VCVisteon Corporationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $97.47 · now $97.47 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VC has typically landed between $83.62 and $114.82 — a range of −14.2% to +17.8% from the issuance price $97.47.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,984 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-09-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($97.47) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where VC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $97.47 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$83.62worst · -14.2%$114.82best · +17.8%
  • now $97.47 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $96.55 (-0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $90.2–$102.89
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $83.62–$114.82
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,984 windows spanning 2010-09-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−49.5%−49.5%+3.5%
2020-02-13−47.0%−47.0%+0.0%
2020-02-14−44.7%−44.7%+2.4%
3 best
2012-08-03+62.2%+0.0%+62.5%
2012-08-02+60.9%−0.7%+61.4%
2020-04-22+56.2%+0.0%+56.2%

3,984 overlapping windows · 2010-09-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
+1.0%
n=16
Feb
75%
+3.4%
n=16
Mar
25%
−5.3%
n=16
Apr
56%
+3.4%
n=16
May
63%
−0.9%
n=16
Jun
44%
+1.0%
n=16
Jul
63%
+3.5%
n=16
Aug
56%
+1.3%
n=16
Sep
31%
−3.0%
n=16
Oct
56%
+5.5%
n=16
Nov
75%
+5.0%
n=16
Dec
50%
−0.6%
n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$128$842026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $600K — PYNNONEN BRETT D2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $119K — Vallance Robert R2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $233K — Vallance Robert R2026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $71K — Kim Seungkyung2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $42K — Ribeiro Joao Paulo2026-04-28: 2 insider sales, $344K — Trecker Kristin, Myers Colleen Elizabeth2026-04-27: 1 insider sale, $185K — Trecker Kristin2026-04-24: 5 insider sales, $4.4M — Lawande Sachin …2026-04-23: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Lawande Sachin2026-03-04: 3 insider sales, $4.6M — Lawande Sachin …2025-11-03: 2 insider sales, $65K — Lawande Sachin …2025-08-22: 2 insider sales, $524K — SCRICCO FRANCIS M …2025-08-19: 2 insider sales, $492K — SCRICCO FRANCIS M …2025-08-13: 1 insider sale, $240K — Vallance Robert R2025-08: 7 open-market sales, $1.4M2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $65K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $4.6M2026-04: 9 open-market sales, $6.2M2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $114K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $952K↑ buys↓ salesofficer PYNNONEN BRETT D — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Vallance Robert R — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Vallance Robert R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kim Seungkyung — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ribeiro Joao Paulo — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Trecker Kristin — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Myers Colleen Elizabeth — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Trecker Kristin — Sale on 2026-04-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-04-23, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lawande Sachin — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SCRICCO FRANCIS M — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 3 days after the tradedirector SCRICCO FRANCIS M — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 3 days after the tradedirector SCRICCO FRANCIS M — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SCRICCO FRANCIS M — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Vallance Robert R — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-05PYNNONEN BRETT DofficerSale5,000 @ $120.00$600K−37.0% of holding−12.5%not yet — horizon still open8,503Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-02Vallance Robert RofficerSale1,000 @ $119.40$119K−5.4% of holding−15.6%not yet — horizon still open17,469Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01Vallance Robert RofficerSale2,000 @ $116.50$233K−9.8% of holding−14.8%not yet — horizon still open18,469Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-28Kim SeungkyungofficerSale600 @ $118.96$71K−60.7% of holding−18.5%not yet — horizon still open389Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-07Ribeiro Joao PauloofficerSale373 @ $113.04$42K−5.0% of holding+6.5%not yet — horizon still open7,070Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28Trecker KristinofficerSale2,637 @ $110.47$291K−28.7% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open6,557Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28Myers Colleen ElizabethofficerSale475 @ $110.92$53K−66.3% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open241Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-27Trecker KristinofficerSale1,622 @ $114.24$185K−15.0% of holding−0.8%not yet — horizon still open9,194Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-24Lawande SachindirectorSale19,822 @ $113.52$2.3M−8.8% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open206,667Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Lawande SachindirectorSale12,045 @ $114.40$1.4M−5.8% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open194,622Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Lawande SachindirectorSale4,850 @ $112.64$546K−2.1% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open226,489Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Lawande SachindirectorSale1,300 @ $110.81$144K−0.6% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open231,339Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Lawande SachindirectorSale800 @ $115.27$92K−0.4% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open193,822Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-23Lawande SachindirectorSale11,009 @ $110.09$1.2M−5.4% of holding−1.5%not yet — horizon