Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.09 · now $1.09 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VERI has typically landed between $0.69 and $1.66 — a range of −36.4% to +52.0% from the issuance price $1.09.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,328 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-05-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.09) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VERI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.09 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.09 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1 (-8.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $0.8171–$1.18
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.6934–$1.66
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-04-08 | −52.2% | −53.8% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-11 | −51.5% | −51.5% | +0.0% |
| 2024-04-04 | −51.1% | −53.1% | +1.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2017-08-18 | +487.0% | +0.0% | +487.0% |
| 2017-08-25 | +376.9% | −4.6% | +376.9% |
| 2017-08-22 | +372.3% | +0.0% | +372.3% |
2,328 overlapping windows · 2017-05-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Purchase | 148,810 @ $0.85 | $127K | +25.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 730,284 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Steelberg Chad | director | Sale | 504,657 @ $2.52 | $1.3M | −94.1% of holding | +6.0% | −45.1% | 31,861 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
29 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Award / grant | 925,000 | 2,200,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Award / grant | 925,000 | 925,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Keithley Michael | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 180,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Keithley Michael | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Morales Francisco | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 157,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Morales Francisco | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 277,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Taketa Richard H | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 349,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Zilis Michael | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 222,475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Zilis Michael | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 342,475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Taketa Richard H | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 229,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | KURTZ KNUTE P. | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 259,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | KURTZ KNUTE P. | director | Award / grant | 120,000 | 379,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Zemetra Michael Leonard | officer | Award / grant | 137,500 | 400,981 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Award / grant | 443,333 | 1,275,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Withheld for tax | 73,538 | 832,535 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Zemetra Michael Leonard | officer | Withheld for tax | 35,981 | 263,481 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-12 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Award / grant | 366,300 | 581,474 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-13 | Taketa Richard H | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 109,416 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-13 | Morales Francisco | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-13 | Keithley Michael | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-13 | KURTZ KNUTE P. | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 139,433 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-13 | Zilis Michael | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 102,475 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-20 | Morales Francisco | director | Award / grant | 7,500 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Award / grant | 240,000 | 906,073 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Zemetra Michael Leonard | officer | Award / grant | 82,500 | 294,462 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-02 | Zemetra Michael Leonard | officer | Withheld for tax | 26,885 | 211,962 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-02 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Withheld for tax | 26,703 | 684,921 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-02 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Withheld for tax | 18,848 | 666,073 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-31 | Steelberg Ryan | director | Withheld for tax | 5,040 | 711,624 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.