Issued 2026-09-16 at $498.48 · now $498.48 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, UTHR has typically landed between $449.41 and $573.54 — a range of −9.8% to +15.1% from the issuance price $498.48.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($498.48) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where UTHR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $498.48 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $498.48 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $502.66 (+0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $476.07–$529.24
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $449.41–$573.54
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-22 | −51.3% | −51.3% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-21 | −48.8% | −48.8% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-23 | −46.8% | −47.8% | +0.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2007-10-05 | +60.6% | −2.8% | +60.6% |
| 2007-10-15 | +58.5% | +0.0% | +64.3% |
| 2007-10-11 | +55.9% | +0.0% | +65.2% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+0.2%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.4%
n=20
Mar
35%
−1.1%
n=20
Apr
40%
+0.4%
n=20
May
50%
+4.3%
n=20
Jun
45%
−0.7%
n=20
Jul
65%
+4.0%
n=20
Aug
40%
+0.5%
n=20
Sep
40%
+0.8%
n=20
Oct
75%
+3.8%
n=20
Nov
70%
+4.8%
n=20
Dec
60%
+4.6%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 3,711 @ $500.68 | $1.9M | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 329,452 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 2,689 @ $501.66 | $1.3M | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 326,763 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 845 @ $503.80 | $426K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,093 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 825 @ $502.57 | $415K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,938 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 780 @ $499.77 | $390K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 333,163 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 650 @ $504.57 | $328K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 2,722 @ $504.47 | $1.4M | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 327,283 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 2,400 @ $505.25 | $1.2M | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,883 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 2,358 @ $503.44 | $1.2M | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 330,005 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,580 @ $502.15 | $793K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 332,363 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 440 @ $506.48 | $223K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Mesa Nilda | director | Sale | 130 @ $505.79 | $66K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,430 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Mesa Nilda | director | Sale | 98 @ $505.98 | $50K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,580 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 2,138 @ $497.99 | $1.1M | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 330,464 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,560 @ $502.13 | $783K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 327,203 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,341 @ $496.74 | $666K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 332,602 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,021 @ $498.97 | $509K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 329,443 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 850 @ $503.10 | $428K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 326,353 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 710 @ $503.99 | $358K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,643 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 518 @ $506.44 | $262K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,043 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 476 @ $500.86 | $238K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 328,763 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 320 @ $507.31 | $162K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,723 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 280 @ $508.21 | $142K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,443 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 204 @ $499.61 | $102K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 329,239 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 82 @ $504.97 | $41K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,561 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 2,244 @ $501.88 | $1.1M | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 328,419 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,788 @ $499.75 | $894K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 332,035 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,536 @ $502.80 | $772K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 326,883 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,372 @ $500.58 | $687K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 330,663 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 702 @ $505.03 | $355K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,603 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 600 @ $505.94 | $304K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,003 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 578 @ $503.76 | $291K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 326,305 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 280 @ $508.80 | $142K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 280 @ $506.76 | $142K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,723 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 120 @ $498.44 | $60K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 333,823 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,278 @ $496.73 | $635K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 331,383 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,202 @ $495.65 | $596K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 332,661 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,144 @ $503.60 | $576K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 327,782 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,017 @ $502.87 | $511K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 328,926 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 964 @ $505.03 | $487K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 326,818 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 875 @ $505.78 | $443K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,943 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 794 @ $506.84 | $402K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,149 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 519 @ $499.73 | $259K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 330,304 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 506 @ $507.68 | $257K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,643 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 400 @ $498.85 | $200K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 330,823 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 361 @ $500.84 | $181K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 329,943 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 200 @ $509.00 | $102K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 160 @ $497.56 | $80K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 331,223 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 80 @ $493.81 | $40K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 333,863 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,902 @ $498.18 | $948K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 330,141 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,221 @ $501.17 | $612K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 326,729 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,173 @ $500.20 | $587K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 327,950 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,167 @ $502.26 | $586K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,562 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 1,018 @ $498.77 | $508K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 329,123 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 701 @ $503.33 | $353K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,861 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 600 @ $494.87 | $297K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 332,599 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 418 @ $504.15 | $211K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 300 @ $497.05 | $149K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 332,043 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 256 @ $495.75 | $127K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 332,343 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Sale | 220 @ $491.04 | $108K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 333,483 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 432,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Mesa Nilda | director | Option exercise | 130 | 6,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Mesa Nilda | director | Option exercise | 130 | 6,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 442,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 451,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 461,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 470,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 480,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 489,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | MAHON PAUL A | officer | Option exercise | 8,300 | 53,472 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 8,910 | 333,353 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 590 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | MAHON PAUL A | officer | Option exercise | 8,300 | 55,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 8,910 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 590 | 499,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 8,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 18,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 27,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 37,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 46,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 56,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 65,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 75,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 333,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 84,910 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.