UEICUniversal Electronics Inc.Technology · Consumer Electronicsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.14 · now $5.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, UEIC has typically landed between $3.87 and $6.32 — a range of −24.7% to +23.0% from the issuance price $5.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where UEIC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.87worst · -24.7%$6.32best · +23.0%
  • now $5.14 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.96 (-3.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.52–$5.39
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.87–$6.32
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-02-09−62.8%−62.8%+2.3%
2023-02-16−61.8%−62.9%+0.0%
2023-02-07−61.4%−61.4%+0.0%
3 best
2025-05-02+52.7%+0.0%+64.6%
2025-05-01+51.5%+0.0%+67.3%
2020-11-04+50.9%+0.0%+50.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
30%
−3.7%
n=20
Feb
55%
+1.5%
n=20
Mar
55%
+2.2%
n=20
Apr
50%
−1.3%
n=20
May
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Jun
70%
+2.5%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Aug
35%
−3.7%
n=20
Sep
50%
+1.3%
n=20
Oct
50%
−1.0%
n=20
Nov
55%
+3.7%
n=20
Dec
50%
+0.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$32026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $489K — TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC2026-09-10: 1 insider sale, $114K — TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC2026-09-03: 1 insider sale, $18K — TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC2026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $194K — TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC2026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $40K — TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC2026-08-18: 1 insider sale, $74K — TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $229K — TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC2026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC2026-05-08: 2 insider sales, $4K — Ammari Ramzi, Carnifax Richard K2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $20K — Ammari Ramzi2026-02-13: 4 insider sales, $6K — Ammari Ramzi, Carnifax Richard K …2025-11-14: 1 insider sale, $2K — Chong David Cheung Hyen2025-11-11: 2 insider sales, $7K — Ammari Ramzi, Carnifax Richard K2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $9K2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $6K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $20K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $4K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $1.4M2026-09: 4 open-market sales, $814K↑ buys↓ salesdirector TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed same daydirector TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC — Sale on 2026-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed same daydirector TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLC — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ammari Ramzi — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed same dayofficer Carnifax Richard K — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed same dayofficer Ammari Ramzi — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ammari Ramzi — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed same dayofficer Ammari Ramzi — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed same dayofficer Carnifax Richard K — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed same dayofficer Carnifax Richard K — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed same dayofficer Chong David Cheung Hyen — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed same dayofficer Ammari Ramzi — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Carnifax Richard K — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLCdirectorSale105,541 @ $4.63$489K−8.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,101,832Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-10TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLCdirectorSale24,459 @ $4.66$114K−2.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,207,373Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-03TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLCdirectorSale3,900 @ $4.55$18K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,231,832Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLCdirectorSale42,019 @ $4.61$194K−3.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,235,732Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-19TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLCdirectorSale8,300 @ $4.83$40K−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,277,751Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-18TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLCdirectorSale15,000 @ $4.95$74K−1.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,286,051Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLCdirectorSale43,596 @ $5.25$229K−3.2% of holding+2.8%not yet — horizon still open1,301,051Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10TORO 18 HOLDINGS LLCdirectorSale200,000 @ $5.22$1.0M−12.9% of holding−14.8%not yet — horizon still open1,344,647Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-08Ammari RamziofficerSale619 @ $4.26$3K−1.6% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open39,029Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08Carnifax Richard KofficerSale362 @ $4.26$2K−2.