TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $378.92 · now $378.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TRV has typically landed between $349.35 and $420.21 — a range of −7.8% to +10.9% from the issuance price $378.92.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($378.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TRV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $378.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$349.35worst · -7.8%$420.21best · +10.9%
  • now $378.92 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $384.5 (+1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $369.67$399.33
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $349.35$420.21
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−39.5%−39.5%+0.0%
2020-02-13−37.4%−37.4%+0.6%
2020-02-19−35.6%−38.9%+0.5%
3 best
2020-05-07+33.6%−6.2%+33.6%
2020-05-06+33.3%−3.7%+33.3%
2020-05-08+29.7%−7.7%+31.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$80.8B
market cap
$37.34
EPS (TTM)
10.4
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-15
next earnings
Revenue$48.8B
'20'25
Net income$6.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$10.6B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr12.9%
'20'25
ROE · by yr19.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.28
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $378.92$235.30$1,028
  • DCF (intrinsic)$973.70
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$611.71
  • Analyst target · range $290.00$430.00$340.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$378.92

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.1%
n=18
Feb
68%
+1.5%
n=19
Mar
74%
+1.8%
n=19
Apr
63%
+0.7%
n=19
May
53%
+0.3%
n=19
Jun
53%
−0.4%
n=19
Jul
53%
+1.3%
n=19
Aug
63%
+0.7%
n=19
Sep
58%
+0.8%
n=19
Oct
72%
+4.2%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.0%
n=18
Dec
67%
+1.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$397$2592026-08-28: 1 insider sale, $2.2M — OLIVO MARIA2026-07-24: 2 insider sales, $4.4M — Yin Daniel Tei-Hwa, Kurtzman Diane2026-07-22: 4 insider sales, $3.5M — Rowland David Donnay, BESSETTE ANDY F, Munson Paul E. …2026-07-21: 6 insider sales, $13.4M — Frey Daniel S., Lefebvre Mojgan M, Klein Michael Frederick …2026-05-26: 3 insider sales, $3.1M — Klein Michael Frederick …2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — BESSETTE ANDY F2026-04-28: 3 insider sales, $2.6M — Kess Avrohom J., HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2026-04-20: 5 insider sales, $5.9M — Klein Michael Frederick, Klenk Jeffrey P., Kurtzman Diane …2026-02-26: 2 insider sales, $4.6M — OLIVO MARIA, Rowland David Donnay2026-02-25: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Munson Paul E. …2026-02-23: 3 insider sales, $1.2M — HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2026-02-20: 4 insider sales, $7.8M — Toczydlowski Gregory C, Frey Daniel S., Kess Avrohom J., HEYMAN WILLIAM H2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Lefebvre Mojgan M2026-02-17: 4 insider sales, $2.1M — BESSETTE ANDY F, HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2026-02-06: 3 insider sales, $6.4M — OLIVO MARIA, Klein Michael Frederick, HEYMAN WILLIAM H2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — HEYMAN WILLIAM H2026-02-04: 3 insider sales, $16.4M — Schnitzer Alan D …2026-01-23: 1 insider sale, $4.7M — Klenk Jeffrey P.2025-11-26: 1 insider sale, $2.6M — OLIVO MARIA2025-11-25: 3 insider sales, $1.2M — HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Kurtzman Diane2025-11-21: 3 insider sales, $2.0M — Rowland David Donnay, HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2025-11-13: 2 insider sales, $522K — HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2025-11-12: 2 insider sales, $575K — HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2025-11-11: 3 insider sales, $1.1M — HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2025-11-10: 2 insider sales, $563K — HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $280K — HEYMAN WILLIAM H2025-11-06: 1 insider sale, $7.0M — Frey Daniel S.2025-10-28: 2 insider sales, $2.3M — Klein Michael Frederick …2025-08-22: 3 insider sales, $5.2M — Lefebvre Mojgan M, HEYMAN WILLIAM H …2025-08: 5 open-market sales, $9.9M2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $2.3M2025-11: 19 open-market sales, $17.3M2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $4.7M2026-02: 23 open-market sales, $43.0M2026-04: 8 open-market sales, $8.4M2026-05: 4 open-market sales, $4.4M2026-07: 12 open-market sales, $21.3M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $2.2M↑ buys↓ salesofficer OLIVO MARIA — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Yin Daniel Tei-Hwa — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Kurtzman Diane — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Rowland David Donnay — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BESSETTE ANDY F — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Munson Paul E. — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BESSETTE ANDY F — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Frey Daniel S. — Sale on 2026-07-21, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lefebvre Mojgan M — Sale on 2026-07-21, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lefebvre Mojgan M — Sale on 2026-07-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2026-07-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Frey Daniel S. — Sale on 2026-07-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2026-07-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BESSETTE ANDY F — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Kess Avrohom J. — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2026-04-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klenk Jeffrey P. — Sale on 2026-04-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2026-04-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kurtzman Diane — Sale on 2026-04-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kurtzman Diane — Sale on 2026-04-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer OLIVO MARIA — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rowland David Donnay — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Munson Paul E. — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Munson Paul E. — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Toczydlowski Gregory C — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Frey Daniel S. — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Kess Avrohom J. — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Lefebvre Mojgan M — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BESSETTE ANDY F — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BESSETTE ANDY F — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BESSETTE ANDY F — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer OLIVO MARIA — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Schnitzer Alan D — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Schnitzer Alan D — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Schnitzer Alan D — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klenk Jeffrey P. — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer OLIVO MARIA — Sale on 2025-11-26, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kurtzman Diane — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rowland David Donnay — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Frey Daniel S. — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klein Michael Frederick — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lefebvre Mojgan M — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer HEYMAN WILLIAM H — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28OLIVO MARIAofficerSale6,000 @ $369.86$2.2M−4.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open118,742Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-24Yin Daniel Tei-HwaofficerSale7,153 @ $387.00$2.8M−9.4% of holding−7.6%not yet — horizon still open68,834Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-24Kurtzman DianeofficerSale4,164 @ $386.71$1.6M−44.0% of holding−7.6%not yet — horizon still open5,298Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-22Rowland David DonnayofficerSale5,000 @ $371.69$1.9M−32.3% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open10,479Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-22BESSETTE ANDY FofficerSale2,900 @ $368.09$1.1M−11.9% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open21,384Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-22Munson Paul E.officerSale1,525 @ $369.90$564K−67.5% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open735Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-22BESSETTE ANDY FofficerSale100 @ $368.87$37K−0.5% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open21,284Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-21Frey Daniel S.officerSale11,037 @ $368.16$4.1M−28.6% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open27,535Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-21Lefebvre Mojgan MdirectorSale9,213 @ $368.35$3.4M−100.0% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-21Lefebvre Mojgan MdirectorSale7,100 @ $368.40$2.6M−100.0% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-21Klein Michael FrederickofficerSale5,875 @ $366.12$2.2M−11.5% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open45,125Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-21Frey Daniel S.officerSale3,000 @ $368.52$1.1M−9.8% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open27,535Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-21Klein Michael FrederickofficerSale125 @ $364.90$46K−0.2% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open51,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Klein