Issued 2026-09-16 at $279.41 · now $279.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, UFPT has typically landed between $236.79 and $346.87 — a range of −15.3% to +24.1% from the issuance price $279.41.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($279.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where UFPT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $279.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $279.41 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $286.18 (+2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $264.39–$307.96
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $236.79–$346.87
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-08 | −49.2% | −49.2% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-11 | −48.1% | −48.1% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-05 | −47.6% | −47.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-03-20 | +77.0% | +0.0% | +77.0% |
| 2008-04-04 | +64.0% | +0.0% | +64.0% |
| 2008-03-19 | +63.9% | −1.8% | +63.9% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | KOZIN MARC D | director | Sale | 3,650 @ $303.97 | $1.1M | −13.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 24,462 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | KOZIN MARC D | director | Sale | 3,350 @ $305.07 | $1.0M | −13.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 21,112 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Hudson Symeria | director | Sale | 298 @ $319.11 | $95K | −24.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 927 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Hudson Symeria | director | Sale | 1,926 @ $324.58 | $625K | −61.1% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,225 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | FELDMANN CYNTHIA L | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $324.26 | $324K | −18.3% of holding | −10.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,476 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Sale | 6,866 @ $316.58 | $2.2M | −94.8% of holding | −12.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 374 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Sale | 5,771 @ $315.53 | $1.8M | −44.4% of holding | −12.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,240 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Sale | 374 @ $317.27 | $119K | −100.0% of holding | −12.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Sale | 4,471 @ $318.21 | $1.4M | −25.6% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,011 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Sale | 542 @ $315.06 | $171K | −3.0% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,482 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Sale | 7,877 @ $318.12 | $2.5M | −27.4% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,829 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Sale | 2,805 @ $320.05 | $898K | −13.5% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,024 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Holt Jason | officer | Sale | 1,100 @ $317.00 | $349K | −12.3% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,878 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | FELDMANN CYNTHIA L | director | Sale | 1,100 @ $239.19 | $263K | −16.5% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,576 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | FELDMANN CYNTHIA L | director | Sale | 100 @ $240.40 | $24K | −1.8% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,476 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 2,864 @ $221.71 | $635K | −77.0% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 855 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Holt Jason | officer | Sale | 100 @ $213.58 | $21K | −1.3% of holding | +19.7% | +1.4% | 7,678 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 677 @ $232.29 | $157K | −5.9% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 10,756 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 390 @ $222.11 | $87K | −3.2% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 11,973 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 192 @ $227.14 | $44K | −1.6% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 11,589 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 175 @ $221.40 | $39K | −1.4% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 12,363 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 100 @ $230.31 | $23K | −0.9% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 11,433 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 94 @ $225.19 | $21K | −0.8% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 11,791 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 88 @ $223.66 | $20K | −0.7% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 11,885 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 56 @ $229.21 | $13K | −0.5% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 11,533 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 47 @ $219.82 | $10K | −0.4% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 12,538 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 10 @ $226.23 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | −5.1% | −11.3% | 11,781 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 1,873 @ $206.00 | $386K | −68.7% of holding | −6.6% | −1.7% | 855 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $206.04 | $206K | −26.8% of holding | −6.6% | −1.7% | 2,728 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 1,429 @ $220.08 | $314K | −10.2% of holding | −4.3% | −24.1% | 12,629 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 44 @ $221.52 | $10K | −0.3% of holding | −4.3% | −24.1% | 12,585 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | FELDMANN CYNTHIA L | director | Sale | 2,549 @ $230.66 | $588K | −37.5% of holding | −5.8% | −16.9% | 4,256 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | FELDMANN CYNTHIA L | director | Sale | 207 @ $231.51 | $48K | −4.9% of holding | −5.8% | −16.9% | 4,049 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 1,601 @ $227.47 | $364K | −23.5% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 5,199 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 1,498 @ $228.44 | $342K | −28.8% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 3,701 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 1,170 @ $226.46 | $265K | −14.7% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 6,800 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 758 @ $229.44 | $174K | −20.5% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 2,943 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 661 @ $225.70 | $149K | −7.7% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 7,970 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 600 @ $233.23 | $140K | −25.2% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 1,785 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | LATAILLE RONALD J | officer | Purchase | 400 @ $229.09 | $92K | +2.7% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 15,031 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-27 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 306 @ $232.12 | $71K | −11.4% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 2,385 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Sale | 252 @ $231.40 | $58K | −8.6% of holding | −9.4% | −20.5% | 2,691 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
71 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Hudson Symeria | director | Option exercise | 493 | 3,151 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Hudson Symeria | director | Option exercise | 703 | 2,658 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Hudson Symeria | director | Option exercise | 703 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Hudson Symeria | director | Option exercise | 493 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | FELDMANN CYNTHIA L | director | Option exercise | 1,200 | 6,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | FELDMANN CYNTHIA L | director | Option exercise | 1,200 | 1,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Withheld for tax | 750 | 171,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 1,787 | 171,950 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | FELDMANN CYNTHIA L | director | Award / grant | 802 | 5,476 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Award / grant | 802 | 1,657 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hassett Joseph John | director | Award / grant | 802 | 2,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hudson Symeria | director | Award / grant | 802 | 1,955 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | KOZIN MARC D | director | Award / grant | 802 | 28,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | LATAILLE RONALD J | officer | Award / grant | 4,454 | 20,352 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | OBERDORF THOMAS | director | Award / grant | 802 | 13,219 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | ROCK MITCHELL | officer | Award / grant | 2,895 | 39,115 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Stafford Ryan K | officer | Award / grant | 1,448 | 1,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Option exercise | 2,864 | 3,719 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Option exercise | 2,864 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | OBERDORF THOMAS | director | Option exercise | 2,864 | 12,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | OBERDORF THOMAS | director | Option exercise | 2,864 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Withheld for tax | 9,422 | 170,163 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | LATAILLE RONALD J | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,677 | 15,898 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | ROCK MITCHELL | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,513 | 36,220 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 815 | 11,977 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Holt Jason | officer | Withheld for tax | 478 | 8,978 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Holt Jason | officer | Award / grant | 1,121 | 9,456 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 19,061 | 179,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 7,428 | 160,524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Holt Jason | officer | Award / grant | 657 | 8,335 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | LATAILLE RONALD J | officer | Award / grant | 2,463 | 15,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | LATAILLE RONALD J | officer | Award / grant | 3,115 | 18,575 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Award / grant | 1,215 | 12,792 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Litterio Christopher P. | officer | Award / grant | 821 | 11,577 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | ROCK MITCHELL | officer | Award / grant | 2,463 | 35,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | ROCK MITCHELL | officer | Award / grant | 3,270 | 38,733 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Withheld for tax | 888 | 153,096 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | BAILLY R JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 1,744 | 153,984 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-25 | Holt Jason | officer | Gift | 70 | 7,778 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-07 | CROTEAU DANIEL C | director | Option exercise | 1,318 | 3,728 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.