TMSTeamshares Inc.Financial Services · Financial - Conglomeratesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.88 · now $6.88 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TMS has typically landed between $0.00 and $9.28 — a range of −100.0% to +34.8% from the issuance price $6.88.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,081 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-02-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.88) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TMS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.88 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$0.001worst · -100.0%$9.28best · +34.8%
  • now $6.88 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.6 (-4.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.33–$7.87
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.001–$9.28
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,081 windows spanning 2010-02-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-02-22−100.0%−100.0%+2.7%
2022-02-23−100.0%−100.0%+0.7%
2022-03-01−100.0%−100.0%+0.0%
3 best
2011-11-30+72.0%−4.5%+73.9%
2011-12-01+71.3%+0.0%+82.0%
2011-11-29+65.5%−9.1%+65.5%

3,081 overlapping windows · 2010-02-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
25%
−2.4%
n=12
Feb
58%
+6.4%
n=12
Mar
23%
+0.8%
n=13
Apr
42%
−1.6%
n=12
May
50%
+2.0%
n=12
Jun
69%
+0.8%
n=13
Jul
38%
−4.9%
n=13
Aug
54%
+1.8%
n=13
Sep
77%
+4.2%
n=13
Oct
58%
+9.0%
n=12
Nov
50%
+0.4%
n=12
Dec
42%
+7.9%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$13$5↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

51 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-18Brown Michael Ashby SutherlanddirectorAward / grant27,1741,243,684Form 4
2026-06-18Eu Alexander Zai DedirectorAward / grant27,174321,812Form 4
2026-06-18Shiiba Kevin RikioofficerAward / grant27,174776,974Form 4
2026-06-18Gaebe BrianofficerAward / grant13,58713,587Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant13,58713,587Form 4
2026-06-18Gaebe BrianofficerAward / grant112,753112,753Form 4
2026-06-18Gaebe BrianofficerAward / grant22,55122,551Form 4
2026-06-18Gaebe BrianofficerAward / grant90,20390,203Form 4
2026-06-18HENDRIX RICHARD JdirectorConversion5,124,5475,124,547Form 4
2026-06-18HENDRIX RICHARD JdirectorConversion5,124,5470Form 4
2026-06-18HENDRIX RICHARD JdirectorAward / grant4,500,0004,500,000Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant74,22874,228Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant15,97515,975Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant45,10145,101Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant90,20390,203Form 4
2026-06-18Moore Evan CharlesdirectorAward / grant27,80527,805Form 4
2026-06-18Moore Evan CharlesdirectorOther acquisition11,87039,675Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant74,22874,228Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant15,97515,975Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant45,10145,101Form 4
2026-06-18Kommareddi MadhuriofficerAward / grant90,20390,203Form 4
2026-06-18Eu Alexander Zai DedirectorAward / grant294,638294,638Form 4
2026-06-18Eu Alexander Zai DedirectorAward / grant380,971380,971Form 4
2026-06-18Eu Alexander Zai DedirectorAward / grant91,80491,804Form 4
2026-06-18Gaebe BrianofficerAward / grant112,753112,753Form 4
2026-06-18Gaebe BrianofficerAward / grant22,55122,551Form 4
2026-06-18Gaebe BrianofficerAward / grant90,20390,203Form 4
2026-06-18Brown Michael Ashby SutherlanddirectorAward / grant1,216,5101,216,510Form 4
2026-06-18Brown Michael Ashby SutherlanddirectorAward / grant91,80491,804Form 4
2026-06-18Shiiba Kevin RikioofficerAward / grant749,800749,800Form 4
2026-06-18Shiiba Kevin RikioofficerAward / grant148,000148,000Form 4
2026-06-18Shiiba Kevin RikioofficerAward / grant91,80491,804Form 4
2026-06-18Live Oak Sponsor V, LLCotherConversion5,124,5475,124,547Form 4
2026-06-18Live Oak Sponsor V, LLCotherConversion5,124,5470Form 4
2026-06-18Live Oak Sponsor V, LLCotherAward / grant4,500,0004,500,000Form 4
2026-06-18HENDRIX RICHARD JdirectorConversion5,124,5475,124,547Form 4
2026-06-18HENDRIX RICHARD JdirectorConversion5,124,5470Form 4
2026-06-18HENDRIX RICHARD JdirectorAward / grant4,500,0004,500,000Form 4
2026-06-18Live Oak Sponsor V, LLCotherConversion5,124,5475,124,547Form 4
2026-06-18Live Oak Sponsor V, LLCotherConversion5,124,5470Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.