Issued 2026-09-16 at $58.67 · now $58.67 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TTAN has typically landed between $46.55 and $74.74 — a range of −20.7% to +27.4% from the issuance price $58.67.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
419 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-12-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($58.67) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TTAN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $58.67 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $58.67 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $58.47 (-0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $52.72–$64.23
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $46.55–$74.74
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 419 windows spanning 2024-12-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-12 | −42.9% | −42.9% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-09 | −40.8% | −43.9% | +0.0% |
| 2026-08-12 | −40.6% | −40.6% | +9.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-23 | +37.4% | +0.0% | +37.6% |
| 2026-07-24 | +35.7% | +0.0% | +35.7% |
| 2025-04-04 | +32.8% | +0.0% | +48.1% |
419 overlapping windows · 2024-12-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
0%
−13.3%
n=2
Feb
0%
−7.6%
n=2
Mar
50%
−6.1%
n=2
Apr
50%
+7.6%
n=2
May
50%
+8.7%
n=2
Jun
0%
−2.7%
n=2
Jul
100%
+13.2%
n=2
Aug
50%
+5.0%
n=2
Sep
0%
−23.1%
n=2
Oct
0%
−6.4%
n=1
Nov
0%
−5.3%
n=1
Dec
100%
+19.2%
n=1
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Sherry David | officer | Sale | 6,305 @ $90.83 | $573K | −1.6% of holding | −32.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 389,452 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Sherry David | officer | Sale | 2,649 @ $90.83 | $241K | −0.7% of holding | −32.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 386,803 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Sherry David | officer | Sale | 46 @ $90.83 | $4K | −0.0% of holding | −32.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 386,757 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 6,072 @ $88.95 | $540K | −45.4% of holding | −39.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,299 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 2,887 @ $88.95 | $257K | −39.6% of holding | −39.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,412 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 2,275 @ $88.95 | $202K | −100.0% of holding | −39.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 2,137 @ $88.95 | $190K | −48.4% of holding | −39.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,275 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 1,180 @ $88.95 | $105K | −7.6% of holding | −39.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,404 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 1,033 @ $88.95 | $92K | −7.2% of holding | −39.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,371 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 804 @ $88.95 | $72K | −4.9% of holding | −39.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 49,395 @ $88.84 | $4.4M | −94.4% of holding | −35.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,913 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 35,402 @ $88.84 | $3.1M | −40.4% of holding | −35.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 52,308 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 16,160 @ $88.84 | $1.4M | −14.6% of holding | −35.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 94,856 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 7,146 @ $88.84 | $635K | −7.5% of holding | −35.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,710 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 3,716 @ $88.84 | $330K | −3.2% of holding | −35.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 111,016 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Sale | 2,913 @ $88.84 | $259K | −100.0% of holding | −35.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 17,167 @ $84.89 | $1.5M | −49.6% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,430 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 11,902 @ $84.89 | $1.0M | −68.3% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,528 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 5,528 @ $84.89 | $469K | −100.0% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 3,445 @ $84.89 | $292K | −9.1% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,597 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 245 @ $84.89 | $21K | −0.6% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,042 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 26,473 @ $84.75 | $2.2M | −77.2% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,834 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 15,459 @ $84.75 | $1.3M | −31.1% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,307 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 3,271 @ $84.75 | $277K | −67.0% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,613 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 2,950 @ $84.75 | $250K | −37.7% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,884 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 1,613 @ $84.75 | $137K | −100.0% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +16.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Sherry David | officer | Sale | 1,253 @ $79.31 | $99K | −0.3% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 396,780 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Sherry David | officer | Sale | 449 @ $79.31 | $36K | −0.1% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 396,331 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Sherry David | officer | Sale | 442 @ $79.31 | $35K | −0.1% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 395,889 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Sherry David | officer | Sale | 132 @ $79.31 | $10K | −0.0% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 395,757 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-13 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 28,048 @ $80.98 | $2.3M | −99.4% of holding | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 179 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 23,720 @ $80.98 | $1.9M | −45.7% of holding | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | O'Connor Michele | officer | Sale | 4,910 @ $80.93 | $397K | −6.4% of holding | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,676 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Sale | 179 @ $80.98 | $14K | −100.0% of holding | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-06 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 8,845 @ $65.26 | $577K | −64.2% of holding | +7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,937 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 53,295 @ $63.42 | $3.4M | −8.2% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 595,196 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Sale | 53,295 @ $63.42 | $3.4M | −8.2% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 595,196 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 39,739 @ $63.42 | $2.5M | −8.2% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 443,811 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Sale | 39,739 @ $63.42 | $2.5M | −8.2% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 443,811 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Deeter Byron B | director | Sale | 8,845 @ $63.35 | $560K | −39.1% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,782 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 791 @ $64.18 | $51K | −0.1% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 594,405 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Sale | 791 @ $64.18 | $51K | −0.1% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 594,405 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 590 @ $64.18 | $38K | −0.1% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 443,221 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Sale | 590 @ $64.18 | $38K | −0.1% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 443,221 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners V, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 115 @ $63.01 | $7K | −0.0% of holding | +11.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 648,491 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
142 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Conversion | 16,388 | 16,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Conversion | 16,388 | 5,372,245 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Conversion | 114,732 | 114,732 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Kuzoyan Vahe | director | Conversion | 114,732 | 5,388,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Conversion | 38,287 | 38,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Conversion | 38,287 | 4,204,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Conversion | 49,766 | 4,242,308 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Mahdessian Ara | director | Conversion | 49,766 | 49,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 93,636 | 512,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 556,878 | 3,046,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 435,948 | 2,384,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 121,522 | 664,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 113,731 | 622,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 229,384 | 1,254,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 229,384 | 1,254,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 556,878 | 3,046,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 556,878 | 3,046,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 121,522 | 664,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 556,878 | 3,046,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 121,522 | 664,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 93,636 | 512,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 113,731 | 622,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 121,522 | 664,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 229,384 | 1,254,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 229,384 | 1,254,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 121,522 | 664,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 229,384 | 1,254,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 113,731 | 622,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 556,878 | 3,046,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 556,878 | 3,046,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 121,522 | 664,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 435,948 | 2,384,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 229,384 | 1,254,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 435,948 | 2,384,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 556,878 | 3,046,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 121,522 | 664,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 93,636 | 512,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 93,636 | 512,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 113,731 | 622,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 229,384 | 1,254,835 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.