Issued 2026-09-16 at $45.42 · now $45.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VGNT has typically landed between $38.63 and $60.20 — a range of −14.9% to +32.5% from the issuance price $45.42.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
98 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-03-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($45.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VGNT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $45.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $45.42 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $49.41 (+8.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $45.33–$53.48
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $38.63–$60.2
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-06-04 | −20.7% | −21.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-11 | −17.8% | −18.3% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-08 | −17.0% | −19.7% | +0.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-07 | +54.2% | +0.0% | +54.2% |
| 2026-04-08 | +44.7% | +0.0% | +54.2% |
| 2026-04-13 | +42.0% | +0.0% | +43.3% |
98 overlapping windows · 2026-03-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | CLARK KEVIN P | director | Sale | 57,508 @ $45.49 | $2.6M | −28.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 141,471 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | CLARK KEVIN P | director | Sale | 16,517 @ $46.27 | $764K | −11.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 124,954 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | CLARK KEVIN P | director | Sale | 105 @ $47.08 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 124,849 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | CLARK KEVIN P | director | Sale | 38,271 @ $47.85 | $1.8M | −15.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 209,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | CLARK KEVIN P | director | Sale | 9,034 @ $48.50 | $438K | −4.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 200,266 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | CLARK KEVIN P | director | Sale | 1,287 @ $49.67 | $64K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 198,979 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
21 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Liotine Joseph T. | director | Withheld for tax | 21,289 | 208,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Acosta Janis N | officer | Award / grant | 18,617 | 18,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Acosta Janis N | officer | Award / grant | 21,254 | 39,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Cerepak Brad M | director | Award / grant | 5,168 | 5,168 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Liotine Joseph T. | director | Award / grant | 111,698 | 230,153 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Vinci Sharon | officer | Award / grant | 18,617 | 61,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | CLARK KEVIN P | director | Award / grant | 5,168 | 247,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | CELIAN JASON | officer | Award / grant | 6,982 | 9,335 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Alving Amy E | director | Award / grant | 5,168 | 5,168 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | MEISTER PAUL M | director | Award / grant | 5,168 | 11,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Tamez Armando | director | Award / grant | 5,168 | 5,168 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Ostermann Douglas R | officer | Award / grant | 43,438 | 169,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Kueppers Eric | director | Award / grant | 5,168 | 5,168 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | CELIAN JASON | officer | Award / grant | 2,103 | 2,353 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ostermann Douglas R | officer | Award / grant | 126,104 | 126,104 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vinci Sharon | officer | Award / grant | 42,283 | 42,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Liotine Joseph T. | director | Award / grant | 109,714 | 118,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ostermann Douglas R | officer | Award / grant | 126,104 | 126,104 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vinci Sharon | officer | Award / grant | 42,283 | 42,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Aptiv PLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 70,893,660 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Aptiv PLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 70,893,660 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.