VECOVeeco Instruments Inc.Technology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $41.04 · now $41.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VECO has typically landed between $34.00 and $49.96 — a range of −17.2% to +21.7% from the issuance price $41.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($41.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where VECO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $41.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$34worst · -17.2%$49.96best · +21.7%
  • now $41.04 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $41.47 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $38.15–$44.78
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34–$49.96
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-20−62.7%−62.7%+0.0%
2008-10-21−59.3%−60.5%+0.0%
2008-10-17−59.2%−59.2%+4.2%
3 best
2009-03-05+88.1%+0.0%+89.4%
2009-03-03+83.3%−2.7%+83.3%
2009-03-04+76.9%−6.6%+76.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+0.5%
n=20
Feb
80%
+5.0%
n=20
Mar
55%
+4.7%
n=20
Apr
55%
+2.6%
n=20
May
65%
+6.6%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Jul
55%
+1.7%
n=20
Aug
35%
−5.6%
n=20
Sep
35%
−1.3%
n=20
Oct
45%
−3.4%
n=20
Nov
65%
+3.7%
n=20
Dec
50%
+0.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$83$242026-08-17: 3 insider sales, $10.8M — Miller William John …2026-08-10: 5 insider sales, $1.8M — KIERNAN JOHN P …2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Wilkerson Susan2026-06-09: 2 insider sales, $1.8M — HUNTER GORDON, Devasahayam Adrian2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $431K — HUNTER GORDON2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $2.9M — Miller William John2026-05-26: 3 insider sales, $3.6M — Wilkerson Susan, HUNTER GORDON, Devasahayam Adrian2026-05-14: 1 insider sale, $2.7M — DAMORE RICHARD A2026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $1.8M — HUNTER GORDON2026-05-11: 1 insider sale, $87K — St Dennis Thomas2026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $455K — HUNTER GORDON2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $6.0M — Miller William John2026-03-03: 2 insider sales, $1.6M — Miller William John …2025-12-10: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Wilkerson Susan2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $800K — Miller William John2025-12-02: 1 insider sale, $728K — Miller William John2025-10-02: 1 insider sale, $131K — Devasahayam Adrian2025-10-01: 1 insider sale, $800K — Miller William John2025-09-23: 1 insider sale, $120K — Devasahayam Adrian2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $105K — Devasahayam Adrian2025-09-09: 1 insider sale, $625K — Miller William John2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $851K2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $931K2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $2.6M2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $1.6M2026-05: 8 open-market sales, $14.5M2026-06: 5 open-market sales, $6.3M2026-08: 8 open-market sales, $12.6M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Miller William John — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer KIERNAN JOHN P — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer KIERNAN JOHN P — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer KIERNAN JOHN P — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer KIERNAN JOHN P — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer KIERNAN JOHN P — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Wilkerson Susan — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HUNTER GORDON — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Devasahayam Adrian — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HUNTER GORDON — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed same dayofficer Wilkerson Susan — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HUNTER GORDON — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Devasahayam Adrian — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DAMORE RICHARD A — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HUNTER GORDON — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector St Dennis Thomas — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HUNTER GORDON — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Wilkerson Susan — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed same daydirector Miller William John — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed same dayofficer Devasahayam Adrian — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Devasahayam Adrian — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Devasahayam Adrian — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miller William John — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Miller William JohndirectorSale123,334 @ $54.07$6.7M−33.9% of holding−22.1%not yet — horizon still open240,267Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-17Miller William JohndirectorSale70,697 @ $54.49$3.9M−29.4% of holding−22.1%not yet — horizon still open169,570Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-17Miller William JohndirectorSale5,969 @ $52.85$315K−1.6% of holding−22.1%not yet — horizon still open363,601Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale20,256 @ $50.42$1.0M−19.5% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open83,546Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale10,236 @ $51.29$525K−12.3% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open73,310Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale2,100 @ $52.50$110K−2.9% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open71,210Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale1,608 @ $54.28$87K−2.3% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open68,802Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale800 @ $53.44$43K−1.1% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open70,410Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-11Wilkerson SusanofficerSale15,506 @ $69.56$1.1M−36.1% of holding−21.1%not yet — horizon still open27,468Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-09HUNTER GORDONdirectorSale16,974 @ $68.80$1.2M−60.2% of holding−17.3%not yet — horizon still open11,236Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-09Devasahayam AdrianofficerSale10,000 @ $65.00$650K−10.5% of holding−17.3%not yet — horizon still open85,115Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04HUNTER GORDONdirectorSale6,752 @ $63.78$431K−19.3% of