TK · TickerCove

TKTeekay CorporationEnergy · Oil & Gas Midstreamas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.39 · now $14.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TK has typically landed between $12.54 and $17.49 — a range of −12.9% to +21.6% from the issuance price $14.39.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$14.39 · 100% of range

$7.31 low$14.39 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.5%

typical move · IQR 16.0%

−12.9%worst (p90)+21.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $14.39 (+0.0%)
typical $14.75 (+2.5%)
middle 50% $13.6–$15.9
90% range $12.54–$17.49

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2015-11-17	−74.1%	−74.1%	+0.0%
2015-12-11	−69.2%	−69.2%	+0.0%
2015-11-18	−68.5%	−74.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-20	+89.8%	+0.0%	+89.8%
2024-04-30	+78.8%	+0.0%	+79.3%
2020-03-23	+77.1%	+0.0%	+89.8%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

65%

+1.9%

n=20

Feb

60%

+4.9%

n=20

Mar

45%

−0.3%

n=20

Apr

80%

+6.0%

n=20

May

50%

+0.4%

n=20

Jun

45%

−1.8%

n=20

Jul

35%

+1.3%

n=20

Aug

55%

+0.4%

n=20

Sep

60%

+1.6%

n=20

Oct

45%

+1.0%

n=20

Nov

60%

−0.2%

n=20

Dec

55%

−2.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Hvid Kenneth	director	Sale	132,884 @ $14.28	$1.9M	−55.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	105,500	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-10	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Sale	11,585 @ $14.08	$163K	−20.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	46,001	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-21	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Sale	1,000 @ $13.64	$14K	−2.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	46,001	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-20	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Sale	485 @ $13.24	$6K	−1.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	47,001	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	Speers Brody	director	Sale	2,000 @ $13.08	$26K	−59.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	1,364	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-19	Speers Brody	director	Sale	350 @ $13.20	$5K	−25.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	1,014	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-19	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Sale	96 @ $13.19	$1K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	47,486	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03	Krediet Rudolph	director	Sale	41,457 @ $11.45	$475K	−54.1% of holding	+9.7%	not yet — horizon still open	35,167	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-22	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Sale	18,119 @ $12.37	$224K	−27.6% of holding	−10.1%	not yet — horizon still open	47,582	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-17	Krediet Rudolph	director	Sale	63,042 @ $11.80	$744K	−64.2% of holding	−8.6%	not yet — horizon still open	35,167	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12	Hvid Kenneth	director	Sale	6,822 @ $12.04	$82K	−6.1% of holding	−12.8%	not yet — horizon still open	105,500	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-11	Hvid Kenneth	director	Sale	165,151 @ $12.16	$2.0M	−38.6% of holding	−10.1%	not yet — horizon still open	262,506	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Hvid Kenneth	director	Sale	150,184 @ $12.59	$1.9M	−57.2% of holding	−10.1%	not yet — horizon still open	112,322	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Speers Brody	director	Sale	5,500 @ $12.15	$67K	−62.0% of holding	−10.1%	not yet — horizon still open	3,364	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Hvid Kenneth	director	Option exercise	132,884	238,384	Form 4
2026-09-11	Hvid Kenneth	director	Option exercise	132,884	0	Form 4
2026-09-10	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Option exercise	11,585	57,586	Form 4
2026-09-10	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Option exercise	11,585	10,000	Form 4
2026-08-03	Krediet Rudolph	director	Option exercise	41,457	0	Form 4
2026-08-03	Krediet Rudolph	director	Option exercise	41,457	76,624	Form 4
2026-06-22	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Option exercise	18,119	65,701	Form 4
2026-06-22	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Option exercise	18,119	0	Form 4
2026-06-17	Krediet Rudolph	director	Option exercise	41,457	41,457	Form 4
2026-06-17	Krediet Rudolph	director	Option exercise	41,457	98,209	Form 4
2026-06-17	Krediet Rudolph	director	Option exercise	21,585	56,752	Form 4
2026-06-17	Krediet Rudolph	director	Option exercise	21,585	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	Hvid Kenneth	director	Option exercise	165,151	427,657	Form 4
2026-06-11	Hvid Kenneth	director	Option exercise	165,151	0	Form 4
2026-06-09	Locke Simon Heidi	director	Award / grant	6,350	47,582	Form 4
2026-06-09	Karlshoej Poul Ulrich	director	Award / grant	6,350	14,440	Form 4
2026-06-09	Krediet Rudolph	director	Award / grant	6,350	35,167	Form 4
2026-06-09	Antturi Peter	director	Award / grant	6,350	33,977	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Withheld for tax	10,201	8,864	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Option exercise	8,457	8,457	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Option exercise	1,512	728	Form 4
2026-06-02	Hvid Kenneth	director	Option exercise	73,038	73,038	Form 4
2026-06-02	Hvid Kenneth	director	Award / grant	149,458	375,341	Form 4
2026-06-02	Hvid Kenneth	director	Award / grant	38,620	38,620	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Award / grant	2,240	2,240	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Option exercise	9,097	0	Form 4
2026-06-02	Hvid Kenneth	director	Option exercise	76,420	0	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Option exercise	17,553	17,553	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Option exercise	17,553	17,553	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Option exercise	1,512	19,065	Form 4
2026-06-02	Antturi Peter	director	Award / grant	2,380	2,380	Form 4
2026-06-02	Speers Brody	director	Option exercise	1,512	19,065	Form 4
2026-06-02	Antturi Peter	director	Award / grant	2,380	2,380	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i