still open193,822Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-04Lawande SachindirectorSale25,299 @ $92.90$2.4M−11.2% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open199,681Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04Lawande SachindirectorSale17,911 @ $93.76$1.7M−9.0% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open181,770Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04Lawande SachindirectorSale6,243 @ $94.69$591K−3.4% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open175,527Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03Lawande SachindirectorSale300 @ $110.02$33K−0.2% of holding−4.8%−0.9%175,527Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Lawande SachindirectorSale295 @ $110.02$32K−0.2% of holding−4.8%−0.9%175,527Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-22SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorSale4,338 @ $120.53$523K−60.7% of holding−4.0%−28.9%2,804Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-22SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorSale12 @ $121.37$1K−0.4% of holding−4.0%−28.9%2,792Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-19SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorSale3,842 @ $121.78$468K−34.4% of holding+1.0%−30.3%7,342Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-19SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorSale200 @ $122.03$24K−2.7% of holding+1.0%−30.3%7,142Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Vallance Robert RofficerSale2,000 @ $120.00$240K−9.6% of holding−0.8%−26.2%18,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01PYNNONEN BRETT DofficerSale1,100 @ $109.86$121K−8.5% of holding+9.1%−25.5%11,867Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-01PYNNONEN BRETT DofficerSale100 @ $109.85$11K−0.8% of holding+9.1%−25.5%11,767Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-30Trecker KristinofficerSale500 @ $113.38$57K−5.0% of holding+9.7%−26.9%9,594Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-30Trecker KristinofficerSale300 @ $113.29$34K−3.1% of holding+9.7%−26.9%9,294Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-30Trecker KristinofficerSale100 @ $113.39$11K−1.1% of holding+9.7%−26.9%9,194Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-28Trecker KristinofficerSale1,500 @ $113.03$170K−12.9% of holding+9.9%−27.9%10,094Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-28Ribeiro Joao PauloofficerSale710 @ $115.09$82K−9.6% of holding+9.9%−27.9%6,698Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-02Vallance Robert RofficerSale2,000 @ $100.15$200K−8.8% of holding+7.2%−17.6%20,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-05Vallance Robert RofficerSale4,000 @ $82.46$330K−14.9% of holding+21.2%+6.2%22,838Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-20Myers Colleen ElizabethofficerSale225 @ $81.81$18K−48.1% of holding−3.8%+34.1%243Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

266 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-17Sennett MarjoriedirectorOption exercise1,2190Form 4
2026-07-17Sennett MarjoriedirectorOption exercise1,2191,219Form 4
2026-07-17Sennett MarjoriedirectorOption exercise1,2190Form 4
2026-07-17Sennett MarjoriedirectorOption exercise1,2191,219Form 4
2026-07-01Hicok GarydirectorAward / grant1,5321,532Form 4
2026-06-11MANZO ROBERTdirectorAward / grant1,3331,333Form 4
2026-06-11Jones Jeffrey DaviddirectorAward / grant1,3331,333Form 4
2026-06-11Kure BunseidirectorAward / grant1,3331,333Form 4
2026-06-11Maguire Joanne MdirectorAward / grant1,3331,333Form 4
2026-06-11Sennett MarjoriedirectorAward / grant1,3331,333Form 4
2026-06-11TREADWELL DAVID LdirectorAward / grant1,3331,333Form 4
2026-06-11SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorAward / grant1,3331,333Form 4
2026-06-05Kure BunseidirectorWithheld for tax5494,034Form 4
2026-06-05SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorOption exercise1,8294,621Form 4
2026-06-05Maguire Joanne MdirectorOption exercise1,8296,258Form 4
2026-06-05Maguire Joanne MdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05Kure BunseidirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05MANZO ROBERTdirectorOption exercise1,8297,258Form 4
2026-06-05MANZO ROBERTdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05Maguire Joanne MdirectorOption exercise1,8296,258Form 4
2026-06-05Maguire Joanne MdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorOption exercise1,8294,621Form 4
2026-06-05SCRICCO FRANCIS MdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05TREADWELL DAVID LdirectorOption exercise1,8298,258Form 4
2026-06-05TREADWELL DAVID LdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05TREADWELL DAVID LdirectorOption exercise1,8298,258Form 4
2026-06-05TREADWELL DAVID LdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05MANZO ROBERTdirectorOption exercise1,8297,258Form 4
2026-06-05MANZO ROBERTdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05Jones Jeffrey DaviddirectorOption exercise1,8294,557Form 4
2026-06-05Jones Jeffrey DaviddirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05Barrese JamesdirectorOption exercise1,8296,258Form 4
2026-06-05Barrese JamesdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05Bergman Naomi M.directorOption exercise1,8294,225Form 4
2026-06-05Bergman Naomi M.directorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05Kure BunseidirectorOption exercise1,8294,583Form 4
2026-06-05Kure BunseidirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4
2026-06-05Barrese JamesdirectorOption exercise1,8296,258Form 4
2026-06-05Barrese JamesdirectorOption exercise1,8290Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2020-04-162020-03-18$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2019-04-162019-03-15$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2019-04-162019-03-14$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2019-03-082019-02-20$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2019-03-082019-02-19$1–15K
Ed WhitfieldHousepurchase2016-01-152015-12-11$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.