TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Researchas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $648.43 · now $648.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TMO has typically landed between $578.70 and $727.36 — a range of −10.8% to +12.2% from the issuance price $648.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($648.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TMO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $648.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$578.7worst · -10.8%$727.36best · +12.2%
  • now $648.43 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $649.58 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $613$686.16
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $578.7$727.36
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−37.6%−37.6%+0.0%
2008-09-25−33.2%−33.2%+1.1%
2008-09-30−33.0%−35.8%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+31.4%+0.0%+31.4%
2008-12-15+28.4%+0.0%+28.4%
2025-09-25+24.7%+0.0%+24.7%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$211.2B
market cap
$18.59
EPS (TTM)
30.6
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-28
next earnings
Revenue$44.6B
'20'25
Net income$6.7B
'20'25
Free cash flow$6.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr15.1%
'20'25
ROE · by yr12.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.76
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $648.43$484.78$697.68
  • DCF (intrinsic)$499.46
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$510.12
  • Analyst target · range $510.00$683.00$607.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$648.43

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+4.5%
n=18
Feb
53%
−0.6%
n=19
Mar
53%
+1.3%
n=19
Apr
53%
+0.7%
n=19
May
58%
+1.2%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.5%
n=19
Jul
84%
+6.5%
n=19
Aug
58%
−0.3%
n=19
Sep
63%
+0.1%
n=19
Oct
61%
+0.2%
n=18
Nov
56%
+1.9%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$648$4382026-08-31: 2 insider sales, $2.5M — Pettiti Gianluca …2026-08-24: 4 insider sales, $172K — CASPER MARC N …2026-08-21: 5 insider sales, $6.3M — CASPER MARC N …2026-08-20: 9 insider sales, $6.3M — CASPER MARC N …2026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $7.0M — Britt Lisa P.2026-08-11: 2 insider sales, $15.3M — Shafer Michael D …2026-08-07: 28 insider sales, $3.1M — CASPER MARC N, Holmes Joseph R. …2026-08-06: 19 insider sales, $12.0M — Britt Lisa P., CASPER MARC N …2026-08-05: 22 insider sales, $8.6M — CASPER MARC N …2026-07-27: 1 insider sale, $226K — Pettiti Gianluca2026-04-27: 1 insider sale, $185K — Pettiti Gianluca2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $803K — Shafer Michael D2026-03-05: 13 insider sales, $2.1M — CASPER MARC N …2026-03-04: 8 insider sales, $2.6M — CASPER MARC N …2026-03-03: 12 insider sales, $2.5M — CASPER MARC N …2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $216K — Pettiti Gianluca2025-12-04: 1 insider sale, $12.4M — Lagarde Michel2025-12-03: 2 insider sales, $18.7M — Lagarde Michel …2025-12-02: 2 insider sales, $21.5M — Lagarde Michel, Lowery Frederick M.2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $4.1M — Lowery Frederick M.2025-11-25: 2 insider sales, $6.4M — Shafer Michael D …2025-11-13: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — Lagarde Michel2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $622K — Britt Lisa P.2025-11-10: 2 insider sales, $1.7M — Pettiti Gianluca …2025-08: 28 open-market sales, $13.6M2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $200K2025-10: 17 open-market sales, $14.1M2025-11: 8 open-market sales, $17.4M2025-12: 6 open-market sales, $56.7M2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $216K2026-03: 34 open-market sales, $7.9M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $185K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $226K2026-08: 92 open-market sales, $61.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Pettiti Gianluca — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Pettiti Gianluca — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Britt Lisa P. — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shafer Michael D — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Shafer Michael D — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Holmes Joseph R. — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Britt Lisa P. — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pettiti Gianluca — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Pettiti Gianluca — Sale on 2026-04-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Shafer Michael D — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASPER MARC N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pettiti Gianluca — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lagarde Michel — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lagarde Michel — Sale on 2025-12-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lagarde Michel — Sale on 2025-12-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lagarde Michel — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lowery Frederick M. — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lowery Frederick M. — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Shafer Michael D — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shafer Michael D — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lagarde Michel — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Britt Lisa P. — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pettiti Gianluca — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pettiti Gianluca — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Pettiti GianlucadirectorSale3,733 @ $614.38$2.3M−13.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open23,216Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-31Pettiti GianlucadirectorSale400 @ $614.38$246K−1.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open23,216Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24CASPER MARC NdirectorSale101 @ $625.41$63K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open124,099Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24CASPER MARC NdirectorSale79 @ $628.01$50K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open123,987Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24CASPER MARC NdirectorSale62 @ $628.74$39K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open123,925Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24CASPER MARC NdirectorSale33 @ $626.59$21K−0.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open124,066Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-21CASPER MARC NdirectorSale3,014 @ $626.51$1.9M−2.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open128,184Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21CASPER MARC NdirectorSale2,727 @ $625.46$1.7M−2.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open131,198Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21CASPER MARC NdirectorSale2,147 @ $628.61$1.3M−1.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open124,246Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,791 @ $627.39$1.1M−1.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open126,393Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21CASPER MARC NdirectorSale321 @ $629.10$202K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open123,925Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale2,601 @ $628.82$1.6M−2.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open128,280Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,430 @ $632.01$904K−1.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open124,565Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,314 @ $627.66$825K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open130,881Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,250 @ $629.85$787K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open127,030Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,035 @ $630.87$653K−0.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open125,995Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale909 @ $625.45$569K−0.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open133,016Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale821 @ $626.83$515K−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open132,195Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale560 @ $632.94$354K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open124,005Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorSale80 @ $633.99$51K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open123,925Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-19Britt Lisa P.officerSale11,440 @ $613.12$7.0M−43.