Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.78 · now $4.78 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, UNCY has typically landed between $3.05 and $6.74 — a range of −36.2% to +41.0% from the issuance price $4.78.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,280 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.78) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where UNCY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.78 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.78 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.6 (-3.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.96–$5.25
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.05–$6.74
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-07-15 | −52.7% | −52.7% | +0.0% |
| 2021-07-13 | −51.8% | −54.7% | +0.0% |
| 2024-05-28 | −51.6% | −51.6% | +8.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-02-07 | +384.6% | −14.8% | +384.6% |
| 2023-03-02 | +346.0% | −2.0% | +436.0% |
| 2023-03-03 | +344.9% | +0.0% | +446.9% |
1,280 overlapping windows · 2021-07-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
21 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Kenkare-Mitra Sara | director | Award / grant | 42,100 | 126,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Kenkare-Mitra Sara | director | Award / grant | 84,200 | 84,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laumas Sandeep | director | Award / grant | 84,200 | 84,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laumas Sandeep | director | Award / grant | 42,100 | 126,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Gupta Pramod | officer | Award / grant | 169,500 | 169,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Jermasek Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 169,500 | 169,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Gupta Shalabh K. | director | Award / grant | 762,200 | 762,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Townsend John | officer | Award / grant | 169,500 | 169,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Aggarwal Gaurav | director | Disposition | 3,199 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Aggarwal Gaurav | director | Conversion | 652,900 | 1,789,915 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Aggarwal Gaurav | director | Conversion | 652,900 | 1,789,915 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-28 | Kenkare-Mitra Sara | director | Award / grant | 21,200 | 39,200 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-28 | Laumas Sandeep | director | Award / grant | 21,200 | 41,286 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-28 | Townsend John | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 101,557 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-28 | Aggarwal Gaurav | director | Award / grant | 21,200 | 39,200 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-28 | Jermasek Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 215,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-28 | Gupta Pramod | officer | Award / grant | 90,000 | 301,986 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-28 | Gupta Shalabh K. | director | Award / grant | 325,000 | 968,951 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | Aggarwal Gaurav | director | Disposition | 686 | 3,119 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | Aggarwal Gaurav | director | Conversion | 1,400,000 | 11,370,152 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | Aggarwal Gaurav | director | Conversion | 1,400,000 | 11,370,152 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.