TREXTrex Company, Inc.Industrials · Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $43.11 · now $43.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TREX has typically landed between $34.59 and $51.70 — a range of −19.8% to +19.9% from the issuance price $43.11.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($43.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TREX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $43.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$34.59worst · -19.8%$51.7best · +19.9%
  • now $43.11 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $42.86 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $38.88–$46.84
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.59–$51.7
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-09−67.4%−67.4%+0.0%
2009-02-10−65.9%−66.2%+0.0%
2009-02-06−64.7%−65.1%+0.0%
3 best
2008-07-11+116.7%+0.0%+116.7%
2008-07-15+111.1%+0.0%+111.1%
2008-07-14+111.1%+0.0%+111.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+2.4%
n=20
Feb
55%
+3.1%
n=20
Mar
50%
−2.2%
n=20
Apr
50%
+5.3%
n=20
May
40%
+0.2%
n=20
Jun
50%
+1.6%
n=20
Jul
60%
+6.0%
n=20
Aug
60%
+1.7%
n=20
Sep
25%
−3.9%
n=20
Oct
50%
+3.6%
n=20
Nov
65%
+3.0%
n=20
Dec
65%
+4.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$66$302026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $53K — Fernandez Amy M.2026-06-25: 1 insider sale, $70K — Rudolph Jacob T.2026-03-03: 2 insider purchases, $489K — ROSE B ANDREW …2026-03-02: 1 insider purchase, $15K — ROSE B ANDREW2025-11-14: 1 insider purchase, $479K — Gandhi Prithvi2025-10-10: 1 insider purchase, $3K — Rudolph Jacob T.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $99K2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $3K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $479K2026-03: 3 open-market purchases, $504K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $70K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $53K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Fernandez Amy M. — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Rudolph Jacob T. — Sale on 2026-06-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROSE B ANDREW — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed same daydirector ROSE B ANDREW — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed same daydirector ROSE B ANDREW — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Gandhi Prithvi — Purchase on 2025-11-14, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Rudolph Jacob T. — Purchase on 2025-10-10, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07Fernandez Amy M.officerSale1,050 @ $50.07$53K−1.5% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open67,794Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-25Rudolph Jacob T.officerSale1,400 @ $50.00$70K−3.7% of holding−12.6%not yet — horizon still open36,631Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03ROSE B ANDREWdirectorPurchase11,022 @ $40.74$449K+348.7% of holding−5.5%−4.6%14,183Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03ROSE B ANDREWdirectorPurchase986 @ $40.14$40K+45.3% of holding−5.5%−4.6%3,161Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-02ROSE B ANDREWdirectorPurchase372 @ $40.26$15K+20.6% of holding−5.5%−0.3%2,175Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-14Gandhi PrithviofficerPurchase15,000 @ $31.92$479K+95.8% of holding+8.9%+4.3%30,664Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-10Rudolph Jacob T.officerPurchase59 @ $43.92$3K+0.2% of holding−40.3%−24.9%27,652Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-06Fernandez Amy M.officerSale1,538 @ $64.18$99K−6.3% of holding+3.4%−37.3%22,953Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-03Rudolph Jacob T.officerPurchase66 @ $46.22$3K+0.2% of holding+8.2%−49.1%27,593Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-15Rudolph Jacob T.officerSale1,500 @ $60.27$90K−5.2% of holding−9.5%−60.6%27,527Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Fernandez Amy M.officerSale2,366 @ $61.17$145K−8.8% of holding−11.3%−65.4%24,569Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-08Rudolph Jacob T.officerPurchase53 @ $49.39$3K+0.2% of holding+1.6%−30.3%29,027Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-28McDuffie MelkeyadirectorSale1,420 @ $61.88$88K−45.4% of holding−0.2%−9.3%1,705Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-27Rudolph Jacob T.officerPurchase49 @ $57.58$3K+0.2% of holding−16.3%−16.2%24,510Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

88 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24Taylor Brian J.officerAward / grant9,5209,520Form 4
2026-07-29JUSTER KRISTINE LdirectorAward / grant2,83115,729Form 4
2026-07-29Keffer David ChristiandirectorAward / grant2,8316,386Form 4
2026-07-29Lovett Gena CdirectorAward / grant2,83110,903Form 4
2026-07-29ROBINSON PATRICIA BdirectorAward / grant2,83173,162Form 4
2026-07-29Cline James EdirectorAward / grant2,83145,807Form 4
2026-07-29GRATZ JAY MdirectorAward / grant2,83133,705Form 4
2026-07-29Volas GeralddirectorAward / grant2,83144,405Form 4
2026-07-29ROSE B ANDREWdirectorAward / grant1,62917,038Form 4
2026-07-29Tasi IrenedirectorAward / grant1,1012,357Form 4
2026-07-01ROSE B ANDREWdirectorAward / grant52615,409Form 4
2026-07-01Keffer David ChristiandirectorAward / grant1313,555Form 4
2026-04-01ROSE B ANDREWdirectorAward / grant70014,883Form 4
2026-04-01Keffer David ChristiandirectorAward / grant1753,424Form 4
2026-03-01FAIRBANKS BRYAN HORIXofficerWithheld for tax23,127167,044Form 4
2026-03-01FAIRBANKS BRYAN HORIXofficerAward / grant9,609195,849Form 4
2026-03-01Zambanini Adam DanteofficerWithheld for tax8,271234,514Form 4
2026-03-01FAIRBANKS BRYAN HORIXofficerOther acquisition5,678190,171Form 4
2026-03-01Fernandez Amy M.officerWithheld for tax4,49668,844Form 4
2026-03-01Zambanini Adam DanteofficerAward / grant3,623244,713Form 4
2026-03-01Rudolph Jacob T.officerWithheld for tax2,85038,031Form 4
2026-03-01Zambanini Adam DanteofficerOther acquisition1,928242,785Form 4
2026-03-01Fernandez Amy M.officerAward / grant1,91074,423Form 4
2026-03-01Rudolph Jacob T.officerAward / grant1,25041,544Form 4
2026-03-01Fernandez Amy M.officerOther acquisition1,08373,340Form 4
2026-03-01Rudolph Jacob T.officerOther acquisition66340,881Form 4
2026-02-24Zambanini Adam DanteofficerAward / grant18,914241,090Form 4
2026-02-24Zambanini Adam DanteofficerAward / grant18,914222,176Form 4
2026-02-24Gandhi PrithviofficerAward / grant18,09476,454Form 4
2026-02-24Gandhi PrithviofficerAward / grant13,84858,360Form 4
2026-02-24Gandhi PrithviofficerAward / grant13,84844,512Form 4
2026-02-24Fernandez Amy M.officerAward / grant10,18162,332Form 4
2026-02-24Fernandez Amy M.officerAward / grant10,18172,513Form 4
2026-02-24Rudolph Jacob T.officerAward / grant6,32140,294Form 4
2026-02-24Rudolph Jacob T.officerAward / grant6,32133,973Form 4
2026-02-09Tasi IrenedirectorAward / grant1,2561,256Form 4
2026-01-02ROSE B ANDREWdirectorAward / grant2251,803Form 4
2026-01-02Keffer David ChristiandirectorAward / grant1783,249Form 4
2025-12-03ROSE B ANDREWdirectorAward / grant1,5781,578Form 4
2025-11-06Fernandez Amy M.officerAward / grant29,19852,151Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.