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open14,784Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Shafer Michael DofficerSale14,300 @ $600.00$8.6M−40.5% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open20,994Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Shafer Michael DofficerSale11,200 @ $600.00$6.7M−34.8% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open20,994Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,035 @ $584.41$605K−26.7% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open2,837Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale945 @ $586.52$554K−41.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open1,362Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale530 @ $585.44$310K−18.7% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open2,307Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale522 @ $589.52$308K−46.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open612Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale495 @ $590.78$292K−80.9% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open117Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07Holmes Joseph R.officerSale420 @ $584.81$246K−12.4% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open2,966Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale302 @ $583.35$176K−7.2% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open3,872Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale228 @ $587.64$134K−16.7% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open1,134Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale117 @ $593.31$69K−100.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale114 @ $579.26$66K−2.5% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open4,400Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale113 @ $581.85$66K−2.6% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open4,174Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale113 @ $580.71$66K−2.6% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open4,287Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale94 @ $577.37$54K−2.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open4,514Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale63 @ $584.40$37K−0.1% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,093Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale58 @ $586.53$34K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,005Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale32 @ $589.51$19K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open123,961Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale30 @ $585.42$18K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,063Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale29 @ $590.77$17K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open123,932Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale18 @ $583.37$11K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,156Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale12 @ $587.64$7K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open123,993Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale7 @ $593.32$4K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open123,925Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale6 @ $577.37$3K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,194Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale5 @ $581.85$3K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,176Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale4 @ $580.71$2K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,184Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale4 @ $579.26$2K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,190Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale3 @ $580.72$2K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,181Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale2 @ $581.86$1K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,174Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07CASPER MARC NdirectorSale2 @ $579.27$1K−0.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open124,188Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-06Britt Lisa P.officerSale5,850 @ $580.00$3.4M−28.4% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open14,784Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06CASPER MARC NdirectorSale2,545 @ $573.53$1.5M−1.9% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open129,269Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06CASPER MARC NdirectorSale2,164 @ $575.46$1.2M−1.7% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open125,488Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,631 @ $572.43$934K−1.2% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open131,814Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,617 @ $574.40$929K−1.3% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open127,652Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,200 @ $573.34$688K−13.8% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open7,508Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,060 @ $575.41$610K−16.3% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open5,440Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06CASPER MARC NdirectorSale1,008 @ $574.28$579K−13.4% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open6,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06CASPER MARC NdirectorSale660 @ $572.33$378K−7.0% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open8,708Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

159 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Pettiti GianlucadirectorOption exercise3,73326,949Form 4
2026-08-31Pettiti GianlucadirectorOption exercise3,7337,467Form 4
2026-08-28CASPER MARC NdirectorWithheld for tax725123,201Form 4
2026-08-28CASPER MARC NdirectorWithheld for tax532122,669Form 4
2026-08-28Pettiti GianlucadirectorWithheld for tax30424,135Form 4
2026-08-28Pettiti GianlucadirectorWithheld for tax27023,616Form 4
2026-08-28Pettiti GianlucadirectorWithheld for tax24923,886Form 4
2026-08-28Shafer Michael DofficerWithheld for tax22720,204Form 4
2026-08-28Pettiti GianlucadirectorWithheld for tax21224,439Form 4
2026-08-28Shafer Michael DofficerWithheld for tax21120,621Form 4
2026-08-28Shafer Michael DofficerWithheld for tax19020,431Form 4
2026-08-28Shafer Michael DofficerWithheld for tax16220,832Form 4
2026-08-28Britt Lisa P.officerWithheld for tax11614,581Form 4
2026-08-28Meyer JamesofficerWithheld for tax1145,560Form 4
2026-08-28Britt Lisa P.officerWithheld for tax10514,476Form 4
2026-08-28Britt Lisa P.officerWithheld for tax8714,697Form 4
2026-08-28Britt Lisa P.officerWithheld for tax8514,391Form 4
2026-08-28Meyer JamesofficerWithheld for tax555,673Form 4
2026-08-28Shropshire Thomas B Jr.officerWithheld for tax496,009Form 4
2026-08-28Meyer JamesofficerWithheld for tax445,748Form 4
2026-08-28Meyer JamesofficerWithheld for tax375,793Form 4
2026-08-28Meyer JamesofficerWithheld for tax205,729Form 4
2026-08-28Holmes Joseph R.officerWithheld for tax152,916Form 4
2026-08-28Holmes Joseph R.officerWithheld for tax132,943Form 4
2026-08-28Holmes Joseph R.officerWithheld for tax112,931Form 4
2026-08-28Holmes Joseph R.officerWithheld for tax112,956Form 4
2026-08-24CASPER MARC NdirectorOption exercise275124,200Form 4
2026-08-24CASPER MARC NdirectorOption exercise2750Form 4
2026-08-22Meyer JamesofficerWithheld for tax315,830Form 4
2026-08-21CASPER MARC NdirectorOption exercise10,000133,925Form 4
2026-08-21CASPER MARC NdirectorOption exercise10,000275Form 4
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorOption exercise10,000133,925Form 4
2026-08-20CASPER MARC NdirectorOption exercise10,00010,275Form 4
2026-08-19Britt Lisa P.officerOption exercise11,44026,224Form 4
2026-08-19Britt Lisa P.officerOption exercise11,4400Form 4
2026-08-11Shafer Michael DofficerOption exercise14,30035,294Form 4
2026-08-11Shafer Michael DofficerOption exercise11,20032,194Form 4
2026-08-11Shafer Michael DofficerOption exercise14,3000Form 4
2026-08-11Shafer Michael DofficerOption exercise11,2000Form 4
2026-08-07Holmes Joseph R.officerOption exercise4203,386Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Dan NewhouseHousesale2026-07-172026-07-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Dwight EvansHousesale2026-05-152026-05-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-10$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-05$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.