TRSTriMas CorporationConsumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containersas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $39.07 · now $39.07 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TRS has typically landed between $34.27 and $44.23 — a range of −12.3% to +13.2% from the issuance price $39.07.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,842 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-05-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($39.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TRS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $39.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$34.27worst · -12.3%$44.23best · +13.2%
  • now $39.07 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $39.18 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $37.01–$41.36
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.27–$44.23
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,842 windows spanning 2007-05-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-14−70.8%−70.8%+0.0%
2008-10-30−69.2%−69.2%+0.0%
2008-11-03−67.6%−67.9%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-06+87.6%−2.9%+109.9%
2009-03-03+84.5%+0.0%+122.8%
2009-03-05+84.4%−8.2%+98.5%

4,842 overlapping windows · 2007-05-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
26%
−3.4%
n=19
Feb
47%
−0.1%
n=19
Mar
47%
+1.5%
n=19
Apr
68%
+6.9%
n=19
May
47%
+2.1%
n=19
Jun
70%
+3.7%
n=20
Jul
45%
+3.1%
n=20
Aug
55%
+0.4%
n=20
Sep
50%
−1.8%
n=20
Oct
58%
+3.0%
n=19
Nov
42%
−0.4%
n=19
Dec
63%
+2.9%
n=19

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$45$312026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $3K — Tredwell Daniel P2026-06-30: 1 insider sale, $675K — Parker Herbert K2026-05-13: 1 insider purchase, $3K — Tredwell Daniel P2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $83K — Robin Jodi F.2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $123K — Robin Jodi F.2026-03-05: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Tredwell Daniel P2025-11-12: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Tredwell Daniel P2025-11-11: 1 insider purchase, $63K — Fielkow Jeffrey A2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $65K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $3K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $206K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $675K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $3K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Tredwell Daniel P — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Parker Herbert K — Sale on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Tredwell Daniel P — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Robin Jodi F. — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed same dayofficer Robin Jodi F. — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Tredwell Daniel P — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Tredwell Daniel P — Purchase on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Fielkow Jeffrey A — Purchase on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Tredwell Daniel PdirectorPurchase64 @ $39.63$3K+0.1% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open63,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-30Parker Herbert KdirectorSale15,000 @ $45.03$675K−20.6% of holding−14.8%not yet — horizon still open57,762Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Tredwell Daniel PdirectorPurchase62 @ $40.58$3K+0.1% of holding+3.6%not yet — horizon still open63,458Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-07Robin Jodi F.officerSale2,000 @ $41.60$83K−5.5% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open34,191Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-05Robin Jodi F.officerSale3,000 @ $41.09$123K−7.7% of holding−9.1%not yet — horizon still open36,191Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-05Tredwell Daniel PdirectorPurchase60 @ $39.38$2K+0.1% of holding−5.4%−13.5%60,543Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-12Tredwell Daniel PdirectorPurchase74 @ $31.94$2K+0.1% of holding+7.1%+11.3%60,483Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-11Fielkow Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $31.46$63K+12.8% of holding+7.3%+16.8%17,653Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11Tredwell Daniel PdirectorPurchase66 @ $35.39$2K+0.1% of holding+7.8%−5.2%60,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-05SHAPIRA ADRIANNEdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $25.82$103K+89.4% of holding+10.4%+11.6%8,476Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04SHAPIRA ADRIANNEdirectorPurchase1,200 @ $26.31$32K+36.6% of holding+11.0%+17.7%4,476Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-22SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase72,937 @ $26.16$1.9M+4.0% of holding+2.5%+9.5%1,883,758Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase410,172 @ $25.43$10.4M+29.3% of holding+5.4%+11.2%1,810,821Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-20SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase104,957 @ $25.70$2.7M+8.1% of holding+4.7%+10.8%1,400,649Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-19SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase180,823 @ $25.25$4.6M+17.4% of holding+5.0%+9.5%1,222,115Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-19SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase73,577 @ $25.73$1.9M+6.0% of holding+5.0%+9.5%1,295,692Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-19Fielkow Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase500 @ $24.98$12K+3.3% of holding+5.0%+9.5%15,653Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12Tredwell Daniel PdirectorPurchase95 @ $24.72$2K+0.2% of holding+9.5%+11.4%60,343Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-01SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase16,930 @ $23.99$406K+1.7% of holding+1.1%+26.1%1,041,292Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-30SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase123,388 @ $23.83$2.9M+13.7% of holding+3.6%+29.7%1,024,362Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase554,149 @ $24.07$13.3M+159.8% of holding−6.4%+42.3%900,974Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase189,594 @ $23.71$4.5M+195.0% of holding−3.5%+48.4%286,822Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-07SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase60,003 @ $24.22$1.5M+20.9% of holding−3.5%+48.4%346,825Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-06Mell Scott AofficerSale2,218 @ $22.54$50K−7.8% of holding+3.7%+54.9%26,288Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-06Tredwell Daniel PdirectorPurchase96 @ $22.78$2K+0.2% of holding+3.7%+54.9%56,108Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-05SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase2,909 @ $21.83$64K+3.1% of holding+5.4%+60.1%97,228Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorPurchase94,319 @ $21.72$2.0Mownership Δ n/a+9.5%+64.6%94,319Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Boehne Holly MdirectorPurchase4,650 @ $21.49$100K+22.5% of holding+9.5%+64.6%25,353Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-28Parker Herbert KdirectorPurchase14,612 @ $20.81$304K+28.6% of holding+19.9%+80.1%65,769Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28Finley TeresadirectorPurchase14,388 @ $21.12$304K+36.0% of holding+19.9%+80.1%54,351Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28Tredwell Daniel PdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $20.67$103K+9.8% of holding+19.9%+80.1%56,013Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28Fielkow Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $20.78$52K+29.4% of holding+19.9%+80.1%11,013Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

