TRMKTrustmark CorporationFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $46.04 · now $46.04 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, TRMK has typically landed between $41.17 and $52.39 — a range of −10.6% to +13.8% from the issuance price $46.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,010 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($46.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TRMK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $46.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$41.17worst · -10.6%$52.39best · +13.8%
  • now $46.04 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $46.19 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $43.85–$48.52
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $41.17–$52.39
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,010 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-11−32.2%−32.2%+1.1%
2008-09-24−31.9%−34.0%+1.1%
2008-09-25−31.6%−34.8%+0.0%
3 best
2008-08-20+67.1%−0.4%+67.1%
2008-08-19+57.9%−1.1%+57.9%
2008-08-21+42.8%+0.0%+67.8%

5,010 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
35%
−3.2%
n=20
Feb
55%
−0.4%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.0%
n=20
Apr
50%
+1.2%
n=20
May
50%
−1.9%
n=20
Jun
65%
+0.2%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.2%
n=20
Aug
40%
−0.2%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.2%
n=20
Oct
55%
+2.3%
n=20
Nov
70%
+3.6%
n=20
Dec
65%
+2.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$49$362026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $24K — Eduardo Marcelo L2025-11-04: 1 insider sale, $298K — Conerly Tracy T2025-08-26: 1 insider sale, $16K — HOST GERARD R2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $850K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $298K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $24K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Eduardo Marcelo L — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed same daydirector Conerly Tracy T — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HOST GERARD R — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Eduardo Marcelo LdirectorSale530 @ $45.63$24K−5.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open9,610Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-04Conerly Tracy TdirectorSale8,000 @ $37.22$298K−37.3% of holding+5.2%+12.3%13,421Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-26HOST GERARD RdirectorSale389 @ $40.63$16K−100.0% of holding−2.8%+3.4%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-18HOST GERARD RdirectorSale20,970 @ $38.49$807K−11.7% of holding+1.3%+9.7%158,360Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-18Eduardo Marcelo LdirectorSale700 @ $38.49$27K−7.5% of holding+1.3%+9.7%8,577Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-11-15HOST GERARD RdirectorSale16,500 @ $38.18$630K−100.0% of holding−5.5%−7.4%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-11-14HOST GERARD RdirectorSale3,500 @ $38.59$135K−17.5% of holding−2.1%−5.6%16,500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-11-13HOST GERARD RdirectorSale6,792 @ $39.74$270K−25.4% of holding−3.8%−6.3%20,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-11-12HOST GERARD RdirectorSale13,208 @ $39.73$525K−33.0% of holding−4.0%−6.6%26,792Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-10-30Eduardo Marcelo LdirectorSale790 @ $35.89$28K−9.7% of holding+7.3%+1.6%7,334Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

125 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-28Chambers George T. Jr.officerAward / grant1,00025,232Form 4
2026-07-28Harvey Robert BofficerAward / grant2,14470,181Form 4
2026-07-28Tate Granville JrofficerAward / grant1,60862,959Form 4
2026-05-01Bond Joseph EofficerAward / grant4,4664,466Form 4
2026-05-01Day Monica AofficerAward / grant2,79150,867Form 4
2026-05-01Owens Thomas CofficerAward / grant3,34959,601Form 4
2026-04-28Collins Augustus LdirectorAward / grant1,39615,430Form 4
2026-04-28MORRISSETTE HARRIS VdirectorAward / grant1,39637,381Form 4
2026-04-28HOST GERARD RdirectorAward / grant1,396158,200Form 4
2026-04-28Yates William G IIIdirectorAward / grant1,39634,652Form 4
2026-04-28Hays James Clay JrdirectorAward / grant1,39622,978Form 4
2026-04-28PUCKETT RICHARD HdirectorAward / grant1,39648,268Form 4
2026-04-28Turnipseed Lea BdirectorAward / grant1,3964,018Form 4
2026-04-28Eduardo Marcelo LdirectorAward / grant1,39610,092Form 4
2026-04-28BAKER ADOLPHUS BdirectorAward / grant1,39659,323Form 4
2026-04-28Conerly Tracy TdirectorAward / grant1,39614,882Form 4
2026-02-18DEWEY DUANE AdirectorAward / grant13,572161,866Form 4
2026-02-18Owens Thomas CofficerAward / grant4,52456,252Form 4
2026-02-18Tate Granville JrofficerAward / grant3,39361,351Form 4
2026-02-18Chambers George T. Jr.officerAward / grant1,69624,232Form 4
2026-02-18Sugay Maria LuisaofficerAward / grant1,69619,779Form 4
2026-02-18Stevens Wayne AofficerAward / grant3,39370,775Form 4
2026-02-18Harvey Robert BofficerAward / grant3,39368,037Form 4
2026-02-18Day Monica AofficerAward / grant3,39348,044Form 4
2026-02-17DEWEY DUANE AdirectorWithheld for tax8,847148,294Form 4
2026-02-17Day Monica AofficerWithheld for tax1,94044,651Form 4
2026-02-17Harvey Robert BofficerWithheld for tax1,94064,644Form 4
2026-02-17Owens Thomas CofficerWithheld for tax1,94051,728Form 4
2026-02-17Stevens Wayne AofficerWithheld for tax1,94067,382Form 4
2026-02-17Tate Granville JrofficerWithheld for tax1,94057,958Form 4
2026-02-17Sugay Maria LuisaofficerWithheld for tax1,20718,083Form 4
2026-02-17Chambers George T. Jr.officerWithheld for tax1,20522,536Form 4
2026-02-17Day Monica AofficerAward / grant6,84146,591Form 4
2026-02-17Owens Thomas CofficerAward / grant6,84153,668Form 4
2026-02-17Chambers George T. Jr.officerAward / grant4,10523,741Form 4
2026-02-17Harvey Robert BofficerAward / grant6,84166,584Form 4
2026-02-17Stevens Wayne AofficerAward / grant6,84169,322Form 4
2026-02-17Sugay Maria LuisaofficerAward / grant4,10519,290Form 4
2026-02-17Tate Granville JrofficerAward / grant6,84159,898Form 4
2026-02-17DEWEY DUANE AdirectorAward / grant23,260157,141Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.