TTEK · TickerCove

TTEKTetra Tech, Inc.Industrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.47 · now $36.47 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TTEK has typically landed between $31.20 and $41.81 — a range of −14.4% to +14.7% from the issuance price $36.47.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.47) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$36.47 · 63% of range

$26.18 low$42.43 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.1%

typical move · IQR 11.6%

−14.4%worst (p90)+14.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TTEK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.47 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $36.47 (+0.0%)
typical $36.87 (+1.1%)
middle 50% $34.75–$38.99
90% range $31.2–$41.81

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-10	−38.8%	−38.8%	+4.2%
2008-09-11	−38.2%	−39.4%	+3.2%
2008-09-08	−37.3%	−37.3%	+3.4%
3 best
2008-11-20	+49.6%	+0.0%	+58.1%
2008-11-19	+46.2%	−7.5%	+46.2%
2008-07-07	+42.0%	+0.0%	+42.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−1.2%

n=20

Feb

45%

+0.2%

n=20

Mar

65%

+1.0%

n=20

Apr

60%

+2.5%

n=20

May

60%

+2.4%

n=20

Jun

60%

+0.8%

n=20

Jul

80%

+5.0%

n=20

Aug

45%

−0.1%

n=20

Sep

50%

+0.1%

n=20

Oct

70%

+4.1%

n=20

Nov

70%

+2.1%

n=20

Dec

40%

−0.5%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-15	Feeler Jeffrey R	director	Purchase	1,900 @ $26.41	$50K	ownership Δ n/a	+6.9%	not yet — horizon still open	1,900	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-04	CARTER BRIAN N	officer	Sale	9,979 @ $40.23	$401K	−17.7% of holding	−12.2%	−27.0%	46,496	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-14	Birkenbeuel Gary	director	Sale	2,390 @ $36.00	$86K	−6.0% of holding	−1.2%	−3.4%	37,725	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-04	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Sale	4,345 @ $34.31	$149K	−6.7% of holding	−12.3%	+2.5%	60,196	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-04	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Sale	4,100 @ $34.33	$141K	−6.0% of holding	−12.3%	+2.5%	64,541	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-04	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Sale	1,671 @ $34.41	$57K	−2.4% of holding	−12.3%	+2.5%	68,641	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

141 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-04	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Option exercise	2,300	74,218	Form 4
2026-08-04	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Option exercise	2,300	4,000	Form 4
2026-06-04	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Option exercise	1,700	71,918	Form 4
2026-06-04	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Option exercise	1,700	6,300	Form 4
2026-04-27	Thornburg Eric W	director	Award / grant	1,259	1,259	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	795	159,838	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	795	160,633	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	1,900	162,533	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	2,125	164,658	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	1,718	166,376	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Award / grant	25,883	192,259	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	4,500	149,908	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	2,250	152,158	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	1,925	154,083	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	2,910	156,993	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	2,050	159,043	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	4,500	0	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	2,250	2,250	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	1,925	1,925	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	2,910	0	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	2,050	0	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	795	0	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	1,900	0	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	2,125	0	Form 4
2026-03-16	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Option exercise	1,718	0	Form 4
2026-02-19	Obiaya Christiana	director	Option exercise	495	0	Form 4
2026-02-19	Argus Roger R	officer	Award / grant	28,174	28,174	Form 4
2026-02-19	Obiaya Christiana	director	Option exercise	495	9,666	Form 4
2026-02-10	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Option exercise	1,000	70,218	Form 4
2026-02-10	Volpi Kirsten M	director	Option exercise	1,000	8,000	Form 4
2026-02-06	BURDICK STEVEN M	officer	Gift	11,100	138,251	Form 4
2026-01-26	Hardwick M Susan	director	Award / grant	1,754	1,754	Form 4
2026-01-26	Feeler Jeffrey R	director	Award / grant	1,754	1,754	Form 4
2026-01-12	Birkenbeuel Gary	director	Award / grant	4,397	51,032	Form 4
2026-01-12	Birkenbeuel Gary	director	Option exercise	1,590	0	Form 4
2026-01-12	Ritrievi Kimberly E	director	Award / grant	2,208	145,408	Form 4
2026-01-12	Birkenbeuel Gary	director	Option exercise	1,590	46,635	Form 4
2025-11-30	BATRACK DAN L	director	Withheld for tax	22,396	332,498	Form 4
2025-11-30	BURDICK STEVEN M	officer	Withheld for tax	4,044	149,219	Form 4
2025-11-30	SHOEMAKER LESLIE L	director	Withheld for tax	3,707	325,821	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i