Issued 2026-09-16 at $264.90 · now $264.90 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VEEV has typically landed between $219.28 and $311.66 — a range of −17.2% to +17.7% from the issuance price $264.90.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,227 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-10-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($264.90) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VEEV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $264.9 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $264.9 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $266.85 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $248.24–$285.46
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $219.28–$311.66
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2014-03-17 | −33.1% | −33.8% | +2.1% |
| 2014-03-18 | −33.0% | −35.2% | +0.0% |
| 2014-03-13 | −32.8% | −32.8% | +3.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-16 | +44.4% | +0.0% | +44.4% |
| 2018-02-08 | +42.9% | +0.0% | +43.4% |
| 2026-07-31 | +40.2% | +0.0% | +40.2% |
3,227 overlapping windows · 2013-10-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$141.93
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$153.94
- Analyst target · range $165.00–$320.00$231.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$264.90
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $265.20 | $265K | −5.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,449 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Hung Priscilla | director | Sale | 750 @ $261.04 | $196K | −18.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,242 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $281.33 | $2.8M | −34.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 19,449 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 33,181 @ $250.44 | $8.3M | −60.9% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,268 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 1,819 @ $251.03 | $457K | −8.6% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,449 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $241.91 | $242K | −4.9% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,449 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $200.00 | $1.0M | −19.6% of holding | +20.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,449 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Hung Priscilla | director | Sale | 750 @ $155.64 | $117K | −18.7% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,253 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Hung Priscilla | director | Sale | 750 @ $153.50 | $115K | −15.8% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,003 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $200.00 | $200K | −4.3% of holding | −7.8% | +31.1% | 22,204 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $231.43 | $231K | −4.1% of holding | −22.9% | −22.4% | 23,204 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | Zuppas Eleni Nitsa | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $306.62 | $1.8M | −19.2% of holding | −4.8% | −50.9% | 25,325 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Sale | 720 @ $298.12 | $215K | −8.4% of holding | −2.6% | −45.7% | 7,868 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Sale | 9,412 @ $300.00 | $2.8M | −52.3% of holding | −5.1% | −41.0% | 8,588 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Sale | 5,183 @ $300.00 | $1.6M | −37.6% of holding | −5.1% | −41.0% | 8,588 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 3,350 @ $300.04 | $1.0M | −12.4% of holding | −5.1% | −41.0% | 23,773 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-10 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Sale | 720 @ $285.62 | $206K | −8.4% of holding | −1.6% | −25.2% | 7,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | Hung Priscilla | director | Sale | 171 @ $284.40 | $49K | −4.1% of holding | −1.0% | −32.7% | 3,966 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-03 | Hung Priscilla | director | Sale | 172 @ $283.00 | $49K | −4.0% of holding | −0.6% | −32.7% | 4,137 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | Cabral Timothy S | director | Sale | 315 @ $289.72 | $91K | −5.4% of holding | −4.8% | −30.3% | 5,500 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 1,150 @ $268.11 | $308K | −4.4% of holding | −1.8% | −29.6% | 24,739 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Sale | 833 @ $236.71 | $197K | −9.6% of holding | +15.2% | +2.1% | 7,835 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-14 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 802 @ $220.76 | $177K | −3.0% of holding | −1.6% | +5.1% | 26,287 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-14 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 398 @ $221.40 | $88K | −1.5% of holding | −1.6% | +5.1% | 25,889 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 870 @ $214.46 | $187K | −3.1% of holding | +3.5% | +10.9% | 27,089 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 740 @ $212.23 | $157K | −2.5% of holding | +3.5% | +10.9% | 28,569 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 610 @ $213.00 | $130K | −2.1% of holding | +3.5% | +10.9% | 27,959 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Sale | 380 @ $210.94 | $80K | −1.3% of holding | +3.5% | +10.9% | 29,309 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-04 | Cabral Timothy S | director | Sale | 3,882 @ $216.83 | $842K | −41.4% of holding | −1.6% | +6.6% | 5,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Sale | 787 @ $226.20 | $178K | −8.3% of holding | +4.0% | +13.5% | 8,668 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
270 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | SEKHRI PAUL J | director | Option exercise | 460 | 15,651 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cabral Timothy S | director | Option exercise | 477 | 1,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ritter Gordon | director | Option exercise | 541 | 1,623 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ritter Gordon | director | Option exercise | 541 | 1,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ritter Gordon | director | Other acquisition | 15,585 | 591,161 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ritter Gordon | director | Other acquisition | 250,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | SEKHRI PAUL J | director | Option exercise | 460 | 1,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Wallach Matthew J | director | Option exercise | 460 | 107,393 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Wallach Matthew J | director | Option exercise | 460 | 1,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | MOHR MARSHALL | director | Option exercise | 525 | 1,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | MOHR MARSHALL | director | Option exercise | 525 | 6,501 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Hung Priscilla | director | Option exercise | 477 | 1,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Hung Priscilla | director | Option exercise | 477 | 3,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Hedley Mary Lynne | director | Option exercise | 477 | 1,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Hedley Mary Lynne | director | Option exercise | 477 | 7,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Carges Mark T | director | Option exercise | 493 | 1,477 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Carges Mark T | director | Option exercise | 493 | 493 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cabral Timothy S | director | Option exercise | 477 | 1,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 29,449 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Option exercise | 35,000 | 54,449 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Option exercise | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,117 | 25,449 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Withheld for tax | 832 | 9,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Van Wagener Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 693 | 9,325 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Kondath Vipin | officer | Withheld for tax | 60 | 2,783 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Kondath Vipin | officer | Option exercise | 167 | 502 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Van Wagener Brian | officer | Option exercise | 1,635 | 10,018 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Van Wagener Brian | officer | Option exercise | 1,635 | 4,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Zuppas Eleni Nitsa | officer | Option exercise | 2,180 | 33,418 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Zuppas Eleni Nitsa | officer | Option exercise | 2,180 | 6,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 1,635 | 10,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Faddis Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 1,635 | 4,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Kondath Vipin | officer | Option exercise | 167 | 2,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Option exercise | 2,907 | 26,566 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Schwenger Thomas D. | officer | Option exercise | 2,907 | 8,721 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hung Priscilla | director | Award / grant | 1,906 | 1,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | MOHR MARSHALL | director | Award / grant | 2,099 | 2,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ritter Gordon | director | Award / grant | 2,164 | 2,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | SEKHRI PAUL J | director | Award / grant | 1,841 | 1,841 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-07-06 | 2026-06-02 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-07-06 | 2026-06-16 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | purchase | 2025-06-23 | 2025-05-29 | $1–15K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | sale | 2025-06-09 | 2025-05-16 | $1–15K |
| Byron Donalds | House | sale | 2025-04-14 | 2025-03-20 | $1–15K |
| Byron Donalds | House | sale | 2025-04-14 | 2025-03-20 | $1–15K |
| John James | House | sale | 2024-09-02 | 2024-07-16 | $1–15K |
| John James | House | purchase | 2024-09-02 | 2023-11-10 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2023-06-12 | 2023-05-23 | $1–15K |
| William R. Keating | House | purchase | 2023-02-28 | 2023-02-13 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-02-07 | 2023-01-11 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2022-12-06 | 2022-11-03 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2022-06-10 | 2022-05-23 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.