UEC · TickerCove

UECUranium Energy Corp.Energy · Uraniumas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.08 · now $10.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, UEC has typically landed between $7.53 and $13.68 — a range of −25.3% to +35.7% from the issuance price $10.08.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,872 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-04-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$10.08 · 9% of range

$9.04 low$20.14 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.8%

typical move · IQR 26.4%

−25.3%worst (p90)+35.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where UEC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $10.08 (+0.0%)
typical $10.36 (+2.8%)
middle 50% $9.03–$11.69
90% range $7.53–$13.68

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,872 windows spanning 2007-04-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-05	−67.8%	−67.8%	+0.0%
2008-09-08	−65.4%	−65.4%	+0.0%
2008-09-04	−59.5%	−59.5%	+1.8%
3 best
2008-12-05	+250.5%	−9.5%	+250.5%
2008-12-08	+209.1%	−13.6%	+234.5%
2009-04-06	+205.9%	+0.0%	+205.9%

4,872 overlapping windows · 2007-04-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

42%

+2.2%

n=19

Feb

53%

+2.0%

n=19

Mar

42%

−3.5%

n=19

Apr

47%

+10.3%

n=19

May

45%

+7.3%

n=20

Jun

40%

−3.4%

n=20

Jul

55%

+1.4%

n=20

Aug

60%

+3.5%

n=20

Sep

55%

+0.2%

n=20

Oct

42%

−2.0%

n=19

Nov

47%

+7.0%

n=19

Dec

53%

+5.5%

n=19

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-08-06	KONG DAVID	director	Sale	50,800 @ $9.62	$489K	−21.8% of holding	+12.2%	+46.4%	182,237	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

211 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-14	Abraham Spencer	director	Award / grant	1,015	35,883	Form 4
2026-08-14	Abraham Spencer	director	Award / grant	1,623	1,623	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Withheld for tax	225,661	4,595,007	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Withheld for tax	71,094	4,656,153	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Withheld for tax	70,922	4,769,050	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Withheld for tax	58,972	4,707,408	Form 4
2026-07-31	MELBYE SCOTT	director	Withheld for tax	55,656	1,244,182	Form 4
2026-07-31	Man Josephine	officer	Withheld for tax	8,613	48,808	Form 4
2026-07-31	KONG DAVID	director	Withheld for tax	5,748	187,229	Form 4
2026-07-31	BERG BRENT	officer	Withheld for tax	4,141	11,859	Form 4
2026-07-31	KONG DAVID	director	Option exercise	5,129	20,427	Form 4
2026-07-31	DELLA VOLPE VINCENT	director	Option exercise	5,129	20,427	Form 4
2026-07-31	DELLA VOLPE VINCENT	director	Option exercise	3,339	17,088	Form 4
2026-07-31	DELLA VOLPE VINCENT	director	Option exercise	2,272	14,816	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Gift	185,000	927,905	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Option exercise	132,240	1,160,169	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Option exercise	110,227	1,049,942	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Option exercise	132,564	917,378	Form 4
2026-07-31	Adnani Amir	director	Option exercise	421,795	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	BERG BRENT	officer	Option exercise	4,007	74,491	Form 4
2026-07-31	BERG BRENT	officer	Option exercise	6,382	68,109	Form 4
2026-07-31	Abraham Spencer	director	Option exercise	12,822	48,846	Form 4
2026-07-31	Abraham Spencer	director	Option exercise	8,349	40,497	Form 4
2026-07-31	Ballesta Moya Gloria L	director	Option exercise	5,129	20,427	Form 4
2026-07-31	Ballesta Moya Gloria L	director	Option exercise	3,339	17,088	Form 4
2026-07-31	Ballesta Moya Gloria L	director	Option exercise	2,272	14,816	Form 4
2026-07-31	Abraham Spencer	director	Option exercise	5,629	34,868	Form 4
2026-07-31	Canty Trecia M	director	Option exercise	5,129	20,427	Form 4
2026-07-31	Canty Trecia M	director	Option exercise	3,339	17,088	Form 4
2026-07-31	Canty Trecia M	director	Option exercise	2,272	14,816	Form 4
2026-07-31	KONG DAVID	director	Option exercise	3,339	17,088	Form 4
2026-07-31	KONG DAVID	director	Option exercise	2,272	14,816	Form 4
2026-07-31	MELBYE SCOTT	director	Option exercise	22,564	177,803	Form 4
2026-07-31	MELBYE SCOTT	director	Option exercise	20,137	157,666	Form 4
2026-07-31	MELBYE SCOTT	director	Option exercise	18,806	138,860	Form 4
2026-07-31	MELBYE SCOTT	director	Option exercise	71,795	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	Man Josephine	officer	Option exercise	16,098	98,373	Form 4
2026-07-31	MELBYE SCOTT	director	Option exercise	22,564	1,260,895	Form 4
2026-07-31	BERG BRENT	officer	Option exercise	4,007	9,618	Form 4
2026-07-31	BERG BRENT	officer	Option exercise	6,382	16,000	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i