TROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc.Financial Services · Asset Managementas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $102.40 · now $102.40 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TROW has typically landed between $89.12 and $114.71 — a range of −13.0% to +12.0% from the issuance price $102.40.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($102.40) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TROW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $102.4 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$89.12worst · -13.0%$114.71best · +12.0%
  • now $102.4 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $102.32 (-0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $96.66–$107.97
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $89.12–$114.71
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−47.5%−49.2%+0.0%
2008-09-24−47.3%−47.3%+3.8%
2008-09-25−45.7%−46.6%+5.1%
3 best
2009-03-05+55.1%+0.0%+55.1%
2009-03-06+49.5%+0.0%+54.7%
2009-03-20+45.6%+0.0%+45.6%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$25.0B
market cap
$9.33
EPS (TTM)
12.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-31
next earnings
Revenue$7.3B
'20'25
Net income$2.1B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.5B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr28.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr19.2%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.08
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $102.40$93.61$157.23
  • DCF (intrinsic)$124.36
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$152.84
  • Analyst target · range $98.00–$121.00$109.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$102.40

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
−1.6%
n=18
Feb
53%
−1.2%
n=19
Mar
58%
+2.2%
n=19
Apr
58%
+3.8%
n=19
May
53%
+0.6%
n=19
Jun
53%
+1.1%
n=19
Jul
63%
+3.3%
n=19
Aug
32%
−1.8%
n=19
Sep
37%
−2.2%
n=19
Oct
67%
+0.6%
n=18
Nov
78%
+4.9%
n=18
Dec
67%
+1.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$122$852026-08-25: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Nelson Joshua B2026-05-13: 1 insider sale, $308K — Jackson Stephon A.2025-12-10: 1 insider sale, $434K — Husain Arif2025-09-22: 1 insider sale, $324K — MacLellan Robert F.2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $324K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $434K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $308K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Nelson Joshua B — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jackson Stephon A. — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeother Husain Arif — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MacLellan Robert F. — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-25Nelson Joshua BofficerSale10,000 @ $111.82$1.1M−12.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open71,328Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Jackson Stephon A.officerSale3,000 @ $102.56$308K−3.5% of holding+6.5%not yet — horizon still open83,883Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10Husain ArifotherSale4,260 @ $101.96$434K−8.3% of holding+3.0%+0.3%47,102Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-22MacLellan Robert F.directorSale3,090 @ $105.01$324K−6.1% of holding−1.7%−11.9%47,335Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11Sawyer Dorothy CotherSale2,000 @ $95.43$191K−4.3% of holding+4.8%−3.3%44,789Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Hiebler Jessica MofficerSale968 @ $96.98$94K−6.6% of holding−5.2%−8.7%13,611Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-31MacLellan Robert F.directorSale3,955 @ $91.56$362K−8.4% of holding−2.7%−5.1%42,979Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-14Hiebler Jessica MofficerSale1,177 @ $107.87$127K−7.6% of holding−3.5%−3.9%14,356Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-11Husain ArifotherSale2,081 @ $109.27$227K−5.4% of holding−6.7%−3.5%36,800Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11Husain ArifotherSale2,031 @ $109.27$222K−5.2% of holding−6.7%−3.5%36,800Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-10Thomson Andrew Justin MackenzieofficerSale4,047 @ $123.35$499K−3.3% of holding−5.9%−22.4%119,577Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

230 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-25Nelson Joshua BofficerAward / grant471,332Form 4
2026-06-30DONNELLY WILLIAM PdirectorAward / grant57613,184Form 4
2026-06-30MacLellan Robert F.directorAward / grant65855,707Form 4
2026-06-30STEVENS ROBERT JdirectorAward / grant53725,246Form 4
2026-06-30WILSON ALAN DdirectorAward / grant69141,818Form 4
2026-06-29WILSON ALAN DdirectorAward / grant46241,127Form 4
2026-06-29STEVENS ROBERT JdirectorAward / grant27824,709Form 4
2026-06-29MacLellan Robert F.directorAward / grant18555,049Form 4
2026-06-29WIJNBERG SANDRA SdirectorAward / grant14832,024Form 4
2026-06-29DONNELLY WILLIAM PdirectorAward / grant14212,608Form 4
2026-06-29DUBLON DINAdirectorAward / grant10915,533Form 4
2026-06-29Smith Cynthia FdirectorAward / grant708,698Form 4
2026-06-29Verma Richard R.directorAward / grant554,890Form 4
2026-06-29Golston Allan C.directorAward / grant554,890Form 4
2026-06-01Page SebastienofficerAward / grant96,228171,855Form 4
2026-05-13Jackson Stephon A.officerAward / grant17586,883Form 4
2026-05-08MacLellan Robert F.directorAward / grant1,89954,865Form 4
2026-05-08WIJNBERG SANDRA SdirectorAward / grant1,89931,876Form 4
2026-05-08Rominger Eileen PdirectorAward / grant1,89910,867Form 4
2026-05-08STEVENS ROBERT JdirectorAward / grant1,89924,432Form 4
2026-05-08Smith Cynthia FdirectorAward / grant1,8998,629Form 4
2026-05-08Verma Richard R.directorAward / grant1,8994,835Form 4
2026-05-08DUBLON DINAdirectorAward / grant1,89915,424Form 4
2026-05-08DONNELLY WILLIAM PdirectorAward / grant1,89912,466Form 4
2026-05-08Golston Allan C.directorAward / grant1,8994,835Form 4
2026-05-08BARTLETT MARK S.directorAward / grant1,89935,263Form 4
2026-05-08WILSON ALAN DdirectorAward / grant1,89940,665Form 4
2026-03-30WILSON ALAN DdirectorAward / grant55838,766Form 4
2026-03-30STEVENS ROBERT JdirectorAward / grant32422,533Form 4
2026-03-30MacLellan Robert F.directorAward / grant20652,966Form 4
2026-03-30WIJNBERG SANDRA SdirectorAward / grant18729,977Form 4
2026-03-30DONNELLY WILLIAM PdirectorAward / grant15210,567Form 4
2026-03-30DUBLON DINAdirectorAward / grant13813,525Form 4
2026-03-30Smith Cynthia FdirectorAward / grant616,730Form 4
2026-03-30Golston Allan C.directorAward / grant422,936Form 4
2026-03-30Verma Richard R.directorAward / grant422,936Form 4
2026-02-26MacLellan Robert F.directorOption exercise4,41752,759Form 4
2026-02-26MacLellan Robert F.directorOption exercise4,4170Form 4
2026-02-13Veiel Eric LofficerAward / grant169133,944Form 4
2026-02-13Robert W. SharpsofficerAward / grant150556,007Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Kevin HernHousesale2026-04-032026-03-20$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-07-092025-06-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-06-102025-05-19$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-05-122025-04-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-04-102025-03-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-03-062025-02-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-03-062025-02-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-12-052024-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-11-082024-10-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-09-062024-08-05$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.