TTCThe Toro CompanyIndustrials · Manufacturing - Tools & Accessoriesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $92.32 · now $92.32 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TTC has typically landed between $82.83 and $104.12 — a range of −10.3% to +12.8% from the issuance price $92.32.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($92.32) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TTC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $92.32 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$82.83worst · -10.3%$104.12best · +12.8%
  • now $92.32 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $91.96 (-0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $87.73–$96.2
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $82.83–$104.12
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-01-28−34.8%−36.0%+0.0%
2009-01-22−33.8%−33.8%+3.5%
2020-02-21−33.7%−33.7%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20+33.3%+0.0%+35.7%
2025-12-09+28.4%+0.0%+28.4%
2008-11-19+27.7%−5.5%+28.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+0.8%
n=20
Feb
60%
+1.3%
n=20
Mar
55%
+0.2%
n=20
Apr
55%
+1.6%
n=20
May
55%
+0.7%
n=20
Jun
30%
−1.1%
n=20
Jul
65%
+2.6%
n=20
Aug
65%
+2.8%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.9%
n=20
Oct
55%
+1.0%
n=20
Nov
85%
+3.7%
n=20
Dec
65%
+2.9%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$101$672026-09-08: 1 insider sale, $14K — Funk Edric C2026-06-26: 3 insider sales, $136K — Funk Edric C …2026-06-23: 1 insider sale, $614K — Svendsen Kurt D2026-06-16: 1 insider purchase, $14K — Drake Angela C2026-06-11: 4 insider sales, $187K — MOELLER PETER D …2026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $455K — Ellis Gary Lee2026-03-24: 2 insider sales, $334K — JANEY GREGORY S …2026-03-10: 2 insider sales, $12.4M — Olson Richard M, O'Rourke James Calvin2026-03: 4 open-market sales, $12.8M2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $14K2026-06: 9 open-market sales, $1.4M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $14K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Funk Edric C — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Funk Edric C — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Funk Edric C — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Funk Edric C — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Svendsen Kurt D — Sale on 2026-06-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Drake Angela C — Purchase on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer MOELLER PETER D — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer MOELLER PETER D — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer MOELLER PETER D — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer MOELLER PETER D — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Ellis Gary Lee — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer JANEY GREGORY S — Sale on 2026-03-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer JANEY GREGORY S — Sale on 2026-03-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Olson Richard M — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector O'Rourke James Calvin — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Funk Edric CdirectorSale145 @ $94.36$14K−4.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open3,254Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-26Funk Edric CdirectorSale856 @ $97.97$84K−100.0% of holding−3.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-26Funk Edric CdirectorSale280 @ $97.97$27K−100.0% of holding−3.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-26Funk Edric CdirectorSale247 @ $97.97$24K−100.0% of holding−3.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-23Svendsen Kurt DofficerSale6,600 @ $93.09$614K−35.2% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open12,166Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Drake Angela CdirectorPurchase160 @ $90.00$14K+1.7% of holding+4.8%not yet — horizon still open9,571Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11MOELLER PETER DofficerSale1,320 @ $93.40$123K−49.5% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open1,348Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11MOELLER PETER DofficerSale480 @ $93.45$45K−41.8% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open668Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11MOELLER PETER DofficerSale100 @ $93.41$9K−8.0% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open1,148Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11MOELLER PETER DofficerSale100 @ $93.41$9K−7.4% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open1,248Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-09Ellis Gary LeedirectorSale4,951 @ $91.91$455K−12.3% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open35,297Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-24JANEY