TITN · TickerCove

TITNTitan Machinery Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Distributionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.77 · now $23.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TITN has typically landed between $19.15 and $29.60 — a range of −19.4% to +24.5% from the issuance price $23.77.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,702 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-12-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$23.77 · 80% of range

$14.15 low$26.22 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.2%

typical move · IQR 16.9%

−19.4%worst (p90)+24.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TITN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $23.77 (+0.0%)
typical $23.82 (+0.2%)
middle 50% $21.82–$25.83
90% range $19.15–$29.6

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,702 windows spanning 2007-12-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−52.8%	−52.8%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−51.2%	−51.2%	+0.0%
2008-09-24	−48.6%	−48.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2007-12-12	+75.8%	+0.0%	+75.8%
2007-12-11	+73.3%	+0.0%	+73.3%
2016-11-03	+70.4%	+0.0%	+70.4%

4,702 overlapping windows · 2007-12-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

58%

+4.5%

n=19

Feb

58%

+1.4%

n=19

Mar

37%

−1.0%

n=19

Apr

68%

+4.6%

n=19

May

47%

+1.1%

n=19

Jun

58%

+1.8%

n=19

Jul

37%

−1.3%

n=19

Aug

42%

−3.3%

n=19

Sep

26%

−5.3%

n=19

Oct

56%

+3.4%

n=18

Nov

67%

+8.8%

n=18

Dec

67%

+1.1%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-04-03	Larsen Robert	officer	Purchase	658 @ $15.20	$10K	+1.8% of holding	+17.4%	−12.8%	37,330	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-24	Meyer David Joseph	director	Purchase	3,000 @ $16.86	$51K	+2.2% of holding	−0.3%	−15.0%	138,388	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-21	Meyer David Joseph	director	Purchase	22,524 @ $16.83	$379K	+20.0% of holding	+1.5%	−12.3%	135,388	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

24 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-08	CHRISTIANSON TONY	director	Award / grant	3,353	68,274	Form 4
2026-06-08	Anglin Frank	director	Award / grant	3,353	18,694	Form 4
2026-06-08	HAMILTON CHRISTINE E	director	Award / grant	3,353	35,498	Form 4
2026-06-08	Horner Jody L	director	Award / grant	3,353	49,278	Form 4
2026-06-08	Lewis Richard	director	Award / grant	3,353	13,058	Form 4
2026-06-08	MACK RICHARD L	director	Award / grant	3,353	49,824	Form 4
2026-06-08	Meyer David Joseph	director	Award / grant	3,353	147,552	Form 4
2026-06-01	Knutson Bryan J	director	Award / grant	27,223	154,385	Form 4
2026-06-01	Larsen Robert	officer	Award / grant	21,779	77,277	Form 4
2026-04-01	Knutson Bryan J	director	Withheld for tax	9,981	127,162	Form 4
2026-04-01	Larsen Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	6,143	55,498	Form 4
2025-06-19	Meyer David Joseph	director	Award / grant	1,489	144,199	Form 4
2025-06-02	Erickson Stan K.	director	Award / grant	4,322	50,738	Form 4
2025-06-02	Meyer David Joseph	director	Award / grant	4,322	142,710	Form 4
2025-06-02	HAMILTON CHRISTINE E	director	Award / grant	4,322	32,145	Form 4
2025-06-02	Anglin Frank	director	Award / grant	4,322	15,341	Form 4
2025-06-02	Lewis Richard	director	Award / grant	4,322	9,705	Form 4
2025-06-02	CHRISTIANSON TONY	director	Award / grant	4,322	64,921	Form 4
2025-06-02	MACK RICHARD L	director	Award / grant	4,322	46,471	Form 4
2025-06-02	Horner Jody L	director	Award / grant	4,322	45,925	Form 4
2025-06-02	Larsen Robert	officer	Award / grant	24,311	61,641	Form 4
2025-06-02	Knutson Bryan J	director	Award / grant	31,064	137,143	Form 4
2025-04-01	Knutson Bryan J	director	Withheld for tax	8,498	106,079	Form 4
2025-04-01	Larsen Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	4,460	36,672	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i