holding−15.2%not yet — horizon still open28,210Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-02Miller William JohndirectorSale50,000 @ $58.62$2.9M−11.9% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open369,570Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-26Wilkerson SusanofficerSale35,723 @ $61.69$2.2M−45.4% of holding+22.7%not yet — horizon still open42,974Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26HUNTER GORDONdirectorSale17,714 @ $61.61$1.1M−33.6% of holding+22.7%not yet — horizon still open34,962Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Devasahayam AdrianofficerSale5,407 @ $61.84$334K−5.4% of holding+22.7%not yet — horizon still open95,115Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14DAMORE RICHARD AdirectorSale43,701 @ $60.71$2.7M−28.0% of holding+38.6%not yet — horizon still open112,594Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-12HUNTER GORDONdirectorSale29,532 @ $59.41$1.8M−35.9% of holding+16.5%not yet — horizon still open52,676Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11St Dennis ThomasdirectorSale1,400 @ $61.93$87K−2.2% of holding+9.6%not yet — horizon still open61,697Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-08HUNTER GORDONdirectorSale7,746 @ $58.76$455K−8.6% of holding+13.2%not yet — horizon still open82,208Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-07Miller William JohndirectorSale100,000 @ $59.55$6.0M−19.2% of holding+4.7%not yet — horizon still open419,570Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-03Miller William JohndirectorSale25,000 @ $32.00$800K−5.7% of holding+10.2%+16.9%414,543Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Miller William JohndirectorSale25,000 @ $31.24$781K−5.4% of holding+10.2%+16.9%439,543Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-10Wilkerson SusanofficerSale33,000 @ $31.88$1.1M−38.8% of holding+3.6%+132.0%52,155Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-05Miller William JohndirectorSale25,000 @ $32.00$800K−5.1% of holding+2.3%+101.5%464,543Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-02Miller William JohndirectorSale25,000 @ $29.10$728K−4.9% of holding+4.3%+106.9%489,543Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-02Devasahayam AdrianofficerSale3,851 @ $34.00$131K−4.7% of holding−15.1%+7.2%78,269Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-01Miller William JohndirectorSale25,000 @ $32.00$800K−4.6% of holding−13.6%+5.2%514,543Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-23Devasahayam AdrianofficerSale4,014 @ $30.00$120K−4.7% of holding−4.3%+25.3%82,120Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15Devasahayam AdrianofficerSale4,046 @ $26.00$105K−4.5% of holding+6.0%+15.7%86,134Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-09Miller William JohndirectorSale25,000 @ $25.00$625K−5.0% of holding+16.1%+22.9%470,671Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-05Devasahayam AdrianofficerSale11,010 @ $20.50$226K−11.0% of holding+0.3%+39.2%89,254Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-12KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale2,500 @ $20.64$52K−2.9% of holding−0.7%+30.0%82,680Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale2,500 @ $18.81$47K−3.6% of holding+3.2%+25.8%67,642Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale2,500 @ $20.68$52K−3.4% of holding−3.6%+5.2%70,142Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale2,500 @ $24.51$61K−3.3% of holding−5.5%−8.3%72,642Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale2,500 @ $27.63$69K−3.2% of holding−15.6%−30.1%75,142Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-10KIERNAN JOHN PofficerSale2,500 @ $28.80$72K−3.1% of holding−3.2%−26.5%77,642Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

140 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-13RAYMOND MARY JANEdirectorGift3,00025,967Form 4
2026-05-08DAMORE RICHARD AdirectorAward / grant2,945156,295Form 4
2026-05-08JACKSON KEITH DdirectorAward / grant2,94586,154Form 4
2026-05-08Chand SujeetdirectorAward / grant2,94533,079Form 4
2026-05-08BAYLESS KATHLEEN AdirectorAward / grant2,94571,580Form 4
2026-05-08Nicolaides LenadirectorAward / grant2,94525,472Form 4
2026-05-08RAYMOND MARY JANEdirectorAward / grant2,94529,967Form 4
2026-05-08St Dennis ThomasdirectorAward / grant2,94563,097Form 4
2026-05-08HUNTER GORDONdirectorAward / grant2,94589,954Form 4
2026-05-08RAYMOND MARY JANEdirectorGift1,00028,967Form 4
2026-03-20Miller William JohndirectorWithheld for tax61,053687,570Form 4
2026-03-20KIERNAN JOHN PofficerWithheld for tax15,04963,622Form 4
2026-03-20Porshnev PeterofficerWithheld for tax11,397194,466Form 4
2026-03-20Devasahayam AdrianofficerWithheld for tax10,144132,149Form 4
2026-03-20Wilkerson SusanofficerWithheld for tax6,996110,148Form 4
2026-03-20Porshnev PeterofficerAward / grant593195,059Form 4
2026-03-20Wilkerson SusanofficerAward / grant549110,697Form 4
2026-03-20Devasahayam AdrianofficerAward / grant373132,522Form 4
2026-03-20Porshnev PeterofficerOption exercise26,910205,863Form 4
2026-03-20Miller William JohndirectorOption exercise140,157748,623Form 4
2026-03-20KIERNAN JOHN PofficerOption exercise30,27478,671Form 4
2026-03-20Devasahayam AdrianofficerOption exercise26,910142,293Form 4
2026-03-20Wilkerson SusanofficerOption exercise26,910117,144Form 4
2026-03-16Miller William JohndirectorWithheld for tax7,115608,466Form 4
2026-03-16Miller William JohndirectorWithheld for tax6,607599,248Form 4
2026-03-16KIERNAN JOHN PofficerWithheld for tax2,28948,397Form 4
2026-03-16KIERNAN JOHN PofficerWithheld for tax1,99946,020Form 4
2026-03-16Porshnev PeterofficerWithheld for tax1,186178,953Form 4
2026-03-16Porshnev PeterofficerWithheld for tax1,146177,339Form 4
2026-03-16Devasahayam AdrianofficerWithheld for tax1,010115,383Form 4
2026-03-16Devasahayam AdrianofficerWithheld for tax983113,593Form 4
2026-03-16Wilkerson SusanofficerWithheld for tax68290,234Form 4
2026-03-16Wilkerson SusanofficerWithheld for tax67588,116Form 4
2026-03-16Miller William JohndirectorOption exercise16,33332,667Form 4
2026-03-16Wilkerson SusanofficerOption exercise2,66788,791Form 4
2026-03-16Wilkerson SusanofficerOption exercise2,80090,916Form 4
2026-03-16Wilkerson SusanofficerOption exercise2,6672,667Form 4
2026-03-16Wilkerson SusanofficerOption exercise2,8005,600Form 4
2026-03-16Devasahayam AdrianofficerOption exercise2,6672,667Form 4
2026-03-16Devasahayam AdrianofficerOption exercise2,8005,600Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.