49 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-14SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorAward / grant6154,178,915Form 4
2026-06-24Snyder Thomas JamesdirectorWithheld for tax22,155130,284Form 4
2026-04-14SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorAward / grant6404,178,300Form 4
2026-03-20Finley TeresadirectorWithheld for tax6,19275,152Form 4
2026-03-14Robin Jodi F.officerWithheld for tax2,38839,191Form 4
2026-03-14Stress Jill S.officerWithheld for tax1,99923,990Form 4
2026-03-14Swart PaulofficerAward / grant6,84914,881Form 4
2026-03-14Finley TeresadirectorAward / grant2,85381,344Form 4
2026-03-14Boehne Holly MdirectorAward / grant2,85332,346Form 4
2026-03-14Fielkow Jeffrey AdirectorAward / grant2,85320,506Form 4
2026-03-14Robin Jodi F.officerAward / grant5,42241,579Form 4
2026-03-14SHAPIRA ADRIANNEdirectorAward / grant2,85311,329Form 4
2026-03-14Tredwell Daniel PdirectorAward / grant2,85363,396Form 4
2026-03-14SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorAward / grant2,8534,177,660Form 4
2026-03-14Stanage Nick LdirectorAward / grant2,85353,853Form 4
2026-03-14Parker Herbert KdirectorAward / grant2,85372,762Form 4
2026-03-11Robin Jodi F.officerWithheld for tax1,12836,157Form 4
2026-03-11Stress Jill S.officerWithheld for tax1,12825,989Form 4
2026-02-12Stress Jill S.officerWithheld for tax2,50227,117Form 4
2026-02-12Robin Jodi F.officerWithheld for tax2,49337,285Form 4
2026-01-01Swart PaulofficerAward / grant7,0528,032Form 4
2025-06-24Snyder Thomas JamesdirectorAward / grant152,439152,439Form 4
2025-06-24Snyder Thomas JamesdirectorAward / grant100,000100,000Form 4
2025-06-24Snyder Thomas JamesdirectorAward / grant200,000200,000Form 4
2025-05-23SHAPIRA ADRIANNEdirectorAward / grant3,2763,276Form 4
2025-03-20Finley TeresadirectorAward / grant20,00078,491Form 4
2025-03-14AMATO THOMAS AdirectorWithheld for tax7,532332,567Form 4
2025-03-14Mell Scott AofficerWithheld for tax1,83244,642Form 4
2025-03-14Robin Jodi F.officerWithheld for tax1,10939,778Form 4
2025-03-14Stress Jill S.officerWithheld for tax99129,619Form 4
2025-03-14SEDAGHAT SHAWNdirectorAward / grant4,1404,174,807Form 4
2025-03-14Mell Scott AofficerAward / grant22,77446,474Form 4
2025-03-14Fielkow Jeffrey AdirectorAward / grant4,14015,153Form 4
2025-03-14Finley TeresadirectorAward / grant4,14058,491Form 4
2025-03-14GREENE JEFFREY MdirectorAward / grant4,14020,628Form 4
2025-03-14Boehne Holly MdirectorAward / grant4,14029,493Form 4
2025-03-14Stanage Nick LdirectorAward / grant4,14051,000Form 4
2025-03-14Stress Jill S.officerAward / grant6,93530,610Form 4
2025-03-14Robin Jodi F.officerAward / grant8,79940,887Form 4
2025-03-14Tredwell Daniel PdirectorAward / grant4,14060,248Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.