Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.93 · now $4.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TLSI has typically landed between $3.80 and $5.99 — a range of −23.0% to +21.4% from the issuance price $4.93.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,387 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-02-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TLSI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.93 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.94 (+0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.73–$5.15
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.8–$5.99
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,387 windows spanning 2021-02-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-08-11 | −61.1% | −61.1% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-14 | −59.5% | −59.5% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-15 | −58.6% | −59.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-11-22 | +139.1% | −1.1% | +139.1% |
| 2023-11-27 | +137.4% | −9.7% | +137.4% |
| 2023-12-05 | +124.2% | +0.0% | +142.9% |
1,387 overlapping windows · 2021-02-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
−3.9%
n=5
Feb
100%
+4.3%
n=5
Mar
33%
−5.0%
n=6
Apr
50%
−0.4%
n=6
May
17%
−7.6%
n=6
Jun
67%
+3.4%
n=6
Jul
50%
−4.3%
n=6
Aug
67%
−1.2%
n=6
Sep
33%
−7.3%
n=6
Oct
60%
−5.4%
n=5
Nov
80%
+10.7%
n=5
Dec
60%
+24.3%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Stansky Michael P | director | Purchase | 410,000 @ $2.50 | $1.0M | +49.4% of holding | +53.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,240,722 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Stansky Michael P | director | Purchase | 200,000 @ $2.50 | $500K | +100.2% of holding | +53.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 399,698 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Wahlstrom Mats | director | Purchase | 60,000 @ $2.53 | $152K | +68.5% of holding | +53.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 147,555 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Szela Mary T | director | Purchase | 39,682 @ $2.59 | $103K | +3.9% of holding | +53.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,065,215 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Gordon Gary B. | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $2.46 | $25K | +16.0% of holding | +53.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,510 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Patience David | officer | Purchase | 7,100 @ $2.43 | $17K | +2.6% of holding | +53.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 275,757 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Marshak Richard | officer | Sale | 543 @ $2.67 | $1K | −0.4% of holding | +53.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,101 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Szela Mary T | director | Sale | 15,944 @ $3.85 | $61K | −2.1% of holding | +6.8% | +9.6% | 752,987 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Stevens Jennifer | officer | Sale | 774 @ $4.12 | $3K | −0.6% of holding | +4.1% | +2.2% | 124,110 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Cox Bryan F. | officer | Sale | 579 @ $4.12 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | +4.1% | +2.2% | 163,415 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Marshak Richard | officer | Sale | 419 @ $4.12 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | +4.1% | +2.2% | 110,397 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Devlin Jodi | officer | Sale | 273 @ $4.12 | $1K | −0.3% of holding | +4.1% | +2.2% | 97,364 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Devlin Jodi | officer | Sale | 1,772 @ $4.09 | $7K | −1.8% of holding | +2.8% | −1.5% | 97,637 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Marshak Richard | officer | Sale | 1,589 @ $4.09 | $6K | −1.4% of holding | +2.8% | −1.5% | 110,816 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Stevens Jennifer | officer | Sale | 1,552 @ $4.09 | $6K | −1.2% of holding | +2.8% | −1.5% | 124,884 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Cox Bryan F. | officer | Sale | 1,467 @ $4.09 | $6K | −0.9% of holding | +2.8% | −1.5% | 163,994 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Szela Mary T | director | Sale | 4,358 @ $4.13 | $18K | −0.6% of holding | +0.7% | +0.3% | 768,931 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Marshak Richard | officer | Sale | 1,449 @ $4.13 | $6K | −1.3% of holding | +0.7% | +0.3% | 112,405 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Stevens Jennifer | officer | Sale | 1,204 @ $4.13 | $5K | −0.9% of holding | +0.7% | +0.3% | 126,436 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Devlin Jodi | officer | Sale | 1,162 @ $4.13 | $5K | −1.2% of holding | +0.7% | +0.3% | 99,409 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Cox Bryan F. | officer | Sale | 1,138 @ $4.13 | $5K | −0.7% of holding | +0.7% | +0.3% | 165,461 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Stansky Michael P | director | Purchase | 243,900 @ $4.10 | $1000K | +44.9% of holding | −18.0% | −10.1% | 787,132 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Stansky Michael P | director | Purchase | 117,198 @ $4.10 | $481K | +142.1% of holding | −18.0% | −10.1% | 199,698 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Szela Mary T | director | Purchase | 30,487 @ $4.10 | $125K | +4.1% of holding | −18.0% | −10.1% | 773,289 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Valle William | director | Purchase | 30,487 @ $4.10 | $125K | ownership Δ n/a | −18.0% | −10.1% | 30,487 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Gordon Gary B. | director | Purchase | 9,756 @ $4.10 | $40K | ownership Δ n/a | −18.0% | −10.1% | 9,756 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Patience David | officer | Purchase | 3,657 @ $4.10 | $15K | +1.4% of holding | −18.0% | −10.1% | 268,657 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-19 | Stevens Jennifer | officer | Sale | 8,704 @ $5.18 | $45K | −10.1% of holding | +3.4% | −26.1% | 77,640 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Marshak Richard | officer | Sale | 6,597 @ $5.18 | $34K | −8.7% of holding | +3.4% | −26.1% | 69,101 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Cox Bryan F. | officer | Sale | 4,764 @ $5.18 | $25K | −3.8% of holding | +3.4% | −26.1% | 119,415 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Devlin Jodi | officer | Sale | 4,764 @ $5.18 | $25K | −8.3% of holding | +3.4% | −26.1% | 52,764 