VIA · TickerCove

VIAVia Transportation, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.62 · now $26.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VIA has typically landed between $18.12 and $34.85 — a range of −31.9% to +30.9% from the issuance price $26.62.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

233 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-09-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$26.62 · 33% of range

$13.31 low$53.93 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−7.3%

typical move · IQR 32.0%

−31.9%worst (p90)+30.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where VIA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $26.62 (+0.0%)
typical $24.69 (-7.3%)
middle 50% $20.43–$28.95
90% range $18.12–$34.85

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 233 windows spanning 2025-09-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-11-12	−41.0%	−41.0%	+0.0%
2026-01-22	−40.6%	−40.6%	+0.0%
2025-10-31	−39.1%	−39.1%	+0.9%
3 best
2026-07-23	+58.0%	+0.0%	+58.0%
2026-07-24	+55.1%	+0.0%	+55.1%
2026-07-22	+51.8%	−2.4%	+51.8%

233 overlapping windows · 2025-09-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~1 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

−19.9%

n=1

Feb

−26.1%

n=1

Mar

−12.7%

n=1

Apr

100%

+1.4%

n=1

May

100%

+0.1%

n=1

Jun

100%

+19.1%

n=1

Jul

100%

+12.1%

n=1

Aug

100%

+37.3%

n=1

Sep

−4.7%

n=1

Oct

100%

+11.1%

n=1

Nov

−34.8%

n=1

Dec

−16.7%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-11	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Purchase	10,080 @ $24.74	$249K	+33.1% of holding	+7.7%	not yet — horizon still open	40,514	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Dinur Arnon	director	Purchase	40,000 @ $22.25	$890K	+391.6% of holding	+12.7%	not yet — horizon still open	50,214	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Dinur Arnon	director	Purchase	4,780 @ $22.80	$109K	+88.0% of holding	+12.7%	not yet — horizon still open	10,214	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16	Ramot Daniel	director	Purchase	3,571 @ $14.00	$50K	+0.1% of holding	+27.3%	not yet — horizon still open	2,420,957	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-16	Fain Clara	officer	Purchase	714 @ $14.00	$10K	+0.1% of holding	+27.3%	not yet — horizon still open	654,073	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12	Ramot Daniel	director	Purchase	3,333 @ $14.94	$50K	+0.1% of holding	+21.8%	not yet — horizon still open	2,417,386	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-12	Fain Clara	officer	Purchase	666 @ $15.00	$10K	+0.1% of holding	+21.8%	not yet — horizon still open	653,359	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-09	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $14.70	$368K	+460.1% of holding	+19.7%	not yet — horizon still open	30,434	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15	Ramot Daniel	director	Sale	500,000 @ $43.10	$21.6M	−17.2% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	2,414,053	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	153,444 @ $43.10	$6.6M	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	2,026,270	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Sale	150,000 @ $43.10	$6.5M	−19.2% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	630,434	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	135,339 @ $43.10	$5.8M	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	1,787,179	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	48,160 @ $43.10	$2.1M	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	635,959	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Abrams Erin	officer	Sale	25,000 @ $43.10	$1.1M	−17.1% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	121,014	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	24,489 @ $43.10	$1.1M	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	323,375	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	19,768 @ $43.10	$852K	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	261,032	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	3,662 @ $43.10	$158K	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	48,344	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	2,717 @ $43.10	$117K	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	35,870	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	580 @ $43.10	$25K	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	7,663	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Sale	486 @ $43.10	$21K	−7.0% of holding	−8.0%	−73.7%	6,425	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

249 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-18	Levine Matthew	officer	Award / grant	159,872	159,872	Form 4
2026-02-12	Fain Clara	officer	Option exercise	4,000	652,693	Form 4
2026-02-12	Fain Clara	officer	Option exercise	4,000	40,860	Form 4
2025-12-31	Abrams Erin	officer	Option exercise	5,938	127,369	Form 4
2025-12-31	Abrams Erin	officer	Option exercise	417	121,431	Form 4
2025-12-31	Abrams Erin	officer	Option exercise	5,938	0	Form 4
2025-12-31	Abrams Erin	officer	Option exercise	417	0	Form 4
2025-12-18	Fain Clara	officer	Option exercise	5,000	648,693	Form 4
2025-12-18	Fain Clara	officer	Option exercise	5,000	44,860	Form 4
2025-12-04	Fain Clara	officer	Option exercise	5,000	643,693	Form 4
2025-12-04	Fain Clara	officer	Option exercise	8,259	638,693	Form 4
2025-12-04	Fain Clara	officer	Option exercise	5,000	49,860	Form 4
2025-12-04	Fain Clara	officer	Option exercise	8,259	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Nix William Peter	director	Conversion	135,728	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Nix William Peter	director	Conversion	625,124	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Exor N.V.	director	Conversion	7,729,654	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	472	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	571	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	4,618	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	194,868	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	132,012	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	41,432	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	8,259	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	8,259	8,259	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	54,860	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	54,860	54,860	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	90,000	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	90,000	90,000	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	325,000	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	325,000	325,000	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	200,000	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	200,000	200,000	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	250,000	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Fain Clara	officer	Other acquisition	250,000	250,000	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	10,223	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	80	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	3,389	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Peres Nechemia Jacob	director	Conversion	1,122	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Exor N.V.	director	Conversion	69,030	0	Form 4
2025-09-15	Exor N.V.	director	Conversion	340,277	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i