VCELVericel CorporationHealthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.21 · now $40.21 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VCEL has typically landed between $32.88 and $48.30 — a range of −18.2% to +20.1% from the issuance price $40.21.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.21) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where VCEL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.21 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$32.88worst · -18.2%$48.3best · +20.1%
  • now $40.21 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.22 (+0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $37.06–$43.38
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.88–$48.3
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2013-08-05−63.6%−64.9%+0.0%
2020-02-18−61.8%−61.8%+1.3%
2020-02-21−61.5%−62.3%+0.0%
3 best
2008-10-10+277.8%+0.0%+277.8%
2008-10-06+268.8%+0.0%+293.7%
2008-10-13+242.1%+0.0%+257.9%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Pending catalysts

  • February 2030 — Trial primary completion: Phase 3 primary completion: A Study of MACI in Patients Aged 10 to 17 Years With Symptomatic Chondral or Osteochondral Defects of the Knee (source, as of 2026-08-14)
  • July 2030 — Trial primary completion: Phase 3 primary completion: A Study of MACI in Patients Aged 17 to 65 Years With Symptomatic Chondral or Osteochondral Defects of the Ankle (source, as of 2026-08-14)

Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
65%
+6.4%
n=20
Feb
45%
−1.8%
n=20
Mar
50%
+7.9%
n=20
Apr
40%
+0.5%
n=20
May
35%
−0.5%
n=20
Jun
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Jul
50%
−0.2%
n=20
Aug
40%
−3.0%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.9%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.5%
n=20
Nov
50%
+4.7%
n=20
Dec
55%
+2.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$48$292026-08-12: 1 insider sale, $312K — MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $468K — Halpin Michael2026-07-30: 3 insider sales, $220K — SIEGAL JONATHAN …2026-06-26: 5 insider sales, $1.3M — Flynn Sean C., Hopper Jonathan Mark, Mara Joseph Anthony Jr, SIEGAL JONATHAN …2026-06-18: 2 insider sales, $1.0M — Flynn Sean C., Halpin Michael2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $153K — Hopper Jonathan Mark2026-05-13: 2 insider sales, $230K — MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F …2026-05-11: 2 insider sales, $327K — Wotton Paul K …2026-05-07: 2 insider sales, $260K — Mara Joseph Anthony Jr, SIEGAL JONATHAN2026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $130K — SIEGAL JONATHAN2026-04-02: 1 insider sale, $122K — Hopper Jonathan Mark2026-03-23: 1 insider sale, $486K — Hagen Heidi2026-03-02: 3 insider sales, $1.1M — Flynn Sean C., Halpin Michael …2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $243K — MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F2026-01-07: 1 insider sale, $405K — Halpin Michael2025-12-03: 1 insider sale, $95K — Wotton Paul K2025-12-02: 2 insider sales, $160K — Wotton Paul K, Hopper Jonathan Mark2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $107K — Halpin Michael2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $270K — MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F2025-11-06: 1 insider sale, $298K — Halpin Michael2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $358K — Hopper Jonathan Mark2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $251K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $358K2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $675K2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $254K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $405K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $243K2026-03: 4 open-market sales, $1.6M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $122K2026-05: 7 open-market sales, $948K2026-06: 8 open-market sales, $2.4M2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $220K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $780K↑ buys↓ salesdirector MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Halpin Michael — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer SIEGAL JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SIEGAL JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SIEGAL JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Flynn Sean C. — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hopper Jonathan Mark — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Mara Joseph Anthony Jr — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer SIEGAL JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer SIEGAL JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Flynn Sean C. — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Halpin Michael — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hopper Jonathan Mark — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wotton Paul K — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wotton Paul K — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mara Joseph Anthony Jr — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SIEGAL JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SIEGAL JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hopper Jonathan Mark — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Hagen Heidi — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Flynn Sean C. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Halpin Michael — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Flynn Sean C. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Halpin Michael — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wotton Paul K — Sale on 2025-12-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wotton Paul K — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hopper Jonathan Mark — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Halpin Michael — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN F — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Halpin Michael — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hopper Jonathan Mark — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorSale7,000 @ $44.53$312K−27.7% of holding−13.2%not yet — horizon still open18,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Halpin MichaelofficerSale10,000 @ $46.84$468K−37.9% of holding−12.6%not yet — horizon still open16,394Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerSale2,500 @ $48.90$122K−69.9% of holding−17.7%not yet — horizon still open1,078Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerSale1,500 @ $48.90$73K−58.2% of holding−17.7%not yet — horizon still open1,078Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerSale500 @ $48.90$24K−31.7% of holding−17.7%not yet — horizon still open1,078Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-26Flynn Sean C.officerSale15,000 @ $45.64$685K−90.1% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open1,647Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-26Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerSale5,000 @ $45.00$225K−6.2% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open75,753Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-26Mara Joseph Anthony JrofficerSale5,000 @ $44.75$224K−23.8% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open16,009Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-26SIEGAL JONATHANofficerSale2,500 @ $44.90$112K−73.8% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open886Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-26SIEGAL JONATHANofficerSale232 @ $44.90$10K−20.8% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open886Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-18Flynn Sean C.officerSale15,000 @ $40.21$603K−90.1% of holding+14.9%not yet — horizon still open1,647Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-18Halpin MichaelofficerSale10,000 @ $40.24$402K−38.1% of holding+14.9%not yet — horizon still open16,248Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-02Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerSale4,375 @ $35.00$153K−5.5% of holding+38.1%not yet — horizon still open75,753Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-13MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorSale3,500 @ $32.83$115K−16.1% of holding+14.1%not yet — horizon still open18,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-13MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorSale3,500 @ $32.82$115K−16.1% of holding+14.1%not yet — horizon still open18,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Wotton Paul KdirectorSale7,500 @ $32.64$245K−28.5% of holding+15.4%not yet — horizon still open18,802Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Wotton Paul KdirectorSale2,500 @ $33.05$83K−8.7% of holding+15.4%not yet — horizon still open26,302Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-07Mara Joseph Anthony JrofficerSale5,000 @ $40.50$203K−19.2% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open21,009Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-07SIEGAL JONATHANofficerSale1,422 @ $40.50$58K−56.0% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open1,118Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06SIEGAL JONATHANofficerSale3,433 @ $38.00$130K−57.5% of holding−1.8%not yet — horizon still open2,540Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-02Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerSale3,472 @ $35.00$122K−4.4% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open75,556Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-23Hagen HeididirectorSale15,000 @ $32.41$486K−32.0% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open31,850Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Flynn Sean C.officerSale15,000 @ $35.36$530K−92.2% of holding−4.0%+0.5%1,262Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Halpin MichaelofficerSale10,305 @ $35.30$364K−39.1% of holding−4.0%+0.5%16,080Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Flynn Sean C.officerSale6,421 @ $34.75$223K−83.6% of holding−4.0%+0.5%1,262Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorSale7,000 @ $34.66$243K−31.7% of holding−1.8%+15.6%15,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-07Halpin MichaelofficerSale10,000 @ $40.48$405K−38.3% of holding−10.5%+6.4%16,080Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-03Wotton Paul KdirectorSale2,500 @ $37.83$95K−8.9% of holding−1.7%−11.4%25,602Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02Wotton Paul KdirectorSale2,500 @ $37.97$95K−8.2% of holding−6.0%−16.9%28,102Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-02Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerSale1,652 @ $39.14$65K−2.4% of holding−6.0%−16.9%66,562Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-11Halpin MichaelofficerSale2,642 @ $40.41$107K−14.2% of holding−9.8%−29.4%15,932Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorSale7,000 @ $38.59$270K−31.7% of holding−4.4%−25.3%15,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-06Halpin MichaelofficerSale7,358 @ $40.47$298K−31.6% of holding−5.7%−26.0%15,932Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-02Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerSale10,000 @ $35.77$358K−13.1% of holding−15.4%−6.6%66,363Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorSale7,000 @ $35.92$251K−31.7% of holding−8.5%−10.2%15,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerSale10,000 @ $40.09$401K−13.1% of holding−2.5%−19.5%66,237Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-15Colangelo DominickdirectorSale14,063 @ $41.53$584K−5.1% of holding−1.8%−18.4%260,354Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-14Colangelo DominickdirectorSale14,062 @ $42.25$594K−5.1% of holding−0.7%−21.4%260,354Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorSale7,000 @ $39.98$280K−31.7% of holding+0.2%−29.5%15,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-10Colangelo DominickdirectorSale24,850 @ $41.89$1.0M−8.7% of holding−9.3%−49.2%260,354Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-09Colangelo DominickdirectorSale24,850 @ $41.11$1.0M−8.7% of holding−8.5%−49.0%260,354Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-13Colangelo DominickdirectorSale26,592 @ $45.78$1.2M−9.3% of holding−6.2%−49.0%259,997Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12Colangelo DominickdirectorSale26,591 @ $46.31$1.2M−9.3% of holding−2.7%−45.2%259,997Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerSale10,000 @ $49.53$495K−13.1% of holding−9.4%−40.4%66,101Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Halpin MichaelofficerSale10,000 @ $49.52$495K−39.2% of holding−9.4%−40.4%15,539Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

255 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorOption exercise7,00025,300Form 4
2026-08-12MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorOption exercise7,0007,000Form 4
2026-08-03Halpin MichaelofficerOption exercise10,00026,394Form 4
2026-08-03Halpin MichaelofficerOption exercise10,00026,250Form 4
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerOption exercise2,5003,578Form 4
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerOption exercise1,5002,578Form 4
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerOption exercise5001,578Form 4
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerOption exercise2,5004,000Form 4
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerOption exercise1,5002,698Form 4
2026-07-30SIEGAL JONATHANofficerOption exercise5003,500Form 4
2026-06-26Flynn Sean C.officerOption exercise15,00016,647Form 4
2026-06-26Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerOption exercise5,00080,753Form 4
2026-06-26SIEGAL JONATHANofficerOption exercise2,5003,386Form 4
2026-06-26Flynn Sean C.officerOption exercise15,00055,000Form 4
2026-06-26Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerOption exercise5,00025,000Form 4
2026-06-26Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerOption exercise5,00020,000Form 4
2026-06-26SIEGAL JONATHANofficerOption exercise2,5006,500Form 4
2026-06-18Flynn Sean C.officerOption exercise15,00016,647Form 4
2026-06-18Halpin MichaelofficerOption exercise10,00026,248Form 4
2026-06-18Halpin MichaelofficerOption exercise10,00036,250Form 4
2026-06-18Flynn Sean C.officerOption exercise15,00070,000Form 4
2026-06-02Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerOption exercise4,37580,128Form 4
2026-06-02Hopper Jonathan MarkofficerOption exercise4,3751,625Form 4
2026-05-13MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorOption exercise3,50021,800Form 4
2026-05-13MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorOption exercise3,50021,800Form 4
2026-05-13MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorOption exercise3,5000Form 4
2026-05-13MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorOption exercise3,50014,000Form 4
2026-04-29ZERBE ROBERT L MDdirectorAward / grant8,0008,000Form 4
2026-04-29Wotton Paul KdirectorAward / grant8,0008,000Form 4
2026-04-29Wotton Paul KdirectorAward / grant3,2003,200Form 4
2026-04-29Hagen HeididirectorOption exercise3,2000Form 4
2026-04-29MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorOption exercise3,2000Form 4
2026-04-29MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorAward / grant8,0008,000Form 4
2026-04-29MCLAUGHLIN KEVIN FdirectorAward / grant3,2003,200Form 4
2026-04-29Rubino Alan LdirectorOption exercise3,2000Form 4
2026-04-29Rubino Alan LdirectorAward / grant8,0008,000Form 4
2026-04-29Rubino Alan LdirectorAward / grant3,2003,200Form 4
2026-04-29Hagen HeididirectorAward / grant8,0008,000Form 4
2026-04-29Hagen HeididirectorAward / grant3,2003,200Form 4
2026-04-29WRIGHT LISAdirectorAward / grant8,0008,000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.