Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.61 · now $6.61 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, UFI has typically landed between $5.32 and $7.84 — a range of −19.5% to +18.6% from the issuance price $6.61.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where UFI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $6.61 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.46 (-2.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.02–$6.9
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.32–$7.84
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-01-30 | −74.5% | −74.5% | +0.5% |
| 2009-01-29 | −72.1% | −72.1% | +1.1% |
| 2009-02-03 | −71.5% | −72.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-04-07 | +136.1% | +0.0% | +136.1% |
| 2009-04-08 | +103.6% | +0.0% | +103.6% |
| 2009-04-06 | +101.3% | −7.7% | +101.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Purchase | 25,811 @ $3.42 | $88K | +1.0% of holding | +9.9% | +16.6% | 2,492,056 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Purchase | 40,451 @ $3.50 | $142K | +1.7% of holding | +1.7% | +9.0% | 2,466,245 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Purchase | 3,644 @ $3.53 | $13K | +0.2% of holding | −2.2% | +5.4% | 2,425,794 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Purchase | 18,344 @ $3.48 | $64K | +0.8% of holding | +0.9% | +13.1% | 2,422,150 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Purchase | 2,426 @ $3.51 | $9K | +0.1% of holding | −1.4% | +10.6% | 2,403,806 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Purchase | 9,324 @ $3.48 | $32K | +0.4% of holding | −1.5% | +5.8% | 2,401,380 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Purchase | 18,000 @ $5.43 | $98K | +0.8% of holding | +7.5% | −19.6% | 2,370,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-10 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Purchase | 16,097 @ $5.55 | $89K | +0.7% of holding | +1.3% | −26.7% | 2,352,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
46 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | EAKER ANDREW JAMES | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,940 | 84,228 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | BOYD MEREDITH SUZANNE | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,143 | 83,569 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-27 | MOORE BRIAN DAVID | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,158 | 66,156 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-27 | BOYD MEREDITH SUZANNE | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,158 | 83,569 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-27 | EAKER ANDREW JAMES | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,158 | 86,168 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-27 | BOYD MEREDITH SUZANNE | officer | Withheld for tax | 952 | 86,727 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-27 | EAKER ANDREW JAMES | officer | Withheld for tax | 952 | 89,326 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-27 | MOORE BRIAN DAVID | officer | Withheld for tax | 952 | 69,314 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Disposition | 11,128 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Carey Albert P | director | Withheld for tax | 5,962 | 289,872 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | BOYD MEREDITH SUZANNE | officer | Withheld for tax | 597 | 87,679 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | EAKER ANDREW JAMES | officer | Withheld for tax | 512 | 90,278 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | MOORE BRIAN DAVID | officer | Withheld for tax | 469 | 70,266 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 11,128 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 11,128 | 11,128 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 11,128 | 11,128 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-18 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Award / grant | 24,360 | 24,360 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-18 | Carey Albert P | director | Award / grant | 63,576 | 295,834 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-18 | MOORE BRIAN DAVID | officer | Award / grant | 22,104 | 70,735 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-18 | BOYD MEREDITH SUZANNE | officer | Award / grant | 21,420 | 88,276 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-18 | EAKER ANDREW JAMES | officer | Award / grant | 21,420 | 90,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-18 | INGLE EDMUND M | director | Award / grant | 70,392 | 343,350 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Disposition | 3,961 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Carey Albert P | director | Withheld for tax | 3,882 | 232,258 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | MOORE BRIAN DAVID | officer | Withheld for tax | 721 | 48,631 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | BOYD MEREDITH SUZANNE | officer | Withheld for tax | 633 | 66,856 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | EAKER ANDREW JAMES | officer | Withheld for tax | 441 | 69,370 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 3,961 | 7,922 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 3,961 | 3,961 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 3,961 | 3,961 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Disposition | 4,210 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 4,210 | 12,630 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Battle Emma S. | director | Award / grant | 11,028 | 43,299 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | BLAKE FRANCIS S | director | Award / grant | 24,260 | 67,179 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | PRESENT SUZANNE | director | Award / grant | 28,672 | 130,270 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Zlotnicka Eva T. | director | Award / grant | 11,028 | 18,327 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Ramlo Rhonda L. | director | Award / grant | 11,028 | 35,608 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | LANGONE KENNETH G | director | Award / grant | 22,056 | 2,392,056 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 4,210 | 4,210 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Ning Hongjun | officer | Option exercise | 4,210 | 4,210 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.