USPHU.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $83.39 · now $83.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, USPH has typically landed between $71.23 and $95.67 — a range of −14.6% to +14.7% from the issuance price $83.39.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($83.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where USPH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $83.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$71.23worst · -14.6%$95.67best · +14.7%
  • now $83.39 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $83.61 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $77.94–$89.27
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $71.23–$95.67
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−62.1%−62.1%+5.5%
2020-02-20−58.3%−63.6%+1.2%
2020-02-21−58.1%−64.1%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+50.4%+0.0%+55.8%
2009-03-05+42.7%+0.0%+54.5%
2009-04-08+42.1%+0.0%+42.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.0%
n=20
Feb
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Mar
55%
+0.4%
n=20
Apr
70%
+3.2%
n=20
May
65%
+3.6%
n=20
Jun
60%
+2.6%
n=20
Jul
70%
+3.5%
n=20
Aug
45%
−2.4%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.5%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.8%
n=20
Nov
60%
+1.4%
n=20
Dec
75%
+3.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$91$592026-09-11: 1 insider purchase, $416 — Minan Peter Francis2026-06-12: 1 insider purchase, $58 — Minan Peter Francis2026-06-09: 1 insider purchase, $18K — Minan Peter Francis2026-06-08: 1 insider purchase, $31K — Minan Peter Francis2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $52K — REEVE GRAHAM D.2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $79 — REEVE GRAHAM D.2026-03-06: 2 insider sales, $394K — Binstein Richard, REEVE GRAHAM D.2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $53K — REEVE GRAHAM D.2025-11-20: 1 insider purchase, $276K — Gilmartin Kathleen A2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $49K — HAM NANCY2025-09-05: 1 insider sale, $85K — Williams Eric Joseph2025-09-04: 1 insider sale, $167K — READING CHRISTOPHER J2025-08-25: 1 insider sale, $60K — HENDRICKSON CAREY P2025-08-21: 1 insider sale, $65K — REEVE GRAHAM D.2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $280K2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $301K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $276K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $53K2026-03: 4 open-market sales, $446K2026-06: 3 open-market purchases, $49K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $416↑ buys↓ salesdirector Minan Peter Francis — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Minan Peter Francis — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed 94 days after the tradedirector Minan Peter Francis — Purchase on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Minan Peter Francis — Purchase on 2026-06-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer REEVE GRAHAM D. — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer REEVE GRAHAM D. — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Binstein Richard — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer REEVE GRAHAM D. — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer REEVE GRAHAM D. — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gilmartin Kathleen A — Purchase on 2025-11-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAM NANCY — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed same dayofficer Williams Eric Joseph — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector READING CHRISTOPHER J — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HENDRICKSON CAREY P — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed same dayofficer REEVE GRAHAM D. — Sale on 2025-08-21, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Minan Peter FrancisdirectorPurchase5 @ $79.00$416+0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open3,217Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-12Minan Peter FrancisdirectorPurchase1 @ $66.50$58+0.0% of holding+6.9%not yet — horizon still open3,212Form 4 · filed 94 days after the trade
