: 2 open-market purchases, $130K2026-01: 2 open-market purchases, $29K2026-04: 8 open-market purchases, $147K2026-06: 4 open-market purchases, $43K2026-07: 4 open-market purchases, $83K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $18K↑ buys↓ salesdirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-09-15, filed same daydirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-07-16, filed same daydirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-07-09, filed same daydirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-06-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector VIRTUE ROBERT A — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector VIRTUE ROBERT A — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-04-15, filed same daydirector Lind Robert R — Purchase on 2026-04-15, filed same daydirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2026-04-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector VIRTUE ROBERT A — Purchase on 2026-04-14, filed same daydirector VIRTUE ROBERT A — Purchase on 2026-04-14, filed same daydirector RICHARDSON BRADLEY C — Purchase on 2026-04-13, filed same daydirector VIRTUE ROBERT A — Purchase on 2026-04-10, filed 3 days after the tradedirector RICHARDSON BRADLEY C — Purchase on 2026-04-10, filed 3 days after the tradedirector VIRTUE ROBERT A — Purchase on 2026-01-13, filed same daydirector RICHARDSON BRADLEY C — Purchase on 2026-01-07, filed same daydirector VIRTUE DOUGLAS A — Purchase on 2025-10-17, filed same daydirector VIRTUE ROBERT A — Purchase on 2025-10-16, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $6.10$18K+0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open897,408Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-16VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase600 @ $6.00$4K+0.1% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open894,408Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase5,140 @ $6.00$31K+0.6% of holding−0.9%not yet — horizon still open893,808Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-09VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase5 @ $6.00$30+0.0% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open888,668Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-08VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase8,083 @ $6.00$48K+0.9% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open888,663Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase1,400 @ $6.00$8K+0.2% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open880,580Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11VIRTUE ROBERT AdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $6.16$15K+0.5% of holding−3.5%not yet — horizon still open504,324Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11VIRTUE ROBERT AdirectorPurchase1,800 @ $6.31$11K+0.4% of holding−3.5%not yet — horizon still open506,124Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-09VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase1,314 @ $6.00$8K+0.1% of holding+1.7%not yet — horizon still open879,180Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-15VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase11,678 @ $6.09$71K+1.3% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open877,866Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-15Lind Robert RdirectorPurchase500 @ $6.07$3K+0.4% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open119,890Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-14VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase4,349 @ $6.07$26K+0.5% of holding−7.4%not yet — horizon still open866,188Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-14VIRTUE ROBERT AdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $6.22$12K+0.4% of holding−7.4%not yet — horizon still open501,824Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-14VIRTUE ROBERT AdirectorPurchase700 @ $6.22$4K+0.1% of holding−7.4%not yet — horizon still open499,824Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-13RICHARDSON BRADLEY CdirectorPurchase400 @ $5.63$2K+1.0% of holding−4.5%not yet — horizon still open39,754Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-10VIRTUE ROBERT AdirectorPurchase3,300 @ $5.52$18K+0.7% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open499,124Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-10RICHARDSON BRADLEY CdirectorPurchase1,600 @ $5.59$9K+4.2% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open39,354Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-13VIRTUE ROBERT AdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $6.32$16K+0.5% of holding+0.4%−12.3%495,824Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-07RICHARDSON BRADLEY CdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $6.50$13K+5.6% of holding+0.0%−11.5%37,754Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-17VIRTUE DOUGLAS AdirectorPurchase13,022 @ $7.34$96K+1.5% of holding−9.7%−22.5%861,839Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-16VIRTUE ROBERT AdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $6.96$35K+1.0% of holding−2.6%−18.6%493,324Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-14VIRTUE ROBERT AdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $8.15$16K+0.4% of holding+0.4%−31.4%488,324Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

8 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-16RICHARDSON BRADLEY CdirectorAward / grant12,09651,850Form 4
2026-06-16Lind Robert RdirectorAward / grant8,064127,954Form 4
2026-06-16Winkler AgnieszkadirectorAward / grant8,06494,342Form 4
2026-06-16LEVRA CRAIG LdirectorAward / grant6,048121,272Form 4
2025-06-17Winkler AgnieszkadirectorAward / grant6,13486,278Form 4
2025-06-17Lind Robert RdirectorAward / grant6,134119,390Form 4
2025-06-17RICHARDSON BRADLEY CdirectorAward / grant6,13435,754Form 4
2025-06-17LEVRA CRAIG LdirectorAward / grant4,601115,224Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.