Issued 2026-09-25 at $9.87 · now $9.87 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, TSSI has typically landed between $6.38 and $17.06 — a range of −35.3% to +72.9% from the issuance price $9.87.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,990 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-25 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($9.87) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TSSI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $9.87 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.87 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.52 (+6.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.1–$12.93
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.38–$17.06
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,990 windows spanning 2006-09-25 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2015-11-11 | −66.7% | −66.7% | +0.0% |
| 2016-12-13 | −63.6% | −63.6% | +0.0% |
| 2016-12-14 | −63.6% | −63.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2010-03-29 | +226.2% | +0.0% | +229.5% |
| 2017-03-07 | +220.0% | +0.0% | +220.0% |
| 2017-03-03 | +210.0% | +0.0% | +210.0% |
4,990 overlapping windows · 2006-09-25 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+10.9%
n=20
Feb
35%
+6.4%
n=20
Mar
45%
+5.8%
n=20
Apr
50%
+14.1%
n=20
May
40%
+7.0%
n=20
Jun
20%
−1.5%
n=20
Jul
45%
+1.0%
n=20
Aug
50%
−0.7%
n=20
Sep
45%
+5.5%
n=20
Oct
40%
+0.9%
n=20
Nov
35%
−0.8%
n=20
Dec
40%
−1.8%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 12,000 @ $12.27 | $147K | −4.1% of holding | +12.2% | −46.2% | 279,137 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Woodward Peter H | director | Sale | 21,700 @ $8.30 | $180K | −100.0% of holding | +14.3% | +51.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-09 | Woodward Peter H | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $8.82 | $265K | −58.0% of holding | −4.3% | +31.7% | 21,700 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | FAHY MICHAEL JOHN | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $8.00 | $40K | ownership Δ n/a | −10.6% | +33.0% | 5,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $16.17 | $243K | −4.8% of holding | +21.4% | −22.9% | 296,219 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 11,100 @ $16.17 | $179K | −3.6% of holding | +21.4% | −22.9% | 295,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 23,908 @ $16.16 | $386K | −7.2% of holding | +17.3% | −41.3% | 306,675 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $16.20 | $81K | −1.6% of holding | +17.3% | −41.3% | 311,219 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $16.25 | $163K | −3.1% of holding | +10.6% | −40.5% | 316,219 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 2,917 @ $16.23 | $47K | −0.9% of holding | +10.6% | −40.5% | 330,583 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 5,025 @ $21.10 | $106K | −1.7% of holding | −3.3% | −71.1% | 287,975 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $15.00 | $75K | −1.7% of holding | +80.3% | −56.2% | 293,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-01 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $14.50 | $73K | −1.7% of holding | +79.2% | −49.9% | 298,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $13.89 | $208K | −4.7% of holding | +79.2% | −49.9% | 303,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $13.50 | $68K | −1.5% of holding | +132.5% | −50.4% | 318,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $13.07 | $131K | −3.0% of holding | +101.0% | −55.7% | 323,000 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Woodward Peter H | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $9.07 | $454K | −4.1% of holding | +34.1% | +188.2% | 1,183,521 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 26,455 @ $9.69 | $256K | −7.4% of holding | +23.4% | +153.1% | 333,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-11 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 46,470 @ $9.35 | $434K | −11.4% of holding | +21.3% | +136.3% | 359,455 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $9.23 | $461K | −12.8% of holding | +27.2% | +135.4% | 340,914 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-06 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $10.23 | $409K | −9.3% of holding | +21.8% | +106.7% | 390,914 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | Oliver James Mulford III | officer | Sale | 55,772 @ $11.14 | $621K | −34.8% of holding | +28.8% | +92.6% | 104,504 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-11-29 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $10.22 | $409K | −8.5% of holding | +18.8% | +67.2% | 430,914 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-29 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.20 | $51K | −50.0% of holding | +18.8% | +67.2% | 5,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-27 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 368 @ $10.31 | $4K | −0.4% of holding | +23.7% | +76.9% | 86,000 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-25 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Sale | 51,913 @ $8.25 | $428K | −9.9% of holding | +49.5% | +78.7% | 470,914 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-11-25 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 46,675 @ $8.10 | $378K | −10.3% of holding | +49.5% | +78.7% | 405,925 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-11-25 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 29,778 @ $7.98 | $238K | −25.6% of holding | +49.5% | +78.7% | 86,368 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-11-22 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Sale | 150,000 @ $7.24 | $1.1M | −22.3% of holding | +44.6% | +95.8% | 522,827 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-22 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $7.38 | $369K | −30.1% of holding | +44.6% | +95.8% | 116,146 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-21 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Sale | 67,962 @ $7.50 | $510K | −9.2% of holding | +37.9% | +67.4% | 672,827 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-11-19 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 46,222 @ $8.13 | $376K | −21.8% of holding | +26.9% | +58.7% | 166,146 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-11-19 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 32,720 @ $7.89 | $258K | −6.7% of holding | +26.9% | +58.7% | 452,600 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-09-13 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 45,000 @ $5.09 | $229K | −8.5% of holding | +12.8% | +69.1% | 485,320 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-09-12 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 15,110 @ $4.88 | $74K | −2.8% of holding | +27.6% | +89.1% | 530,320 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-09-11 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 27,450 @ $4.82 | $132K | −4.8% of holding | +26.9% | +95.6% | 545,430 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-09-10 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $4.88 | $49K | −1.7% of holding | +28.0% | +83.9% | 572,880 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-09-09 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 35,000 @ $5.13 | $180K | −5.7% of holding | +27.2% | +89.5% | 582,880 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-30 | Woodward Peter H | director | Sale | 292,381 @ $4.91 | $1.4M | −19.2% of holding | +36.0% | +100.3% | 1,233,521 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-29 | Woodward Peter H | director | Sale | 326,622 @ $5.06 | $1.7M | −17.6% of holding | +42.3% | +94.2% | 1,525,902 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-27 | Oliver James Mulford III | officer | Sale | 17,500 @ $5.00 | $87K | −9.1% of holding | +41.4% | +114.4% | 175,414 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-08-26 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 23,850 @ $4.58 | $109K | −16.4% of holding | +49.6% | +127.8% | 121,325 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-08-23 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Sale | 40,000 @ $4.44 | $177K | −21.6% of holding | +46.9% | +147.1% | 145,175 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-19 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $3.99 | $100K | −5.2% of holding | +27.5% | +210.2% | 452,600 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2024-04-03 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $0.60 | $6K | ownership Δ n/a | +42.6% | +969.8% | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
62 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Withheld for tax | 49,188 | 403,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,019 | 291,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,117 | 286,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-29 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Withheld for tax | 25,960 | 599,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-16 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Withheld for tax | 26,903 | 625,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-16 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,175 | 358,824 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-16 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,175 | 294,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Award / grant | 33,113 | 370,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | FAHY MICHAEL JOHN | director | Award / grant | 3,784 | 8,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Woodward Peter H | director | Award / grant | 3,784 | 19,358 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Metzler Richard M. | director | Award / grant | 3,784 | 153,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Award / grant | 37,843 | 652,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Award / grant | 29,801 | 306,837 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Brennan Kieran | officer | Award / grant | 12,181 | 300,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | MOHINDRA VIVEK | director | Award / grant | 3,784 | 3,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Option exercise | 41,667 | 337,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Option exercise | 41,667 | 83,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Withheld for tax | 13,539 | 614,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,539 | 277,036 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-03 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Gift | 5,000 | 290,575 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | MOHINDRA VIVEK | director | Award / grant | 6,000 | 6,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-07 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,755 | 326,219 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-16 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Withheld for tax | 12,884 | 428,030 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-16 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,026 | 196,974 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-16 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 183,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-16 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 440,914 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-16 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Award / grant | 200,000 | 628,030 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-16 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 333,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-16 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Award / grant | 80,000 | 205,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-16 | CHISM DANIEL M | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 346,974 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Gift | 1,500 | 83,500 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-05 | MARROTT KARL TODD | officer | Gift | 1,000 | 85,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-24 | Metzler Richard M. | director | Option exercise | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-24 | Metzler Richard M. | director | Option exercise | 150,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-15 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Withheld for tax | 181,252 | 740,789 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-15 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Option exercise | 416,666 | 922,041 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-15 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Option exercise | 416,666 | 416,668 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-03 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Withheld for tax | 183,791 | 505,375 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-03 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Option exercise | 416,666 | 689,166 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-03 | Dewan Darryll E | director | Option exercise | 416,666 | 833,333 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.