Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.50 · now $8.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VACI has typically landed between $8.29 and $8.72 — a range of −2.5% to +2.6% from the issuance price $8.50.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
184 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-11-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VACI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.5 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.51 (+0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.43–$8.58
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.29–$8.72
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-10 | −37.7% | −37.7% | +3.9% |
| 2026-08-11 | −35.8% | −37.7% | +3.9% |
| 2026-08-13 | −34.9% | −38.2% | +3.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-08-03 | +4.0% | −0.1% | +4.0% |
| 2026-07-31 | +3.8% | +0.0% | +3.8% |
| 2026-04-30 | +3.1% | +0.0% | +3.2% |
184 overlapping windows · 2025-11-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | Wohlin Hakan | director | Purchase | 350,000 @ $10.00 | $3.5M | +4.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,016,667 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Wohlin Hakan | director | Purchase | 116,666 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 116,666 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.