TRNS · TickerCove

TRNSTranscat, Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Distributionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $83.64 · now $83.64 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TRNS has typically landed between $69.54 and $100.86 — a range of −16.9% to +20.6% from the issuance price $83.64.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($83.64) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$83.64 · 69% of range

$52.06 low$97.76 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.4%

typical move · IQR 15.4%

−16.9%worst (p90)+20.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TRNS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $83.64 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $83.64 (+0.0%)
typical $83.97 (+0.4%)
middle 50% $77.52–$90.42
90% range $69.54–$100.86

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2012-04-24	−46.0%	−46.0%	+7.2%
2012-04-20	−44.6%	−44.6%	+3.1%
2008-12-22	−44.5%	−45.1%	+3.0%
3 best
2022-07-14	+53.7%	+0.0%	+53.7%
2022-07-15	+51.5%	+0.0%	+51.5%
2022-07-18	+48.8%	+0.0%	+48.8%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

−0.2%

n=20

Feb

55%

+1.7%

n=20

Mar

60%

+2.3%

n=20

Apr

70%

+2.1%

n=20

May

65%

+1.9%

n=20

Jun

55%

−0.3%

n=20

Jul

70%

+5.6%

n=20

Aug

70%

+3.1%

n=20

Sep

35%

−3.1%

n=20

Oct

40%

+2.4%

n=20

Nov

55%

+3.1%

n=20

Dec

70%

+1.8%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-02	Dominach Oksana S.	director	Sale	7,312 @ $85.60	$626K	−62.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	4,346	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07	Gillette Christopher P.	director	Sale	504 @ $94.23	$47K	−71.6% of holding	−9.1%	not yet — horizon still open	200	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-06	Cairns Craig D.	director	Purchase	1,050 @ $93.97	$99K	+244.2% of holding	−9.8%	not yet — horizon still open	1,480	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-31	Cairns Craig D.	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $77.09	$77K	+109.9% of holding	+2.3%	−8.4%	1,910	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31	Cairns Craig D.	director	Purchase	200 @ $76.67	$15K	+87.0% of holding	+2.3%	−8.4%	430	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-10-08	Gillette Christopher P.	director	Sale	456 @ $119.95	$55K	−100.0% of holding	−14.7%	−28.3%	0	Form 4 · filed 231 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

117 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	Kaniki Mbago M.	director	Option exercise	1,587	4,180	Form 4
2026-09-10	Haseley Gary J.	director	Option exercise	1,587	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	Dominach Oksana S.	director	Option exercise	1,587	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	Gillette Christopher P.	director	Option exercise	1,587	1,787	Form 4
2026-09-10	Gillette Christopher P.	director	Option exercise	1,587	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	Kaniki Mbago M.	director	Option exercise	1,587	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	Langston Cynthia	director	Option exercise	1,587	3,424	Form 4
2026-09-10	Langston Cynthia	director	Option exercise	1,587	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	Mecca Robert	director	Option exercise	1,587	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	Mecca Robert	director	Option exercise	1,587	2,291	Form 4
2026-09-10	Haseley Gary J.	director	Option exercise	1,587	40,689	Form 4
2026-09-10	Cairns Craig D.	director	Option exercise	1,587	6,590	Form 4
2026-09-10	Cairns Craig D.	director	Option exercise	1,587	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	DePerrior Dawn	director	Option exercise	1,587	2,291	Form 4
2026-09-10	DePerrior Dawn	director	Option exercise	1,587	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	Dominach Oksana S.	director	Option exercise	1,587	5,933	Form 4
2026-09-09	Haseley Gary J.	director	Award / grant	1,671	1,671	Form 4
2026-09-09	Mecca Robert	director	Award / grant	1,671	1,671	Form 4
2026-09-09	Dominach Oksana S.	director	Award / grant	1,671	1,671	Form 4
2026-09-09	Cairns Craig D.	director	Award / grant	1,671	1,671	Form 4
2026-09-09	Kaniki Mbago M.	director	Award / grant	1,671	1,671	Form 4
2026-09-09	Langston Cynthia	director	Award / grant	1,671	1,671	Form 4
2026-09-09	DePerrior Dawn	director	Award / grant	1,671	1,671	Form 4
2026-09-09	Gillette Christopher P.	director	Award / grant	1,671	1,671	Form 4
2026-08-13	Dominach Oksana S.	director	Withheld for tax	2,688	11,658	Form 4
2026-08-13	Dominach Oksana S.	director	Option exercise	10,000	14,346	Form 4
2026-08-13	Dominach Oksana S.	director	Option exercise	10,000	0	Form 4
2026-06-22	Simmons Royal Thomas Jr.	officer	Award / grant	1,508	1,508	Form 4
2026-05-27	Barbato Thomas L	officer	Withheld for tax	760	4,649	Form 4
2026-05-27	West Michael W.	officer	Withheld for tax	465	27,086	Form 4
2026-05-27	Conroy Theresa A.	officer	Withheld for tax	335	2,361	Form 4
2026-05-27	Conroy Theresa A.	officer	Award / grant	759	2,696	Form 4
2026-05-27	Barbato Thomas L	officer	Award / grant	1,719	5,409	Form 4
2026-05-27	IRICK JAIME A	director	Award / grant	15,043	15,043	Form 4
2026-05-27	West Michael W.	officer	Award / grant	1,051	27,551	Form 4
2026-05-27	West Michael W.	officer	Award / grant	1,807	1,807	Form 4
2026-05-27	Barbato Thomas L	officer	Award / grant	3,925	3,925	Form 4
2026-05-27	Conroy Theresa A.	officer	Award / grant	1,382	1,382	Form 4
2026-05-27	Haddad Michael Jacques	officer	Award / grant	1,382	1,382	Form 4
2026-05-27	Johnston Kristina L	officer	Award / grant	409	409	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i