TRNOTerreno Realty CorporationReal Estate · REIT - Industrialas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $65.61 · now $65.61 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TRNO has typically landed between $58.91 and $73.25 — a range of −10.2% to +11.7% from the issuance price $65.61.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,154 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-02-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($65.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TRNO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $65.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$58.91worst · -10.2%$73.25best · +11.7%
  • now $65.61 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $66.02 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $62.87–$69.17
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $58.91–$73.25
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,154 windows spanning 2010-02-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−29.6%−29.6%+1.5%
2020-02-20−28.7%−30.4%+0.4%
2020-02-21−26.7%−30.6%+0.0%
3 best
2011-11-23+37.6%−0.1%+37.6%
2011-11-25+36.4%+0.0%+37.8%
2011-11-22+29.9%−5.1%+29.9%

4,154 overlapping windows · 2010-02-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.2%
n=16
Feb
56%
+0.8%
n=16
Mar
76%
+1.4%
n=17
Apr
47%
+0.1%
n=17
May
59%
−0.3%
n=17
Jun
47%
+1.0%
n=17
Jul
59%
+4.3%
n=17
Aug
47%
−0.5%
n=17
Sep
29%
−2.8%
n=17
Oct
56%
+2.7%
n=16
Nov
75%
+2.5%
n=16
Dec
56%
+1.5%
n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$75$522026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $305K — Meyer John Tull2026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $246K — Cannon Jaime Jackson2026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $547K — COKE MICHAEL A2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $462K — Cannon Jaime Jackson2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $285K — Meyer John Tull2025-08-14: 1 insider sale, $540K — COKE MICHAEL A2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $540K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $285K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $462K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Meyer John Tull — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed same dayofficer Cannon Jaime Jackson — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed same daydirector COKE MICHAEL A — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Cannon Jaime Jackson — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Meyer John Tull — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed same daydirector COKE MICHAEL A — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Meyer John TullofficerSale4,447 @ $68.64$305K−3.3% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open131,825Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-10Cannon Jaime JacksonofficerSale3,602 @ $68.26$246K−3.0% of holding−3.2%not yet — horizon still open114,787Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-07COKE MICHAEL AdirectorSale8,000 @ $68.38$547K−1.8% of holding−3.0%not yet — horizon still open425,381Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-09Cannon Jaime JacksonofficerSale7,000 @ $65.99$462K−6.0% of holding−2.4%−6.5%110,038Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-07Meyer John TullofficerSale4,758 @ $59.95$285K−3.8% of holding−1.3%−0.7%119,949Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-14COKE MICHAEL AdirectorSale10,000 @ $53.96$540K−2.4% of holding+5.2%+18.0%412,415Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-11POLK DENNISdirectorSale9,703 @ $67.20$652K−17.2% of holding+6.2%−24.3%46,634Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

35 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Meyer John TullofficerAward / grant12,081136,272Form 4
2026-08-04BAIRD W BLAKEdirectorAward / grant28,426695,997Form 4
2026-08-04COKE MICHAEL AdirectorAward / grant28,426433,381Form 4
2026-08-04Cannon Jaime JacksonofficerAward / grant12,081118,389Form 4
2026-08-03COKE MICHAEL AdirectorWithheld for tax7,460404,955Form 4
2026-08-03BAIRD W BLAKEdirectorWithheld for tax5,769667,571Form 4
2026-08-03Cannon Jaime JacksonofficerWithheld for tax3,730106,308Form 4
2026-08-03Meyer John TullofficerWithheld for tax2,885124,191Form 4
2026-05-05Boston Gary NdirectorAward / grant2,46210,703Form 4
2026-05-05CARLSON LEROY EdirectorAward / grant2,46242,449Form 4
2026-05-05DONAHUE PAUL JOSEPHdirectorAward / grant2,4622,462Form 4
2026-05-05Oh Irene HdirectorAward / grant2,4629,658Form 4
2026-05-05PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorAward / grant2,462115,176Form 4
2026-05-05VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE EdirectorAward / grant2,4625,301Form 4
2026-01-07BAIRD W BLAKEdirectorAward / grant29,890204,830Form 4
2026-01-07Cannon Jaime JacksonofficerAward / grant5,757117,038Form 4
2026-01-07Meyer John TullofficerAward / grant7,127127,076Form 4
2026-01-07COKE MICHAEL AdirectorAward / grant29,890204,830Form 4
2025-08-05Cannon Jaime JacksonofficerAward / grant13,519111,281Form 4
2025-08-05Meyer John TullofficerAward / grant13,519124,707Form 4
2025-08-05BAIRD W BLAKEdirectorAward / grant28,840673,340Form 4
2025-08-05COKE MICHAEL AdirectorAward / grant28,840422,415Form 4
2025-08-01COKE MICHAEL AdirectorWithheld for tax8,589393,575Form 4
2025-08-01BAIRD W BLAKEdirectorWithheld for tax6,469644,500Form 4
2025-08-01Cannon Jaime JacksonofficerWithheld for tax4,16597,762Form 4
2025-08-01Meyer John TullofficerWithheld for tax3,223111,188Form 4
2025-05-06CARLSON LEROY EdirectorAward / grant2,83939,987Form 4
2025-05-06VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE EdirectorAward / grant2,8392,839Form 4
2025-05-06Boston Gary NdirectorAward / grant2,8398,241Form 4
2025-05-06Oh Irene HdirectorAward / grant2,8397,196Form 4
2025-05-06PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorAward / grant2,839112,714Form 4
2025-01-08BAIRD W BLAKEdirectorAward / grant14,493174,940Form 4
2025-01-08Cannon Jaime JacksonofficerAward / grant5,88873,202Form 4
2025-01-08Meyer John TullofficerAward / grant5,88873,202Form 4
2025-01-08COKE MICHAEL AdirectorAward / grant14,493174,940Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.