Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.28 · now $6.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TTI has typically landed between $4.74 and $8.25 — a range of −24.5% to +31.3% from the issuance price $6.28.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TTI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $6.28 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.36 (+1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.56–$7.16
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.74–$8.25
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-24 | −78.4% | −78.4% | +6.7% |
| 2020-02-13 | −77.4% | −77.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −76.2% | −76.6% | +1.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2021-01-08 | +139.0% | +0.0% | +139.0% |
| 2021-01-11 | +134.9% | +0.0% | +136.8% |
| 2009-04-08 | +133.9% | +0.0% | +133.9% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | John Angela D | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $6.50 | $65K | +11.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 97,434 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-02 | Murphy Brady M | officer | Sale | 61 @ $10.01 | $610 | −0.0% of holding | −17.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,965,396 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Murphy Brady M | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $10.72 | $536K | −1.7% of holding | −25.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,965,457 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Hallead Kurt | officer | Purchase | 22,000 @ $9.86 | $217K | +14.8% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 170,764 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-10 | Boston Shoemake Alicia r | officer | Sale | 13,115 @ $7.96 | $104K | −9.0% of holding | +7.8% | +22.9% | 132,672 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Boston Shoemake Alicia r | officer | Sale | 6,142 @ $7.90 | $49K | −4.4% of holding | +7.8% | +22.9% | 132,672 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | Hallead Kurt | officer | Purchase | 72,633 @ $3.39 | $246K | +95.4% of holding | −12.2% | +116.8% | 148,764 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-05 | Hallead Kurt | officer | Purchase | 76,131 @ $2.74 | $209K | ownership Δ n/a | −0.6% | +141.6% | 76,131 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | John Angela D | director | Purchase | 18,000 @ $2.74 | $49K | +348.8% of holding | +2.8% | +134.8% | 23,160 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
280 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Murphy Brady M | officer | Withheld for tax | 23,806 | 3,002,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Murphy Brady M | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,934 | 3,037,434 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | SANDERSON MATTHEW | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,952 | 785,374 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | SANDERSON MATTHEW | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,734 | 794,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Moeller Timothy C | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,357 | 523,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | McNiven Roy | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,357 | 73,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Moeller Timothy C | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,352 | 531,497 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | McNiven Roy | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,352 | 82,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Boston Shoemake Alicia r | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,823 | 183,575 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Boston Shoemake Alicia r | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,174 | 177,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Moeller Timothy C | officer | Option exercise | 13,612 | 13,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | SANDERSON MATTHEW | officer | Option exercise | 14,570 | 43,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | SANDERSON MATTHEW | officer | Option exercise | 15,124 | 15,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Murphy Brady M | officer | Option exercise | 60,496 | 60,497 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Murphy Brady M | officer | Option exercise | 58,282 | 174,846 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Boston Shoemake Alicia r | officer | Option exercise | 8,066 | 180,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Boston Shoemake Alicia r | officer | Option exercise | 9,713 | 187,398 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Boston Shoemake Alicia r | officer | Option exercise | 8,066 | 8,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Boston Shoemake Alicia r | officer | Option exercise | 9,713 | 29,142 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | McNiven Roy | officer | Option exercise | 13,612 | 79,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | McNiven Roy | officer | Option exercise | 13,599 | 87,488 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | McNiven Roy | officer | Option exercise | 13,612 | 13,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | McNiven Roy | officer | Option exercise | 13,599 | 40,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Moeller Timothy C | officer | Option exercise | 13,612 | 528,607 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Moeller Timothy C | officer | Option exercise | 13,599 | 536,849 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Moeller Timothy C | officer | Option exercise | 13,599 | 40,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | SANDERSON MATTHEW | officer | Option exercise | 14,570 | 799,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | SANDERSON MATTHEW | officer | Option exercise | 15,124 | 791,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Murphy Brady M | officer | Option exercise | 60,496 | 3,025,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Murphy Brady M | officer | Option exercise | 58,282 | 3,060,368 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | GLICK JOHN F | director | Option exercise | 51,441 | 561,812 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | BATES THOMAS R JR | director | Option exercise | 37,723 | 569,647 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | McGee Sharon D. Booth | director | Option exercise | 37,723 | 137,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Garcia Christian A | director | Option exercise | 37,723 | 103,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Garcia Christian A | director | Option exercise | 37,723 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | BATES THOMAS R JR | director | Option exercise | 37,723 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | John Angela D | director | Option exercise | 37,723 | 87,434 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | McGee Sharon D. Booth | director | Option exercise | 37,723 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | GLICK JOHN F | director | Option exercise | 51,441 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | John Angela D | director | Option exercise | 37,723 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.