2026-06-09Minan Peter FrancisdirectorPurchase288 @ $61.50$18K+9.9% of holding+14.7%not yet — horizon still open3,211Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08Minan Peter FrancisdirectorPurchase492 @ $63.14$31K+20.2% of holding+17.9%not yet — horizon still open2,923Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11REEVE GRAHAM D.officerSale662 @ $78.86$52K−2.2% of holding−4.4%−14.0%30,078Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09REEVE GRAHAM D.officerSale1 @ $78.52$79−100.0% of holding−4.1%−14.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-06Binstein RichardofficerSale3,000 @ $81.64$245K−10.8% of holding−5.4%−16.0%24,867Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06REEVE GRAHAM D.officerSale1,807 @ $82.25$149K−99.9% of holding−5.4%−16.0%1Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-24REEVE GRAHAM D.officerSale743 @ $71.01$53K−3.5% of holding+8.7%−22.9%20,740Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-20Gilmartin Kathleen AdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $69.00$276K+19.2% of holding+12.4%−23.7%24,786Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11HAM NANCYdirectorSale600 @ $81.71$49K−23.1% of holding+7.4%−6.4%1,994Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-05Williams Eric JosephofficerSale1,000 @ $85.25$85K−3.8% of holding+0.5%−10.7%25,331Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-04READING CHRISTOPHER JdirectorSale2,000 @ $83.53$167K−1.7% of holding+0.3%−9.1%114,088Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25HENDRICKSON CAREY PofficerSale698 @ $86.11$60K−2.4% of holding−7.4%−12.3%27,808Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-21REEVE GRAHAM D.officerSale763 @ $84.97$65K−3.4% of holding−10.2%−7.9%21,483Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11REEVE GRAHAM D.officerSale1,792 @ $86.57$155K−7.5% of holding−8.6%−9.8%22,246Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-12HAM NANCYdirectorSale400 @ $78.01$31K−13.4% of holding−9.7%−10.7%2,594Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21Williams Eric JosephofficerSale633 @ $78.09$49K−2.3% of holding−4.8%−24.8%26,331Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21REEVE GRAHAM D.officerSale530 @ $78.08$41K−3.0% of holding−4.8%−24.8%17,244Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07REEVE GRAHAM D.officerSale1,730 @ $82.11$142K−19.4% of holding−6.9%−6.6%7,168Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-09HENDRICKSON CAREY PofficerSale516 @ $96.25$50K−2.5% of holding−6.2%−18.5%20,469Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

31 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Etta NchachadirectorAward / grant6,8316,831Form 4
2026-08-20REEVE GRAHAM D.officerWithheld for tax76228,554Form 4
2026-08-20Williams Eric JosephofficerWithheld for tax71439,617Form 4
2026-08-20Binstein RichardofficerWithheld for tax45024,417Form 4
2026-08-20CURTIS JASON TRAVISofficerWithheld for tax403,853Form 4
2026-05-20REEVE GRAHAM D.officerWithheld for tax76229,316Form 4
2026-05-20CURTIS JASON TRAVISofficerWithheld for tax403,893Form 4
2026-05-19Minan Peter FrancisdirectorAward / grant2,3062,431Form 4
2026-05-19Motsenbocker AnnedirectorAward / grant2,3069,812Form 4
2026-05-19Swanson Regg E.directorAward / grant2,30615,492Form 4
2026-05-19Gilmartin Kathleen AdirectorAward / grant2,30627,092Form 4
2026-05-19Harris Bernard A JrdirectorAward / grant2,30620,914Form 4
2026-03-09HENDRICKSON CAREY PofficerDisposition10,00027,808Form 4
2026-02-23Binstein RichardofficerAward / grant10,00027,867Form 4
2026-02-23REEVE GRAHAM D.officerAward / grant10,00030,740Form 4
2026-02-23READING CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant25,000139,088Form 4
2026-02-23HENDRICKSON CAREY PofficerAward / grant10,00037,808Form 4
2026-02-23Williams Eric JosephofficerAward / grant15,00040,331Form 4
2025-08-19Binstein RichardofficerDisposition2,00017,867Form 4
2025-05-20Trier ClaytondirectorAward / grant1,8828,306Form 4
2025-05-20Gilmartin Kathleen AdirectorAward / grant1,88220,786Form 4
2025-05-20HAM NANCYdirectorAward / grant1,8822,994Form 4
2025-05-20Harris Bernard A JrdirectorAward / grant1,88218,608Form 4
2025-05-20Motsenbocker AnnedirectorAward / grant1,8827,506Form 4
2025-05-20Swanson Regg E.directorAward / grant1,88213,186Form 4
2025-03-11HENDRICKSON CAREY PofficerGift6328,506Form 4
2025-02-24REEVE GRAHAM D.officerAward / grant8,10019,192Form 4
2025-02-24Williams Eric JosephofficerAward / grant12,15026,964Form 4
2025-02-24Binstein RichardofficerAward / grant8,10019,867Form 4
2025-02-24HENDRICKSON CAREY PofficerAward / grant8,10028,569Form 4
2025-02-24READING CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant20,250116,088Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.