GREGORY SofficerSale1,750 @ $95.49$167K−24.1% of holding−7.0%not yet — horizon still open5,521Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-24JANEY GREGORY SofficerSale1,750 @ $95.44$167K−24.1% of holding−7.0%not yet — horizon still open5,521Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10Olson Richard MdirectorSale119,400 @ $100.15$12.0M−75.8% of holding−1.1%−16.6%38,186Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10O'Rourke James CalvindirectorSale4,951 @ $99.40$492K−64.7% of holding−1.1%−16.6%2,704Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-26Svendsen Kurt DofficerSale2,500 @ $70.98$177K−14.2% of holding+0.9%−1.2%15,146Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-26Svendsen Kurt DofficerSale2,211 @ $71.01$157K−15.8% of holding+0.9%−1.2%11,742Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-26Svendsen Kurt DofficerSale1,193 @ $71.00$85K−7.9% of holding+0.9%−1.2%13,953Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-26Svendsen Kurt DofficerSale96 @ $71.01$7K−0.8% of holding+0.9%−1.2%11,646Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11Ellis Gary LeedirectorSale5,038 @ $70.81$357K−12.9% of holding+0.6%−10.2%34,062Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09Funk Edric CdirectorPurchase100 @ $69.64$7K+27.7% of holding+2.3%−14.6%461Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09Funk Edric CdirectorPurchase15 @ $69.66$1K+3.3% of holding+2.3%−14.6%476Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-12Funk Edric CdirectorPurchase67 @ $73.53$5K+335.0% of holding−2.7%−8.1%87Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12Funk Edric CdirectorPurchase0 @ $73.58$12+0.2% of holding−2.7%−8.1%87Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Funk Edric CdirectorPurchase40 @ $77.10$3K+12.5% of holding−6.2%−13.6%361Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-20Funk Edric CdirectorPurchase280 @ $81.48$23Kownership Δ n/a+3.3%−15.7%280Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2024-12-20Funk Edric CdirectorPurchase20 @ $81.48$2Kownership Δ n/a+3.3%−15.7%20Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

195 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Funk Edric CdirectorOption exercise6,2486,248Form 4
2026-09-02Funk Edric CdirectorWithheld for tax2,8493,399Form 4
2026-09-02Funk Edric CdirectorOption exercise6,24812,496Form 4
2026-07-13Totsky Joanna M.officerOption exercise207,740Form 4
2026-07-13Totsky Joanna M.officerWithheld for tax67,734Form 4
2026-07-13Totsky Joanna M.officerOption exercise200Form 4
2026-06-23Svendsen Kurt DofficerOption exercise6,60018,766Form 4
2026-06-23Svendsen Kurt DofficerOption exercise6,6000Form 4
2026-06-22Totsky Joanna M.officerOption exercise4,8599,888Form 4
2026-06-22Totsky Joanna M.officerWithheld for tax2,1687,720Form 4
2026-06-22Totsky Joanna M.officerOption exercise4,8590Form 4
2026-06-11MOELLER PETER DofficerOption exercise2,0002,668Form 4
2026-06-11MOELLER PETER DofficerOption exercise2,0000Form 4
2026-06-09Ellis Gary LeedirectorOption exercise4,95140,248Form 4
2026-06-09Ellis Gary LeedirectorOption exercise4,9510Form 4
2026-04-14Riley LoriofficerOption exercise141,763Form 4
2026-04-14Riley LoriofficerWithheld for tax51,758Form 4
2026-04-14Riley LoriofficerOption exercise147,004Form 4
2026-04-01Riley LoriofficerOption exercise3,4943,494Form 4
2026-04-01Riley LoriofficerWithheld for tax1,7451,749Form 4
2026-04-01Riley LoriofficerOption exercise3,4946,990Form 4
2026-03-24JANEY GREGORY SofficerOption exercise1,7507,271Form 4
2026-03-24JANEY GREGORY SofficerOption exercise1,7500Form 4
2026-03-11KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorGift2,61618,191Form 4
2026-03-11KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorGift2,6160Form 4
2026-03-10Olson Richard MdirectorOption exercise119,400157,586Form 4
2026-03-10Drake Angela CdirectorOption exercise2,73010,798Form 4
2026-03-10KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorWithheld for tax2,3352,616Form 4
2026-03-10O'Rourke James CalvindirectorOption exercise4,9517,655Form 4
2026-03-10KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorOption exercise4,9514,951Form 4
2026-03-10Drake Angela CdirectorWithheld for tax1,3879,411Form 4
2026-03-10O'Rourke James CalvindirectorOption exercise4,9510Form 4
2026-03-10Drake Angela CdirectorOption exercise2,7300Form 4
2026-03-10Olson Richard MdirectorOption exercise119,4000Form 4
2026-03-10KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorOption exercise4,9510Form 4
2026-03-02MOELLER PETER DofficerOption exercise951957Form 4
2026-03-02Svendsen Kurt DofficerOption exercise47612,291Form 4
2026-03-02MOELLER PETER DofficerWithheld for tax291666Form 4
2026-03-02Svendsen Kurt DofficerWithheld for tax17312,118Form 4
2026-03-02MOELLER PETER DofficerOption exercise9510Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.