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open16,793Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-16Ammari RamziofficerSale4,916 @ $4.16$20K−11.5% of holding−4.9%+8.6%37,648Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-13Ammari RamziofficerSale590 @ $4.10$2K−1.4% of holding+4.3%+10.3%41,735Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-13Ammari RamziofficerSale348 @ $4.10$1K−0.8% of holding+4.3%+10.3%42,564Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-13Carnifax Richard KofficerSale347 @ $4.09$1K−2.2% of holding+4.3%+10.3%15,517Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-13Carnifax Richard KofficerSale200 @ $4.09$818−1.2% of holding+4.3%+10.3%15,989Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-14Chong David Cheung HyenofficerSale559 @ $2.96$2K−1.5% of holding+8.4%+23.5%37,709Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-11Ammari RamziofficerSale1,392 @ $3.19$4K−3.3% of holding+6.9%+18.8%40,325Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11Carnifax Richard KofficerSale806 @ $3.21$3K−5.2% of holding+6.9%+18.8%14,697Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-06CHAHIL SATJIV SdirectorPurchase8,935 @ $6.78$61K+6.3% of holding+2.5%−67.2%150,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-03Singer EricdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $6.62$26K+7.0% of holding−2.7%−67.2%61,097Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-03FIREHAMMER RICHARD A JRofficerSale865 @ $6.55$6K−100.0% of holding−2.7%−67.2%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-03Singer EricdirectorPurchase200 @ $6.70$1K+0.3% of holding−2.7%−67.2%61,297Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-02Singer EricdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $6.67$20K+5.6% of holding−2.7%−66.9%56,407Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Singer EricdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $6.68$7K+1.9% of holding−2.7%−66.9%53,407Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Singer EricdirectorPurchase634 @ $6.66$4K+1.1% of holding−2.7%−66.9%57,041Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Singer EricdirectorPurchase56 @ $6.52$365+0.1% of holding−2.7%−66.9%57,097Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21Singer EricdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $6.70$27K+9.4% of holding−1.2%−73.1%46,403Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-20Singer EricdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $7.01$21K+7.6% of holding−1.2%−72.5%42,403Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-19Singer EricdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $6.89$21K+8.2% of holding−5.2%−71.0%39,403Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-16Singer EricdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $7.09$21K+9.0% of holding−4.0%−71.5%36,403Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-16Singer EricdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $7.07$21K+9.9% of holding−4.0%−71.5%33,403Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-14FIREHAMMER RICHARD A JRofficerSale865 @ $6.91$6K−100.0% of holding−4.8%−73.7%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-13Singer EricdirectorPurchase24,000 @ $6.73$162K+374.8% of holding+3.9%−71.8%30,403Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

267 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31HO SUI MANofficerAward / grant30,00050,846Form 4
2026-08-31Jenke Wade MichaelofficerAward / grant50,00050,000Form 4
2026-08-31Haughawout Joseph LeeofficerAward / grant60,00060,000Form 4
2026-08-31Haughawout Joseph LeeofficerAward / grant15,00050,315Form 4
2026-08-31HO SUI MANofficerAward / grant30,00030,000Form 4
2026-08-31HO SUI MANofficerAward / grant100,000100,000Form 4
2026-05-26MUTCH JOHNdirectorAward / grant31,01754,591Form 4
2026-05-26BURGER MICHAEL DdirectorAward / grant31,01754,173Form 4
2026-05-26Singer EricdirectorAward / grant31,017112,001Form 4
2026-05-26CHAHIL SATJIV SdirectorAward / grant31,017200,704Form 4
2026-05-26Hamilton Sue AnndirectorAward / grant31,01783,791Form 4
2026-05-26Jenke Wade MichaelofficerAward / grant100,000100,000Form 4
2026-05-19MULLIGAN WILLIAM CdirectorOption exercise18,4370Form 4
2026-05-19CHAHIL SATJIV SdirectorOption exercise18,4370Form 4
2026-05-19MUTCH JOHNdirectorOption exercise18,4370Form 4
2026-05-19Hamilton Sue AnndirectorOption exercise18,4370Form 4
2026-05-19Singer EricdirectorOption exercise18,4370Form 4
2026-05-19BURGER MICHAEL DdirectorOption exercise18,4370Form 4
2026-05-19PONTUAL ROMULOdirectorOption exercise18,4370Form 4
2026-05-19MUTCH JOHNdirectorOption exercise18,43723,574Form 4
2026-05-19CHAHIL SATJIV SdirectorOption exercise18,437169,687Form 4
2026-05-19BURGER MICHAEL DdirectorOption exercise18,43723,156Form 4
2026-05-19Hamilton Sue AnndirectorOption exercise18,43752,774Form 4
2026-05-19MULLIGAN WILLIAM CdirectorOption exercise18,43777,104Form 4
2026-05-19MUTCH JOHNdirectorOption exercise18,43723,574Form 4
2026-05-19PONTUAL ROMULOdirectorOption exercise18,43740,270Form 4
2026-05-19Singer EricdirectorOption exercise18,43780,984Form 4
2026-05-19Hamilton Sue AnndirectorOption exercise18,43752,774Form 4
2026-05-19PONTUAL ROMULOdirectorOption exercise18,43740,270Form 4
2026-05-19CHAHIL SATJIV SdirectorOption exercise18,437169,687Form 4
2026-05-19MULLIGAN WILLIAM CdirectorOption exercise18,43777,104Form 4
2026-05-19Singer EricdirectorOption exercise18,43780,984Form 4
2026-05-19BURGER MICHAEL DdirectorOption exercise18,43723,156Form 4
2026-05-07Ammari RamziofficerOption exercise2,0006,000Form 4
2026-05-07Carnifax Richard KofficerOption exercise1,1663,498Form 4
2026-05-07Ammari RamziofficerOption exercise2,00039,648Form 4
2026-05-07Carnifax Richard KofficerOption exercise1,16617,155Form 4
2026-05-07Carnifax Richard KofficerOption exercise1,16617,155Form 4
2026-02-09Carnifax Richard KofficerOption exercise6724,664Form 4
2026-02-09Ammari RamziofficerOption exercise1,1778,000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.