UISUnisys Corporationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.45 · now $2.45 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, UIS has typically landed between $1.69 and $3.18 — a range of −31.0% to +30.0% from the issuance price $2.45.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.45) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where UIS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.45 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.69worst · -31.0%$3.18best · +30.0%
  • now $2.45 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.39 (-2.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.07–$2.72
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.69–$3.18
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-21−74.5%−74.5%+0.0%
2008-10-22−72.9%−72.9%+8.6%
2008-10-20−67.5%−67.5%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-18+200.0%−20.8%+200.0%
2009-03-17+200.0%+0.0%+200.0%
2009-03-25+195.6%+0.0%+253.3%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
−0.1%
n=18
Feb
63%
+2.6%
n=19
Mar
42%
−3.3%
n=19
Apr
32%
+0.1%
n=19
May
53%
+4.3%
n=19
Jun
47%
−2.0%
n=19
Jul
47%
+6.9%
n=19
Aug
42%
−4.6%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.9%
n=19
Oct
67%
+5.1%
n=18
Nov
50%
−2.1%
n=18
Dec
78%
+6.9%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$5$22026-09-04: 1 insider sale, $27K — Brown David Lawrence2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $83K — Germond Philippe2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $484K — Richardson Troy2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $49K — Germond Philippe2026-05-11: 1 insider sale, $25K — Brown David Lawrence2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $73K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $567K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $27K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Brown David Lawrence — Sale on 2026-09-04, filed same daydirector Germond Philippe — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Richardson Troy — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Germond Philippe — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Brown David Lawrence — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04Brown David LawrenceofficerSale10,553 @ $2.54$27K−9.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open103,558Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-04Germond PhilippedirectorSale20,000 @ $4.15$83K−7.8% of holding−14.8%not yet — horizon still open236,453Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Richardson TroydirectorSale110,000 @ $4.40$484K−50.8% of holding−14.6%not yet — horizon still open106,451Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-15Germond PhilippedirectorSale16,080 @ $3.02$49K−5.9% of holding+24.6%not yet — horizon still open256,453Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-11Brown David LawrenceofficerSale7,766 @ $3.16$25K−6.4% of holding+19.3%not yet — horizon still open114,111Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

112 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-03Bundy David J.officerAward / grant58,52999,012Form 4
2026-07-31Prohl KristenofficerWithheld for tax2,282442,668Form 4
2026-02-27Thomson Michael MofficerWithheld for tax20,611728,973Form 4
2026-02-27McCann DebradirectorWithheld for tax14,265343,866Form 4
2026-02-27Poggenpohl TeresaofficerWithheld for tax2,941147,383Form 4
2026-02-27Arrasmith ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax2,539175,412Form 4
2026-02-27Gupta ShalabhofficerWithheld for tax2,124125,318Form 4
2026-02-27Raper JoelofficerWithheld for tax1,901116,501Form 4
2026-02-27Paolillo ReginadirectorAward / grant82,305250,940Form 4
2026-02-27ALTABEF PETERdirectorAward / grant82,3051,454,013Form 4
2026-02-27Brown David LawrenceofficerAward / grant77,161121,877Form 4
2026-02-27DAVIS NATHANIEL AdirectorAward / grant82,305266,645Form 4
2026-02-27DESCH MATTHEW JdirectorAward / grant82,305238,623Form 4
2026-02-27Martin Paul EdwarddirectorAward / grant82,305264,852Form 4
2026-02-27McCann DebradirectorAward / grant349,795693,661Form 4
2026-02-27Germond PhilippedirectorAward / grant82,305272,533Form 4
2026-02-27Prohl KristenofficerAward / grant257,202444,950Form 4
2026-02-27Raper JoelofficerAward / grant144,033260,534Form 4
2026-02-27Kulhari RuchiofficerAward / grant123,457201,189Form 4
2026-02-27Arrasmith ChristopherofficerAward / grant339,507514,919Form 4
2026-02-27Gupta ShalabhofficerAward / grant77,161202,479Form 4
2026-02-27KRITZMACHER JOHN AdirectorAward / grant82,305209,839Form 4
2026-02-27Richardson TroydirectorAward / grant82,305216,451Form 4
2026-02-27James Deborah LdirectorAward / grant82,305260,779Form 4
2026-02-27Poggenpohl TeresaofficerAward / grant185,186332,569Form 4
2026-02-27Taylor RoxannedirectorAward / grant82,305134,957Form 4
2026-02-27Thomson Michael MofficerAward / grant1,234,5681,963,541Form 4
2026-02-26Thomson Michael MofficerWithheld for tax12,187749,584Form 4
2026-02-26McCann DebradirectorWithheld for tax11,839358,131Form 4
2026-02-26Prohl KristenofficerWithheld for tax6,901187,748Form 4
2026-02-26Poggenpohl TeresaofficerWithheld for tax3,184150,324Form 4
2026-02-26Arrasmith ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax2,855177,951Form 4
2026-02-26Gupta ShalabhofficerWithheld for tax2,251127,442Form 4
2026-02-26Raper JoelofficerWithheld for tax2,226118,402Form 4
2026-02-26Brown David LawrenceofficerWithheld for tax1,64144,716Form 4
2026-02-24Thomson Michael MofficerWithheld for tax43,360761,771Form 4
2026-02-24McCann DebradirectorWithheld for tax24,864369,970Form 4
2026-02-24Arrasmith ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax15,915180,806Form 4
2026-02-24Prohl KristenofficerWithheld for tax12,949194,649Form 4
2026-02-24Poggenpohl TeresaofficerWithheld for tax9,010153,508Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ms. Tammy DuckworthSenatesale2014-07-082013-02-20$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.