TXNTexas Instruments IncorporatedTechnology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $278.07 · now $278.07 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, TXN has typically landed between $247.27 and $319.52 — a range of −11.1% to +14.9% from the issuance price $278.07.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($278.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TXN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $278.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$247.27worst · -11.1%$319.52best · +14.9%
  • now $278.07 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $276.54 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $259.97–$293.1
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $247.27–$319.52
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,692 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−29.6%−29.6%+0.2%
2008-10-30−26.8%−26.8%+2.2%
2008-09-23−26.1%−26.1%+5.6%
3 best
2026-04-07+45.6%+0.0%+45.6%
2026-03-24+45.0%−4.2%+45.0%
2026-03-31+44.8%+0.0%+45.4%

4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$254.4B
market cap
$6.58
EPS (TTM)
42.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-20
next earnings
Revenue$17.7B
'20'25
Net income$5.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.6B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr28.3%
'20'25
ROE · by yr30.7%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.95
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $278.07$23.13$427.92
  • DCF (intrinsic)$51.04
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$225.07
  • Analyst target · range $225.00–$400.00$312.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$278.07

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+2.2%
n=18
Feb
63%
+1.8%
n=19
Mar
63%
+1.2%
n=19
Apr
47%
+2.8%
n=19
May
74%
+3.7%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.5%
n=19
Jul
58%
+1.9%
n=19
Aug
53%
−0.1%
n=19
Sep
53%
−0.1%
n=19
Oct
56%
+0.8%
n=18
Nov
83%
+3.6%
n=18
Dec
50%
+0.4%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$332$1522026-08-27: 2 insider sales, $1.9M — Abraham Tsedeniya …2026-05-28: 2 insider sales, $3.2M — Craighead Martin S …2026-05-14: 4 insider sales, $16.3M — Lizardi Rafael R, BAHAI AHMAD …2026-05-13: 2 insider sales, $2.7M — COX CARRIE SMITH …2026-05-11: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Leonard Shanon J2026-05-04: 1 insider sale, $5.6M — Ilan Haviv2026-05-01: 2 insider sales, $2.8M — Knecht Julie C. …2026-04-30: 3 insider sales, $11.7M — Roberts Mark T., Gary Mark …2026-04-29: 3 insider sales, $13.8M — Yunus Mohammad …2026-04-27: 3 insider sales, $2.6M — Kane Katharine, BAHAI AHMAD …2026-04-24: 11 insider sales, $28.7M — Lizardi Rafael R, Leonard Shanon J, Ron Amichai, BLINN MARK A …2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Kozanian Hagop H2026-02-11: 3 insider sales, $6.1M — Gary Mark, Lizardi Rafael R, BAHAI AHMAD2026-02-10: 3 insider sales, $16.5M — Lizardi Rafael R, Gary Mark …2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $987K — Roberts Mark T.2026-02-05: 2 insider sales, $1.4M — BLINN MARK A, BAHAI AHMAD2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — KIRK RONALD2025-11-13: 1 insider sale, $164K — Witzsche Christine2025-08-25: 1 insider sale, $308K — BAHAI AHMAD2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $308K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-02: 10 open-market sales, $26.5M2026-04: 20 open-market sales, $56.9M2026-05: 12 open-market sales, $32.0M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.9M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Abraham Tsedeniya — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Abraham Tsedeniya — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Craighead Martin S — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Craighead Martin S — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BAHAI AHMAD — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector COX CARRIE SMITH — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector COX CARRIE SMITH — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Leonard Shanon J — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ilan Haviv — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Knecht Julie C. — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Knecht Julie C. — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Roberts Mark T. — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Gary Mark — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Roberts Mark T. — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Yunus Mohammad — Sale on 2026-04-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Yunus Mohammad — Sale on 2026-04-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Yunus Mohammad — Sale on 2026-04-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kane Katharine — Sale on 2026-04-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BAHAI AHMAD — Sale on 2026-04-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kane Katharine — Sale on 2026-04-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Leonard Shanon J — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Ron Amichai — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BLINN MARK A — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BLINN MARK A — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector PATSLEY PAMELA H — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Bluedorn Todd M — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Witzsche Christine — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BLINN MARK A — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Kozanian Hagop H — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Gary Mark — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BAHAI AHMAD — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lizardi Rafael R — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Gary Mark — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Roberts Mark T. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BLINN MARK A — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BAHAI AHMAD — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KIRK RONALD — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Witzsche Christine — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BAHAI AHMAD — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-27Abraham TsedeniyaofficerSale6,408 @ $264.60$1.7M−21.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open23,773Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-27Abraham TsedeniyaofficerSale592 @ $264.96$157K−2.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open23,181Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28Craighead Martin SdirectorSale9,643 @ $320.41$3.1M−39.6% of holding−8.1%not yet — horizon still open14,716Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-28Craighead Martin SdirectorSale357 @ $321.01$115K−2.4% of holding−8.1%not yet — horizon still open14,359Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale32,119 @ $307.85$9.9M−24.1% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open101,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale14,156 @ $308.54$4.4M−14.0% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open86,944Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14BAHAI AHMADofficerSale5,000 @ $309.13$1.5M−10.5% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open42,519Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale1,459 @ $309.45$451K−1.7% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open85,485Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13COX CARRIE SMITHdirectorSale8,393 @ $306.37$2.6M−18.1% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open38,071Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13COX CARRIE SMITHdirectorSale445 @ $307.04$137K−1.2% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open37,626Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Leonard Shanon JofficerSale4,963 @ $295.22$1.5M−16.6% of holding−3.4%not yet — horizon still open24,867Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04Ilan HavivdirectorSale20,000 @ $280.32$5.6M−8.9% of holding+5.4%not yet — horizon still open204,339Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01Knecht Julie C.officerSale9,865 @ $278.69$2.7M−51.7% of holding+4.8%not yet — horizon still open9,211Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-01Knecht Julie C.officerSale91 @ $280.08$25K−1.0% of holding+4.8%not yet — horizon still open9,120Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-30Roberts Mark T.officerSale20,294 @ $280.72$5.7M−27.4% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open53,809Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-30Gary MarkofficerSale13,689 @ $279.25$3.8M−23.1% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open45,547Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-30Roberts Mark T.officerSale7,786 @ $279.34$2.2M−9.5% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open74,103Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerSale21,923 @ $269.56$5.9M−21.1% of holding+7.8%not yet — horizon still open82,031Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerSale18,652 @ $271.47$5.1M−26.1% of holding+7.8%not yet — horizon still open52,856Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerSale10,523 @ $270.45$2.8M−12.8% of holding+7.8%not yet — horizon still open71,508Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-27Kane KatharineofficerSale4,175 @ $270.09$1.1M−13.3% of holding+13.5%not yet — horizon still open27,162Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-27BAHAI AHMADofficerSale3,660 @ $268.40$982K−7.9% of holding+13.5%not yet — horizon still open42,519Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-27Kane KatharineofficerSale1,950 @ $271.11$529K−7.2% of holding+13.5%not yet — horizon still open25,212Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-24Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale22,065 @ $273.74$6.0M−17.5% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open103,961Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Leonard Shanon JofficerSale18,189 @ $277.95$5.1M−36.3% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open31,975Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Ron AmichaiofficerSale18,365 @ $272.43$5.0M−18.5% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open81,085Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale16,057 @ $274.70$4.4M−15.4% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open87,904Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24BLINN MARK AdirectorSale6,000 @ $277.87$1.7M−100.0% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24BLINN MARK AdirectorSale6,000 @ $276.65$1.7M−100.0% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24PATSLEY PAMELA HdirectorSale4,306 @ $276.11$1.2M−11.1% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open34,487Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Bluedorn Todd MdirectorSale4,306 @ $274.25$1.2M−34.5% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open8,191Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Witzsche ChristineofficerSale3,625 @ $275.52$999K−12.4% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open25,617Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24BLINN MARK AdirectorSale3,000 @ $278.53$836K−98.5% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open46Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale2,419 @ $275.53$667K−2.8% of holding+12.7%not yet — horizon still open85,485Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-17Kozanian Hagop HofficerSale6,843 @ $225.95$1.5M−8.3% of holding−12.3%+8.3%75,425Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Gary MarkofficerSale12,921 @ $230.10$3.0M−22.1% of holding−11.5%+8.3%45,547Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale7,096 @ $230.78$1.6M−7.7% of holding−11.5%+8.3%85,454Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11BAHAI AHMADofficerSale6,500 @ $230.79$1.5M−13.3% of holding−11.5%+8.3%42,488Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale44,055 @ $220.51$9.7M−28.0% of holding−10.2%+13.6%113,027Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10Lizardi Rafael RofficerSale20,477 @ $221.22$4.5M−18.1% of holding−10.2%+13.6%92,550Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10Gary MarkofficerSale10,248 @ $220.83$2.3M−18.4% of holding−10.2%+13.6%45,547Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Roberts Mark T.officerSale4,461 @ $221.16$987K−6.5% of holding−6.7%+17.6%64,058Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-05BLINN MARK AdirectorSale3,144 @ $221.58$697K−21.2% of holding−12.5%+13.7%11,670Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-05BAHAI AHMADofficerSale3,000 @ $223.46$670K−6.6% of holding−12.5%+13.7%42,488Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24KIRK RONALDdirectorSale9,990 @ $162.33$1.6M−40.1% of holding+6.3%+84.7%14,937Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Witzsche ChristineofficerSale1,000 @ $164.31$164K−4.6% of holding+8.4%+76.9%20,821Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25BAHAI AHMADofficerSale1,500 @ $205.35$308K−3.7% of holding−13.6%−3.0%38,883Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-21BLINN MARK AdirectorSale0 @ $216.75$72−0.0% of holding−9.8%−18.6%3,046Form 4 · filed 37 days after the trade
2025-02-28TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale1,764 @ $194.66$343K−0.4% of holding−2.7%−4.3%410,048Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale1,205 @ $193.35$233K−0.3% of holding−2.7%−4.3%411,812Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale959 @ $195.82$188K−0.2% of holding−2.7%−4.3%409,089Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale629 @ $192.15$121K−0.2% of holding−2.7%−4.3%413,017Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-27TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale31,402 @ $194.85$6.1M−6.4% of holding−3.1%−3.2%460,731Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale24,764 @ $196.74$4.9M−5.6% of holding−3.1%−3.2%415,206Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale20,761 @ $195.94$4.1M−4.5% of holding−3.1%−3.2%439,970Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale6,602 @ $194.12$1.3M−1.3% of holding−3.1%−3.2%492,133Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale6,117 @ $197.62$1.2M−1.5% of holding−3.1%−3.2%409,089Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale5,000 @ $191.61$958K−1.0% of holding−3.1%−3.2%501,089Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale2,354 @ $192.55$453K−0.5% of holding−3.1%−3.2%498,735Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-26TEMPLETON RICHARD KdirectorSale44,291 @ $197.45$8.7M−9.0% of holding−4.5%−4.1%446,780Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

220 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-18PATSLEY PAMELA HdirectorAward / grant10765,606Form 4
2026-09-18FARMER CURTIS CdirectorAward / grant1072,261Form 4
2026-08-27Abraham TsedeniyaofficerOption exercise1,36530,181Form 4
2026-08-27Abraham TsedeniyaofficerOption exercise1,3650Form 4
2026-07-24Knecht Julie C.officerAward / grant7,15416,294Form 4
2026-06-19FARMER CURTIS CdirectorAward / grant852,144Form 4
2026-06-19PATSLEY PAMELA HdirectorAward / grant8565,170Form 4
2026-05-14Lizardi Rafael RofficerOption exercise47,734133,219Form 4
2026-05-14BAHAI AHMADofficerOption exercise5,00047,519Form 4
2026-05-14Lizardi Rafael RofficerOption exercise47,7340Form 4
2026-05-14BAHAI AHMADofficerOption exercise5,00016,534Form 4
2026-05-13COX CARRIE SMITHdirectorOption exercise4,30641,932Form 4
2026-05-13COX CARRIE SMITHdirectorOption exercise4,53246,464Form 4
2026-05-13COX CARRIE SMITHdirectorOption exercise4,3060Form 4
2026-05-13COX CARRIE SMITHdirectorOption exercise4,5320Form 4
2026-05-05Leonard Shanon JofficerWithheld for tax2,14529,830Form 4
2026-05-04Ilan HavivdirectorOption exercise20,000224,339Form 4
2026-05-04Ilan HavivdirectorOption exercise20,0000Form 4
2026-05-01Knecht Julie C.officerOption exercise5,37819,076Form 4
2026-05-01Knecht Julie C.officerOption exercise5,3780Form 4
2026-04-30Gary MarkofficerOption exercise13,68959,236Form 4
2026-04-30Roberts Mark T.officerOption exercise7,80081,889Form 4
2026-04-30Roberts Mark T.officerOption exercise6,80074,089Form 4
2026-04-30Roberts Mark T.officerOption exercise3,23167,289Form 4
2026-04-30Roberts Mark T.officerOption exercise3,2310Form 4
2026-04-30Knecht Julie C.officerGift17513,698Form 4
2026-04-30Gary MarkofficerOption exercise13,6890Form 4
2026-04-30Roberts Mark T.officerOption exercise7,8007,845Form 4
2026-04-30Roberts Mark T.officerOption exercise6,8000Form 4
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerOption exercise25,123103,954Form 4
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerOption exercise12,28678,831Form 4
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerOption exercise13,68966,545Form 4
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerOption exercise12,2860Form 4
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerOption exercise13,6890Form 4
2026-04-29Yunus MohammadofficerOption exercise25,1230Form 4
2026-04-27Kane KatharineofficerOption exercise5,02531,337Form 4
2026-04-27BAHAI AHMADofficerOption exercise3,66046,179Form 4
2026-04-27Kane KatharineofficerOption exercise1,10026,312Form 4
2026-04-27Kane KatharineofficerOption exercise1,1000Form 4
2026-04-27Kane KatharineofficerOption exercise5,0250Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-01$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousepurchase2026-05-222026-04-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-13$15–50K
Kevin HernHousesale2026-04-032026-03-18$500K–1M
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-22$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-22$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2026-01-152025-12-18$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousepurchase2025-12-192025-11-26$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.