TYGOTigo Energy, Inc.Technology · Solaras of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.03 · now $1.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TYGO has typically landed between $0.68 and $1.48 — a range of −34.2% to +43.7% from the issuance price $1.03.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,241 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-09-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TYGO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$0.6773worst · -34.2%$1.48best · +43.7%
  • now $1.03 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.03 (+0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $0.9399–$1.12
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.6773–$1.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,241 windows spanning 2021-09-03 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-10-06−67.2%−67.8%+0.0%
2023-10-05−65.3%−66.9%+2.9%
2023-10-04−65.0%−65.0%+8.8%
3 best
2026-01-07+157.7%−1.3%+157.7%
2025-12-29+145.5%−4.8%+145.5%
2026-01-08+144.3%−2.5%+154.4%

1,241 overlapping windows · 2021-09-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+18.6%
n=5
Feb
60%
+0.8%
n=5
Mar
60%
−4.8%
n=5
Apr
60%
+6.6%
n=5
May
80%
+10.1%
n=5
Jun
60%
+9.8%
n=5
Jul
80%
+1.7%
n=5
Aug
20%
−23.4%
n=5
Sep
60%
+17.3%
n=5
Oct
40%
−22.1%
n=5
Nov
20%
−9.1%
n=5
Dec
60%
−4.7%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$5$12026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $181K — Manor Sagit2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $155K — Conley Joan C2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $246K — ALON ZVI2026-06-03: 2 insider sales, $309K — ALON ZVI …2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $314K — ALON ZVI2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $162K — ALON ZVI2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $263K — Babai Tomer2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $263K2026-06: 7 open-market sales, $1.4M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Manor Sagit — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed same daydirector Conley Joan C — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ALON ZVI — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ALON ZVI — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed same daydirector ALON ZVI — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed same daydirector ALON ZVI — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ALON ZVI — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Babai Tomer — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15Manor SagitdirectorSale63,500 @ $2.85$181K−16.4% of holding−38.4%not yet — horizon still open323,098Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-10Conley Joan CdirectorSale50,000 @ $3.10$155K−18.0% of holding−40.2%not yet — horizon still open227,902Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-04ALON ZVIdirectorSale72,057 @ $3.42$246K−5.5% of holding−44.0%not yet — horizon still open1,239,316Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03ALON ZVIdirectorSale77,493 @ $3.52$273K−5.6% of holding−39.6%not yet — horizon still open1,311,373Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-03ALON ZVIdirectorSale10,419 @ $3.52$37K−0.7% of holding−39.6%not yet — horizon still open1,388,866Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-02ALON ZVIdirectorSale84,356 @ $3.72$314K−5.7% of holding−43.3%not yet — horizon still open1,388,866Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01ALON ZVIdirectorSale42,167 @ $3.85$162K−2.9% of holding−39.9%not yet — horizon still open1,388,866Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Babai TomerdirectorSale63,452 @ $4.15$263K−22.8% of holding−42.7%not yet — horizon still open214,450Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

83 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11ALON ZVIdirectorWithheld for tax29,4961,382,097Form 4
2026-08-11ROESCHLEIN BILLofficerWithheld for tax12,905568,798Form 4
2026-08-11Tian JingofficerWithheld for tax7,084331,361Form 4
2026-08-11Dillon James JDofficerWithheld for tax7,084241,408Form 4
2026-08-07Chang YahuiofficerAward / grant62,700262,960Form 4
2026-08-07ALON ZVIdirectorAward / grant233,9001,411,593Form 4
2026-08-07Tian JingofficerAward / grant61,800338,445Form 4
2026-08-07ROESCHLEIN BILLofficerAward / grant146,900581,703Form 4
2026-08-07Dillon James JDofficerAward / grant62,000248,492Form 4
2026-08-03ALON ZVIdirectorWithheld for tax61,1731,177,693Form 4
2026-08-03ROESCHLEIN BILLofficerWithheld for tax32,626434,803Form 4
2026-08-03Chang YahuiofficerWithheld for tax12,734200,260Form 4
2026-08-03Dillon James JDofficerWithheld for tax12,588186,492Form 4
2026-08-03Tian JingofficerWithheld for tax12,567276,645Form 4
2026-06-03ALON ZVIdirectorOption exercise10,4191,399,285Form 4
2026-06-03ALON ZVIdirectorOption exercise10,4190Form 4
2026-06-02ALON ZVIdirectorOption exercise84,3561,473,222Form 4
2026-06-02ALON ZVIdirectorOption exercise84,35610,419Form 4
2026-06-01ALON ZVIdirectorOption exercise42,1671,431,033Form 4
2026-06-01ALON ZVIdirectorOption exercise42,16794,775Form 4
2026-05-20Manor SagitdirectorAward / grant33,068386,598Form 4
2026-05-20Babai TomerdirectorAward / grant33,068277,902Form 4
2026-05-20SPLINTER MICHAEL RdirectorAward / grant33,068547,601Form 4
2026-05-20STERN STANLEYdirectorAward / grant33,068497,283Form 4
2026-05-20Conley Joan CdirectorAward / grant33,068277,902Form 4
2026-05-20SPLINTER MICHAEL RdirectorAward / grant9,920514,533Form 4
2026-03-17ALON ZVIdirectorWithheld for tax84,3491,388,866Form 4
2026-03-17ROESCHLEIN BILLofficerWithheld for tax45,642467,429Form 4
2026-03-17Dillon James JDofficerWithheld for tax18,793199,080Form 4
2026-03-17Tian JingofficerWithheld for tax18,574289,212Form 4
2026-03-17Chang YahuiofficerWithheld for tax9,461212,944Form 4
2026-03-17ROESCHLEIN BILLofficerAward / grant87,442513,071Form 4
2026-03-17ALON ZVIdirectorAward / grant163,9531,473,215Form 4
2026-03-17Dillon James JDofficerAward / grant35,117217,873Form 4
2026-03-17Tian JingofficerAward / grant35,057307,786Form 4
2026-03-17Chang YahuiofficerAward / grant17,461222,455Form 4
2026-01-15ALON ZVIdirectorWithheld for tax54,1531,309,262Form 4
2026-01-15ALON ZVIdirectorOption exercise140,0101,363,415Form 4
2026-01-15ALON ZVIdirectorOption exercise140,0100Form 4
2025-11-25SPLINTER MICHAEL RdirectorAward / grant20,949504,613Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.