UTLUnitil CorporationUtilities · Diversified Utilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $52.37 · now $52.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, UTL has typically landed between $47.61 and $57.72 — a range of −9.1% to +10.2% from the issuance price $52.37.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($52.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where UTL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $52.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$47.61worst · -9.1%$57.72best · +10.2%
  • now $52.37 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $52.63 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $50.62–$54.64
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $47.61–$57.72
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−34.5%−34.5%+0.0%
2020-02-20−30.4%−30.4%+0.0%
2020-02-13−26.7%−26.7%+0.5%
3 best
2020-11-06+33.2%+0.0%+33.2%
2020-11-09+33.2%+0.0%+33.2%
2020-11-10+28.6%+0.0%+28.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Feb
60%
+1.2%
n=20
Mar
80%
+2.8%
n=20
Apr
65%
+2.5%
n=20
May
50%
−0.2%
n=20
Jun
55%
+0.3%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.6%
n=20
Aug
35%
−1.6%
n=20
Sep
45%
−2.1%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.6%
n=20
Nov
80%
+3.2%
n=20
Dec
60%
+0.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$56$44↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

66 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-01-27MEISSNER THOMAS P JRdirectorAward / grant310145,995Form 4
2026-01-27Hevert Robert BofficerAward / grant9035,465Form 4
2026-01-27Hurstak Daniel JofficerAward / grant4020,089Form 4
2026-01-27LeBlanc Christopher JofficerAward / grant4022,372Form 4
2026-01-27Eisfeller JustinofficerAward / grant4018,394Form 4
2026-01-27Diggins Todd RofficerAward / grant108,263Form 4
2026-01-27Simpson Carleton BofficerAward / grant1,5905,100Form 4
2026-01-27MEISSNER THOMAS P JRdirectorAward / grant8,0900Form 4
2026-01-27Eisfeller JustinofficerAward / grant1,0800Form 4
2026-01-27Hurstak Daniel JofficerAward / grant2,4300Form 4
2026-01-27Diggins Todd RofficerAward / grant1,0800Form 4
2026-01-27LeBlanc Christopher JofficerAward / grant1,0800Form 4
2026-01-27Simpson Carleton BofficerAward / grant1,5900Form 4
2026-01-27Hevert Robert BofficerAward / grant3,7400Form 4
2026-01-27Simpson Carleton BofficerAward / grant7951,275Form 4
2026-01-27Eisfeller JustinofficerAward / grant5401,520Form 4
2026-01-27Hevert Robert BofficerAward / grant1,8705,120Form 4
2026-01-27Hurstak Daniel JofficerAward / grant1,2153,330Form 4
2026-01-27MEISSNER THOMAS P JRdirectorAward / grant4,04511,140Form 4
2026-01-27LeBlanc Christopher JofficerAward / grant5401,520Form 4
2026-01-27Simpson Carleton BofficerAward / grant7951,275Form 4
2026-01-27Hevert Robert BofficerAward / grant1,8705,120Form 4
2026-01-27MEISSNER THOMAS P JRdirectorAward / grant4,04511,140Form 4
2026-01-27Eisfeller JustinofficerAward / grant5401,520Form 4
2026-01-27Diggins Todd RofficerAward / grant5401,520Form 4
2026-01-27LeBlanc Christopher JofficerAward / grant5401,520Form 4
2026-01-27Diggins Todd RofficerAward / grant5401,520Form 4
2026-01-27Hurstak Daniel JofficerAward / grant1,2153,330Form 4
2025-10-01Brown Winfield SdirectorAward / grant2,4357,723Form 4
2025-10-01GREEN MICHAEL BdirectorAward / grant2,43521,357Form 4
2025-10-01COLLIN MARK HdirectorAward / grant2,43558,837Form 4
2025-10-01Lewis-Raymond JanedirectorAward / grant2,4352,435Form 4
2025-10-01Alonzo Anne L.directorAward / grant2,4354,017Form 4
2025-10-01Awad Neveen FdirectorAward / grant2,4352,435Form 4
2025-10-01Foster SuzannedirectorAward / grant2,43512,134Form 4
2025-10-01Vogel JustinedirectorAward / grant2,43512,134Form 4
2025-10-01WHITELEY DAVID AdirectorAward / grant2,43511,033Form 4
2025-10-01Kountze KatherinedirectorAward / grant1,6241,624Form 4
2025-01-28Diggins Todd RofficerAward / grant9600Form 4
2025-01-28Hevert Robert BofficerAward / grant3,31026,951Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.