Issued 2026-09-16 at $69.21 · now $69.21 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TNET has typically landed between $58.33 and $80.39 — a range of −15.7% to +16.2% from the issuance price $69.21.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,116 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-03-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($69.21) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TNET has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $69.21 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $69.21 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $69.78 (+0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $65–$74.57
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $58.33–$80.39
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −49.5% | −49.5% | +5.9% |
| 2026-01-22 | −46.8% | −46.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −45.7% | −50.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +56.4% | +0.0% | +56.4% |
| 2020-04-03 | +49.7% | +0.0% | +58.7% |
| 2026-06-30 | +45.7% | +0.0% | +45.7% |
3,116 overlapping windows · 2014-03-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Chamberlain Paul Edward | director | Sale | 2,400 @ $69.70 | $167K | −5.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 40,175 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Sale | 775 @ $68.53 | $53K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 53,212 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Treadway Anthony Shea | officer | Sale | 1,068 @ $69.80 | $75K | −1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 65,506 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | LOWELL WAYNE B | director | Sale | 5,773 @ $68.71 | $397K | −6.3% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,449 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Treadway Anthony Shea | officer | Sale | 933 @ $43.46 | $41K | −1.4% of holding | +4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,678 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Sale | 775 @ $37.02 | $29K | −1.4% of holding | +13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 55,750 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Evanko Brian C | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $37.70 | $189K | +109.5% of holding | +7.2% | +72.7% | 9,565 | Form 4 · filed 75 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Treadway Anthony Shea | officer | Sale | 487 @ $41.81 | $20K | −1.8% of holding | −9.6% | +53.3% | 27,006 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-09 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Sale | 775 @ $61.86 | $48K | −3.8% of holding | −17.4% | −16.6% | 19,853 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Sale | 1,437 @ $57.51 | $83K | −4.9% of holding | −2.9% | −34.1% | 27,922 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Sale | 127 @ $55.00 | $7K | −0.4% of holding | +2.1% | −37.3% | 29,359 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Treadway Anthony Shea | officer | Sale | 459 @ $54.52 | $25K | −1.6% of holding | +5.8% | −36.5% | 28,224 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Chamberlain Paul Edward | director | Sale | 600 @ $57.81 | $35K | −1.6% of holding | +0.1% | −34.1% | 37,840 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Sale | 775 @ $65.93 | $51K | −3.6% of holding | −8.1% | −40.2% | 20,933 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Sale | 1,437 @ $68.80 | $99K | −4.5% of holding | −4.0% | −55.9% | 30,424 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Sale | 775 @ $68.80 | $53K | −3.4% of holding | −4.0% | −55.9% | 21,708 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Clark Ralph A. | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $66.42 | $199K | −24.2% of holding | −1.7% | −50.1% | 9,390 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Treadway Anthony Shea | officer | Sale | 2,583 @ $66.07 | $171K | −8.1% of holding | −1.7% | −43.1% | 29,437 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | Chamberlain Paul Edward | director | Sale | 600 @ $64.18 | $39K | −1.5% of holding | +6.4% | −21.4% | 38,440 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Sale | 1,437 @ $82.04 | $118K | −4.2% of holding | −14.8% | −43.5% | 32,932 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Sale | 500 @ $83.14 | $42K | −2.1% of holding | −13.6% | −47.6% | 23,033 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Sale | 183 @ $86.50 | $16K | −0.5% of holding | −13.1% | −46.8% | 34,369 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | Chamberlain Paul Edward | director | Sale | 390 @ $78.93 | $31K | −1.1% of holding | −1.7% | −44.1% | 36,391 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | Chamberlain Paul Edward | director | Sale | 210 @ $78.17 | $16K | −0.6% of holding | −1.7% | −44.1% | 36,781 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Simonds Michael Q | director | Purchase | 13,500 @ $73.59 | $993K | +33.5% of holding | +13.1% | −10.2% | 53,835 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-25 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Sale | 1,364 @ $69.36 | $95K | −6.4% of holding | +14.4% | −11.2% | 19,867 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-25 | Chamberlain Paul Edward | director | Sale | 600 @ $69.36 | $42K | −1.6% of holding | +14.4% | −11.2% | 36,991 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Sale | 5,213 @ $89.31 | $466K | −17.6% of holding | −3.0% | −35.7% | 24,340 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Sale | 2,571 @ $90.08 | $232K | −10.6% of holding | −3.0% | −35.7% | 21,769 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
226 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Simonds Michael Q | director | Withheld for tax | 3,206 | 278,212 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Simonds Michael Q | director | Withheld for tax | 1,601 | 281,418 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Murthy Mala | director | Withheld for tax | 1,166 | 120,456 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Simonds Michael Q | director | Withheld for tax | 992 | 283,019 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 665 | 71,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Venkataramani Jayaraman | officer | Withheld for tax | 644 | 98,966 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 519 | 53,987 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Treadway Anthony Shea | officer | Withheld for tax | 485 | 66,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Nimmer Timothy | officer | Withheld for tax | 475 | 63,985 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Venkataramani Jayaraman | officer | Withheld for tax | 415 | 99,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Treadway Anthony Shea | officer | Withheld for tax | 381 | 67,297 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 305 | 72,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Venkataramani Jayaraman | officer | Withheld for tax | 292 | 100,279 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 256 | 54,506 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Venkataramani Jayaraman | officer | Withheld for tax | 254 | 100,025 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Treadway Anthony Shea | officer | Withheld for tax | 238 | 67,059 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Nimmer Timothy | officer | Withheld for tax | 235 | 64,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 174 | 54,762 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 172 | 73,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Nimmer Timothy | officer | Withheld for tax | 167 | 64,695 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Hayward Jeffery Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 125 | 72,930 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Majalya Sidney A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 120 | 54,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Kennedy Janet H | director | Gift | 2,070 | 2,070 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Kennedy Janet H | director | Gift | 2,070 | 4,735 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | KOSECOFF JACQUELINE B | director | Gift | 2,649 | 4,735 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | KOSECOFF JACQUELINE B | director | Gift | 2,649 | 17,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | KOSECOFF JACQUELINE B | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 7,384 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | AGI-T, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 39,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Chamberlain Paul Edward | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 42,575 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Clark Ralph A. | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 14,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Contreras-Sweet Maria | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 17,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Evanko Brian C | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 14,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | HODGSON DAVID C | director | Award / grant | 7,378 | 40,881 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Kennedy Janet H | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 6,805 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ranganathan Madhu | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 6,805 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Soto Myrna | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 16,442 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | LOWELL WAYNE B | director | Award / grant | 4,735 | 4,735 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | LOWELL WAYNE B | director | Gift | 2,649 | 92,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | LOWELL WAYNE B | director | Gift | 2,649 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Simonds Michael Q | director | Withheld for tax | 3,206 | 284,011 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.