Michael FrederickofficerSale6,069 @ $307.10$1.9M−11.0% of holding+6.8%not yet — horizon still open49,056Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Klein Michael FrederickofficerSale2,412 @ $308.33$744K−4.9% of holding+6.8%not yet — horizon still open46,644Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Klein Michael FrederickofficerSale1,519 @ $308.79$469K−3.3% of holding+6.8%not yet — horizon still open45,125Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22BESSETTE ANDY FofficerSale4,255 @ $308.11$1.3M−14.9% of holding+6.5%not yet — horizon still open24,284Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-28Kess Avrohom J.directorSale6,735 @ $308.78$2.1M−12.1% of holding−11.1%not yet — horizon still open48,737Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $311.00$311K−0.4% of holding−11.1%not yet — horizon still open259,590Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale557 @ $310.00$173K−0.2% of holding−11.1%not yet — horizon still open260,590Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20Klein Michael FrederickofficerSale6,730 @ $303.47$2.0M−12.2% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open48,395Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20Klenk Jeffrey P.officerSale6,414 @ $305.06$2.0M−51.4% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open6,075Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20Klein Michael FrederickofficerSale3,270 @ $304.38$995K−6.8% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open45,125Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20Kurtzman DianeofficerSale1,480 @ $303.47$449K−21.8% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open5,298Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20Kurtzman DianeofficerSale1,387 @ $303.42$421K−20.7% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open5,298Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-26OLIVO MARIAofficerSale10,400 @ $306.60$3.2M−7.7% of holding+1.2%+9.1%124,742Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-26Rowland David DonnayofficerSale4,731 @ $308.52$1.5M−31.1% of holding+1.2%+9.1%10,479Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25Munson Paul E.officerSale2,800 @ $306.04$857K−79.2% of holding+2.6%+11.6%735Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25Munson Paul E.officerSale927 @ $306.04$284K−55.8% of holding+2.6%+11.6%735Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale2,000 @ $307.88$616K−0.8% of holding+0.3%+9.8%260,590Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $309.00$309K−0.4% of holding+0.3%+9.8%259,590Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $305.00$305K−0.4% of holding+0.3%+9.8%259,590Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-20Toczydlowski Gregory CofficerSale12,200 @ $299.76$3.7M−39.8% of holding+1.9%+8.5%18,416Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-20Frey Daniel S.officerSale8,000 @ $299.50$2.4M−22.5% of holding+1.9%+8.5%27,535Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-20Kess Avrohom J.directorSale4,756 @ $300.44$1.4M−8.6% of holding+1.9%+8.5%50,862Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-20HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $304.00$304K−0.4% of holding+1.9%+8.5%259,590Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-19Lefebvre Mojgan MdirectorSale5,827 @ $298.25$1.7M−100.0% of holding+4.2%+10.5%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17BESSETTE ANDY FofficerSale4,014 @ $297.25$1.2M−15.5% of holding+3.5%+10.9%21,861Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17BESSETTE ANDY FofficerSale1,443 @ $298.27$430K−6.6% of holding+3.5%+10.9%20,418Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $300.00$300K−0.4% of holding+3.5%+10.9%255,086Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17BESSETTE ANDY FofficerSale543 @ $299.03$162K−2.7% of holding+3.5%+10.9%19,875Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-06OLIVO MARIAofficerSale10,400 @ $300.75$3.1M−8.1% of holding+2.6%+13.0%117,596Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-06Klein Michael FrederickofficerSale10,000 @ $301.18$3.0M−22.9% of holding+2.6%+13.0%33,638Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-06HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $303.00$303K−0.4% of holding+2.6%+13.0%255,086Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-05HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale5,000 @ $302.00$1.5M−1.9% of holding+0.9%+14.3%255,086Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-04Schnitzer Alan DdirectorSale26,509 @ $294.18$7.8M−8.4% of holding+5.8%+19.2%289,553Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Schnitzer Alan DdirectorSale23,078 @ $295.00$6.8M−8.0% of holding+5.8%+19.2%266,475Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Schnitzer Alan DdirectorSale6,146 @ $295.82$1.8M−2.3% of holding+5.8%+19.2%260,329Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-23Klenk Jeffrey P.officerSale16,712 @ $279.77$4.7M−73.3% of holding+10.2%+33.9%6,075Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-26OLIVO MARIAofficerSale8,920 @ $295.73$2.6M−7.1% of holding−2.0%−13.4%117,596Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-25HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale2,000 @ $293.50$587K−0.8% of holding−2.7%−12.6%257,086Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $296.00$296K−0.4% of holding−2.7%−12.6%255,086Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $295.00$295K−0.4% of holding−2.7%−12.6%256,086Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24Kurtzman DianeofficerSale4,805 @ $290.00$1.4M−55.7% of holding−2.1%−11.5%3,819Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-21Rowland David DonnayofficerSale5,000 @ $290.57$1.5M−22.2% of holding−3.5%−10.3%17,562Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $292.00$292K−0.4% of holding−3.5%−10.3%255,086Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $291.00$291K−0.4% of holding−3.5%−10.3%256,086Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-13HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $290.00$290K−0.4% of holding+0.2%−3.3%255,086Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale803 @ $289.00$232K−0.3% of holding+0.2%−3.3%256,086Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-12HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerSale1,000 @ $288.00$288K−0.4% of holding+0.3%−3.2%255,086Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

202 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Jabbour Anthony MdirectorAward / grant446446Form 4
2026-07-24Yin Daniel Tei-HwaofficerOption exercise7,15375,987Form 4
2026-07-24Kurtzman DianeofficerOption exercise4,1649,462Form 4
2026-07-24Yin Daniel Tei-HwaofficerOption exercise7,1530Form 4
2026-07-24Kurtzman DianeofficerOption exercise4,1640Form 4
2026-07-22Rowland David DonnayofficerOption exercise5,00015,479Form 4
2026-07-22Munson Paul E.officerOption exercise1,5252,260Form 4
2026-07-22Munson Paul E.officerOption exercise1,5250Form 4
2026-07-22Rowland David DonnayofficerOption exercise5,00022,755Form 4
2026-07-21Frey Daniel S.officerOption exercise11,03738,572Form 4
2026-07-21Lefebvre Mojgan MdirectorOption exercise9,2139,213Form 4
2026-07-21Lefebvre Mojgan MdirectorOption exercise7,1007,100Form 4
2026-07-21Klein Michael FrederickofficerOption exercise6,00051,125Form 4
2026-07-21Frey Daniel S.officerOption exercise3,00030,535Form 4
2026-07-21Frey Daniel S.officerOption exercise11,0370Form 4
2026-07-21Frey Daniel S.officerOption exercise3,00022,205Form 4
2026-07-21Klein Michael FrederickofficerOption exercise6,00030,037Form 4
2026-07-21Lefebvre Mojgan MdirectorOption exercise9,2130Form 4
2026-07-21Lefebvre Mojgan MdirectorOption exercise7,10021,214Form 4
2026-06-30Golden Russell G.directorAward / grant1405,600Form 4
2026-06-30Robinson ElizabethdirectorAward / grant13312,562Form 4
2026-05-26Klein Michael FrederickofficerOption exercise10,00055,125Form 4
2026-05-26Klein Michael FrederickofficerOption exercise10,0000Form 4
2026-05-22BESSETTE ANDY FofficerOption exercise4,25528,539Form 4
2026-05-22BESSETTE ANDY FofficerOption exercise4,2550Form 4
2026-04-30Kess Avrohom J.directorGift1,00047,737Form 4
2026-04-28Kess Avrohom J.directorWithheld for tax20,95155,472Form 4
2026-04-28Kess Avrohom J.directorOption exercise27,68676,423Form 4
2026-04-28HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerOption exercise1,557261,147Form 4
2026-04-28HEYMAN WILLIAM HofficerOption exercise1,5578,000Form 4
2026-04-28Kess Avrohom J.directorOption exercise27,6860Form 4
2026-04-23THOMSEN LAURIE JdirectorGift63162,178Form 4
2026-04-20Klein Michael FrederickofficerOption exercise10,00055,125Form 4
2026-04-20Kurtzman DianeofficerOption exercise1,3876,685Form 4
2026-04-20Klein Michael FrederickofficerOption exercise10,00010,000Form 4
2026-04-20Kurtzman DianeofficerOption exercise1,3874,164Form 4
2026-04-20Kess Avrohom J.directorGift2,12548,737Form 4
2026-03-31Golden Russell G.directorAward / grant1595,439Form 4
2026-03-31Robinson ElizabethdirectorAward / grant15012,383Form 4
2026-02-26OLIVO MARIAofficerOption exercise10,400135,142Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-03-122026-02-20$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousepurchase2025-09-122024-10-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-02-062025-01-22$1–15K
Tommy TubervilleSenatesale2024-11-152024-10-29$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-11-082024-10-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-11-082024-10-11$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-08-072024-07-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-06-052024-05-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.