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-05 | Young James Emmett | officer | Purchase | 6,000 @ $5.65 | $34K | +25.0% of holding | +5.2% | −36.4% | 30,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-30 | Szela Mary T | director | Purchase | 5,010 @ $5.28 | $26K | +1.1% of holding | +14.1% | −21.6% | 444,259 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-29 | Szela Mary T | director | Purchase | 5,030 @ $5.03 | $25K | +1.2% of holding | +19.1% | −19.2% | 439,249 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | Murphy Sean | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $5.17 | $78K | +8.2% of holding | +17.3% | −16.4% | 197,732 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | Szela Mary T | director | Purchase | 4,716 @ $5.12 | $24K | +1.1% of holding | +17.3% | −16.4% | 434,219 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | Young James Emmett | officer | Purchase | 24,000 @ $5.40 | $130K | ownership Δ n/a | +5.5% | −24.7% | 24,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | Murphy Sean | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $5.31 | $80K | +8.9% of holding | +5.5% | −24.7% | 182,732 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | Szela Mary T | director | Purchase | 4,826 @ $5.42 | $26K | +1.1% of holding | +5.5% | −24.7% | 429,503 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Frankenius Equity AB | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 62,972 @ $3.97 | $250K | +1.0% of holding | +27.4% | +38.6% | 6,230,748 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Desai Arjun JJ | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $3.69 | $111K | −10.8% of holding | +30.5% | +35.1% | 247,127 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-10-05 | Cox Bryan F. | officer | Sale | 314 @ $4.44 | $1K | −0.4% of holding | −12.0% | +33.5% | 86,382 | Form 4 · filed 75 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
88 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Patience David | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,650 | 261,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Szela Mary T | director | Award / grant | 3,990 | 1,077,683 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Marshak Richard | officer | Award / grant | 561 | 128,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Marshall Richard Henry | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Marshall Richard Henry | officer | Award / grant | 120,000 | 253,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | MATLIN DAVID J | director | Award / grant | 56,403 | 121,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | MATLIN DAVID J | director | Award / grant | 23,065 | 1,323,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | MATLIN DAVID J | director | Award / grant | 28,201 | 1,300,145 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | HICKS KERRY R | director | Award / grant | 28,201 | 542,790 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | HICKS KERRY R | director | Award / grant | 56,403 | 145,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Valle William | director | Award / grant | 28,201 | 58,688 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Valle William | director | Award / grant | 24,553 | 83,241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Valle William | director | Award / grant | 56,403 | 112,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Stansky Michael P | director | Award / grant | 23,501 | 810,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Stansky Michael P | director | Award / grant | 20,089 | 830,722 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Stansky Michael P | director | Award / grant | 47,003 | 139,540 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Gordon Gary B. | director | Award / grant | 28,201 | 37,957 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Gordon Gary B. | director | Award / grant | 24,553 | 62,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Gordon Gary B. | director | Award / grant | 56,403 | 112,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Wahlstrom Mats | director | Award / grant | 37,602 | 53,329 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Wahlstrom Mats | director | Award / grant | 34,226 | 87,555 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Wahlstrom Mats | director | Award / grant | 75,204 | 276,149 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Stansky Michael P | director | Award / grant | 92,537 | 92,537 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Marshak Richard | officer | Award / grant | 120,000 | 408,937 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Cox Bryan F. | officer | Award / grant | 40,000 | 166,599 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Patience David | officer | Award / grant | 130,000 | 668,899 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Stevens Jennifer | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 323,782 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Stevens Jennifer | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 127,640 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Marshak Richard | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 113,854 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Cox Bryan F. | officer | Award / grant | 80,000 | 261,954 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Szela Mary T | director | Award / grant | 125,000 | 442,802 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Szela Mary T | director | Award / grant | 300,000 | 742,802 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Szela Mary T | director | Award / grant | 250,000 | 1,578,182 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Devlin Jodi | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 100,571 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Devlin Jodi | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 463,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Patience David | officer | Award / grant | 65,000 | 265,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-28 | Patience David | officer | Award / grant | 248,899 | 538,899 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-14 | Patience David | officer | Award / grant | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-14 | Patience David | officer | Award / grant | 290,000 | 290,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-31 | Frankenius Equity AB | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 230,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.