TNK · TickerCove

TNKTeekay Tankers Ltd.Industrials · Marine Shippingas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $100.63 · now $100.63 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TNK has typically landed between $85.86 and $127.95 — a range of −14.7% to +27.1% from the issuance price $100.63.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,697 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-12-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($100.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$100.63 · 100% of range

$47.52 low$100.83 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.4%

typical move · IQR 18.8%

−14.7%worst (p90)+27.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TNK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $100.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $100.63 (+0.0%)
typical $103.03 (+2.4%)
middle 50% $93.59–$112.47
90% range $85.86–$127.95

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,697 windows spanning 2007-12-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−48.2%	−48.2%	+0.0%
2008-09-10	−47.0%	−47.0%	+5.1%
2008-09-25	−46.2%	−46.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-21	+81.1%	+0.0%	+127.8%
2008-11-20	+80.5%	−2.5%	+122.0%
2008-12-04	+74.9%	+0.0%	+74.9%

4,697 overlapping windows · 2007-12-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

42%

−1.2%

n=19

Feb

53%

+6.5%

n=19

Mar

47%

+3.0%

n=19

Apr

47%

+2.7%

n=19

May

58%

+2.3%

n=19

Jun

42%

−2.5%

n=19

Jul

47%

+1.7%

n=19

Aug

32%

−4.4%

n=19

Sep

58%

+1.8%

n=19

Oct

50%

+2.8%

n=18

Nov

61%

−0.4%

n=18

Dec

44%

+2.8%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-16	Schellenberg David	director	Sale	7,344 @ $100.00	$734K	−100.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-15	Schellenberg David	director	Sale	101 @ $100.00	$10K	−1.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	7,344	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-18	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Sale	6,375 @ $89.28	$569K	−75.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	2,126	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-18	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Sale	741 @ $90.00	$67K	−15.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	4,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-08	Schellenberg David	director	Sale	7,031 @ $71.53	$503K	−48.6% of holding	−5.3%	not yet — horizon still open	7,445	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

84 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-21	Seidelin Mikkel	officer	Award / grant	100	651	Form 4
2026-08-21	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	93	616	Form 4
2026-08-21	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Award / grant	79	554	Form 4
2026-08-21	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	93	616	Form 4
2026-08-21	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Award / grant	79	554	Form 4
2026-08-21	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Award / grant	79	554	Form 4
2026-08-21	Schellenberg David	director	Award / grant	24	141	Form 4
2026-08-21	Hvid Kenneth	director	Award / grant	388	2,326	Form 4
2026-08-21	Antturi Peter	director	Award / grant	17	94	Form 4
2026-08-21	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Award / grant	79	554	Form 4
2026-08-21	Seidelin Mikkel	officer	Award / grant	100	651	Form 4
2026-08-21	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	93	616	Form 4
2026-08-21	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	93	616	Form 4
2026-08-21	Seidelin Mikkel	officer	Award / grant	100	651	Form 4
2026-08-21	Seidelin Mikkel	officer	Award / grant	100	651	Form 4
2026-08-21	Hvid Kenneth	director	Award / grant	388	2,326	Form 4
2026-08-21	Schellenberg David	director	Award / grant	24	141	Form 4
2026-08-21	Antturi Peter	director	Award / grant	17	94	Form 4
2026-08-21	Schellenberg David	director	Award / grant	24	141	Form 4
2026-08-21	Hvid Kenneth	director	Award / grant	388	2,326	Form 4
2026-08-21	Antturi Peter	director	Award / grant	17	94	Form 4
2026-08-21	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Award / grant	79	554	Form 4
2026-08-21	Seidelin Mikkel	officer	Award / grant	100	651	Form 4
2026-08-21	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	93	616	Form 4
2026-08-21	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	93	616	Form 4
2026-08-21	Seidelin Mikkel	officer	Award / grant	100	651	Form 4
2026-08-21	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Award / grant	79	554	Form 4
2026-08-21	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Award / grant	79	554	Form 4
2026-08-21	Seidelin Mikkel	officer	Award / grant	100	651	Form 4
2026-08-21	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	93	616	Form 4
2026-08-21	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	93	616	Form 4
2026-08-21	Seidelin Mikkel	officer	Award / grant	100	651	Form 4
2026-08-21	Kapoor Rohit (RK2)	officer	Award / grant	79	554	Form 4
2026-08-21	Hvid Kenneth	director	Award / grant	388	2,326	Form 4
2026-08-21	Schellenberg David	director	Award / grant	24	141	Form 4
2026-08-21	Antturi Peter	director	Award / grant	17	94	Form 4
2026-06-08	Krediet Rudolph	director	Award / grant	1,883	4,741	Form 4
2026-06-08	Karlshoej Poul Ulrich	director	Award / grant	1,883	9,741	Form 4
2026-06-08	Semple Alan	director	Award / grant	1,883	8,017	Form 4
2026-06-08	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Award / grant	1,883	4,741	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i