TNCTennant CompanyIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $67.97 · now $67.97 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TNC has typically landed between $58.97 and $76.66 — a range of −13.2% to +12.8% from the issuance price $67.97.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($67.97) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TNC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $67.97 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$58.97worst · -13.2%$76.66best · +12.8%
  • now $67.97 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $68.22 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $64.55–$71.88
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $58.97–$76.66
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-09−44.0%−45.6%+0.5%
2009-02-12−43.5%−45.8%+0.0%
2009-02-05−42.3%−42.3%+6.7%
3 best
2009-07-09+77.5%−0.6%+77.5%
2009-04-08+74.6%+0.0%+74.6%
2009-07-10+74.2%+0.0%+78.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−1.6%
n=20
Feb
65%
−0.3%
n=20
Mar
70%
+2.7%
n=20
Apr
55%
+4.5%
n=20
May
55%
+0.7%
n=20
Jun
70%
+1.8%
n=20
Jul
70%
+5.2%
n=20
Aug
40%
−2.4%
n=20
Sep
40%
+0.8%
n=20
Oct
50%
−0.9%
n=20
Nov
60%
+3.0%
n=20
Dec
55%
−0.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$91$612026-08-12: 2 insider purchases, $641K — Mulligan Donal L, Morse Timothy R.2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $605K — Zay Richard H.2026-03-02: 1 insider purchase, $500K — Glerum James T Jr.2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $194K — Arvani Azita2026-02-27: 1 insider purchase, $185K — Mulligan Donal L2026-02-26: 4 insider purchases, $577K — Mulligan Donal L, Huml David W. …2026-02-26: 2 insider sales, $430K — Windley David, EICHER CAROL S2025-08-19: 1 insider sale, $336K — Zay Richard H.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $336K2026-02: 5 open-market purchases, $762K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $624K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $500K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $605K2026-08: 2 open-market purchases, $641K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Mulligan Donal L — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Morse Timothy R. — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zay Richard H. — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Glerum James T Jr. — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed same daydirector Arvani Azita — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mulligan Donal L — Purchase on 2026-02-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mulligan Donal L — Purchase on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Windley David — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector EICHER CAROL S — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Huml David W. — Purchase on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Huml David W. — Purchase on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Huml David W. — Purchase on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Zay Richard H. — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Mulligan Donal LdirectorPurchase8,000 @ $67.34$539K+100.0% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open16,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12Morse Timothy R.directorPurchase1,500 @ $68.18$102K+16.5% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open10,614Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-07Zay Richard H.officerSale6,875 @ $88.02$605K−20.0% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open27,518Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-02Glerum James T Jr.directorPurchase8,163 @ $61.25$500K+1868.0% of holding+14.0%+2.3%8,600Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-27Arvani AzitadirectorSale3,156 @ $61.40$194K−15.3% of holding+13.0%+1.7%17,435Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-27Mulligan Donal LdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $61.61$185K+60.0% of holding+13.0%+1.7%8,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-26Mulligan Donal LdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $63.86$319Kownership Δ n/a+15.0%+0.8%5,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-26Windley DaviddirectorSale3,694 @ $63.86$236K−33.2% of holding+15.0%+0.8%7,422Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-26EICHER CAROL SdirectorSale3,130 @ $61.98$194K−9.8% of holding+15.0%+0.8%28,836Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-26Huml David W.directorPurchase2,600 @ $64.02$166K+4.1% of holding+15.0%+0.8%66,558Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-26Huml David W.directorPurchase1,225 @ $65.01$80K+1.8% of holding+15.0%+0.8%67,783Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-26Huml David W.directorPurchase175 @ $65.48$11K+0.3% of holding+15.0%+0.8%67,958Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-19Zay Richard H.officerSale4,042 @ $83.21$336K−16.1% of holding−4.5%−6.8%20,998Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-28Arvani AzitadirectorSale2,358 @ $85.22$201K−13.4% of holding−2.3%−13.7%15,238Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-28Balinski BarbofficerSale1,717 @ $86.42$148K−12.7% of holding−2.3%−13.7%11,829Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-24Zay Richard H.officerSale7,053 @ $87.58$618K−21.5% of holding−3.1%−12.4%25,770Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

91 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Schottler Patrick W.officerAward / grant2,70713,857Form 4
2026-08-10Zay Richard H.officerAward / grant2,70730,225Form 4
2026-05-07ALLEN PATRICK EdirectorAward / grant1,4901,927Form 4
2026-05-07Arvani AzitadirectorAward / grant1,49018,925Form 4
2026-05-07Hider Andrew P.directorAward / grant1,4906,987Form 4
2026-05-07Glerum James T Jr.directorAward / grant1,49010,090Form 4
2026-05-07SHEAHAN MARK WdirectorAward / grant1,4904,348Form 4
2026-05-07Windley DaviddirectorAward / grant1,4908,912Form 4
2026-05-07Mulligan Donal LdirectorAward / grant1,49022,175Form 4
2026-05-07EICHER CAROL SdirectorAward / grant1,49030,326Form 4
2026-05-07GREEN MARIA CdirectorAward / grant1,49012,709Form 4
2026-05-07Morse Timothy R.directorAward / grant1,4909,114Form 4
2026-04-14Mulligan Donal LdirectorWithheld for tax2,45620,685Form 4
2026-04-14Mulligan Donal LdirectorOption exercise3,53823,141Form 4
2026-04-14Mulligan Donal LdirectorOption exercise3,5380Form 4
2026-03-06Huml David W.directorGift26,75572,930Form 4
2026-03-06Huml David W.directorGift26,75565,629Form 4
2026-02-28Huml David W.directorWithheld for tax4,26892,384Form 4
2026-02-28West FaydirectorWithheld for tax94548,253Form 4
2026-02-28Zay Richard H.officerWithheld for tax84034,393Form 4
2026-02-28ERICKSON KRISTIN A.officerWithheld for tax51425,176Form 4
2026-02-28Balinski BarbofficerWithheld for tax45119,218Form 4
2026-02-28Schottler Patrick W.officerWithheld for tax19411,150Form 4
2026-02-27Arvani AzitadirectorOption exercise3,53820,591Form 4
2026-02-27Arvani AzitadirectorOption exercise3,5380Form 4
2026-02-26Huml David W.directorWithheld for tax13,80763,958Form 4
2026-02-26West FaydirectorWithheld for tax3,64641,363Form 4
2026-02-26Zay Richard H.officerWithheld for tax3,26928,128Form 4
2026-02-26Windley DaviddirectorOption exercise3,53811,116Form 4
2026-02-26EICHER CAROL SdirectorOption exercise3,53831,966Form 4
2026-02-26ERICKSON KRISTIN A.officerWithheld for tax2,01320,532Form 4
2026-02-26Balinski BarbofficerWithheld for tax1,81015,240Form 4
2026-02-26Windley DaviddirectorOption exercise7077,578Form 4
2026-02-26Schottler Patrick W.officerWithheld for tax5526,825Form 4
2026-02-26West FaydirectorAward / grant7,83549,198Form 4
2026-02-26EICHER CAROL SdirectorOption exercise3,5380Form 4
2026-02-26Zay Richard H.officerAward / grant10,39931,397Form 4
2026-02-26ALLEN PATRICK EdirectorAward / grant437437Form 4
2026-02-26Huml David W.directorAward / grant35,47277,765Form 4
2026-02-26Huml David W.directorAward / grant28,69496,652Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.