Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.92 · now $26.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TISI has typically landed between $18.74 and $43.12 — a range of −30.4% to +60.2% from the issuance price $26.92.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TISI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $26.92 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.45 (-1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $22.7–$30.2
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.74–$43.12
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-10-25 | −58.4% | −58.4% | +0.0% |
| 2017-07-21 | −56.4% | −56.4% | +0.0% |
| 2017-07-20 | −56.2% | −56.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-03-04 | +182.7% | +0.0% | +185.0% |
| 2022-03-03 | +178.2% | −2.4% | +178.2% |
| 2022-03-07 | +151.7% | +0.0% | +175.4% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
35%
−1.7%
n=20
Feb
70%
+0.6%
n=20
Mar
55%
+3.2%
n=20
Apr
40%
−0.2%
n=20
May
35%
−1.3%
n=20
Jun
70%
+1.0%
n=20
Jul
60%
−0.6%
n=20
Aug
65%
+10.6%
n=20
Sep
45%
−3.8%
n=20
Oct
50%
+1.6%
n=20
Nov
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Dec
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Roeder Clinton William | officer | Purchase | 8,000 @ $27.59 | $221K | +88.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,000 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Horton Anthony R | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $22.90 | $46K | +7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 28,082 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Roeder Clinton William | officer | Purchase | 8,000 @ $22.90 | $183K | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Horton Anthony R | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $23.15 | $46K | +8.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 26,082 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Roeder Clinton William | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $22.84 | $23K | +12.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Horton Anthony R | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $22.71 | $45K | +9.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 24,082 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Lederman Evan S. | director | Purchase | 500 @ $23.00 | $12K | +7.6% of holding | +22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,078 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | McGinnis Pamela J. | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $22.90 | $46K | +150.2% of holding | +23.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,332 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,604,326 @ $35.50 | $57.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | — | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Stewart Michael David | director | Purchase | 1,604,326 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,604,326 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Stewart Michael David | director | Purchase | 1,604,326 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,604,326 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Stewart Michael David | director | Purchase | 1,604,326 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,604,326 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Stewart Michael David | director | Purchase | 1,604,326 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +63.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,604,326 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Hill Gary L. | officer | Purchase | 6,250 @ $16.00 | $100K | +13.8% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,687 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Hill Gary L. | officer | Purchase | 5,800 @ $16.22 | $94K | +14.6% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 45,437 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Lederman Evan S. | director | Purchase | 600 @ $16.31 | $10K | +10.0% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,578 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Horton Anthony R | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $16.19 | $49K | +15.7% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,082 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Lederman Evan S. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $16.19 | $16K | +20.1% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,978 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Stenger Edward J. | director | Purchase | 3,583 @ $16.31 | $58K | +31.7% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,890 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Stenger Edward J. | director | Purchase | 1,417 @ $15.21 | $22K | +14.3% of holding | −3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,307 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-20 | Horton Anthony R | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $14.44 | $144K | +110.1% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,082 | Form 4 · filed 12 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,076 @ $15.13 | $16K | +0.1% of holding | −10.3% | +0.0% | 1,604,326 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,320 @ $14.78 | $20K | +0.1% of holding | −4.2% | +11.8% | 1,603,250 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 600 @ $14.81 | $9K | +0.0% of holding | −7.7% | +8.5% | 1,601,930 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 700 @ $14.89 | $10K | +0.0% of holding | −5.8% | +8.4% | 1,601,330 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-02 | Davis Jeffery Gerald | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $14.80 | $15K | −9.7% of holding | −8.8% | +3.9% | 9,276 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 13,334 @ $14.83 | $198K | +0.8% of holding | −7.3% | +0.6% | 1,600,630 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Davis Jeffery Gerald | director | Sale | 573 @ $15.00 | $9K | −5.3% of holding | −15.0% | −5.4% | 10,276 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Horton Anthony R | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $15.68 | $63K | +78.7% of holding | −3.2% | −8.3% | 9,082 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | McGinnis Pamela J. | director | Purchase | 570 @ $18.95 | $11K | +74.8% of holding | −9.0% | −32.0% | 1,332 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-18 | McGinnis Pamela J. | director | Purchase | 160 @ $18.91 | $3K | +26.6% of holding | −10.2% | −32.8% | 762 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | McGinnis Pamela J. | director | Purchase | 602 @ $19.49 | $12K | ownership Δ n/a | −8.5% | −32.9% | 602 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 928 @ $19.28 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | −14.0% | −34.8% | 1,587,296 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-11 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,640 @ $19.28 | $70K | +0.2% of holding | −11.6% | −35.7% | 1,586,368 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 306 @ $18.65 | $6K | +0.0% of holding | −8.2% | −29.6% | 1,582,728 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,640 @ $18.57 | $105K | +0.4% of holding | −5.2% | −31.4% | 1,582,422 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-06 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,572 @ $19.05 | $106K | +0.4% of holding | −6.3% | −36.9% | 1,576,782 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,910 @ $19.23 | $37K | +0.1% of holding | −7.4% | −37.3% | 1,571,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Lederman Evan S. | director | Sale | 900 @ $20.01 | $18K | −15.3% of holding | −7.4% | −37.3% | 4,978 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,311 @ $19.02 | $44K | +0.1% of holding | −8.2% | −37.2% | 1,569,300 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-03 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,856 @ $19.07 | $112K | +0.4% of holding | −6.3% | −33.7% | 1,566,989 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,613 @ $17.91 | $29K | +0.1% of holding | −6.1% | −35.9% | 1,561,133 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Lederman Evan S. | director | Sale | 1,650 @ $18.04 | $30K | −21.9% of holding | −4.7% | −37.6% | 5,878 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
16 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Webster James C. | officer | Award / grant | 5,505 | 11,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Caliel Michael J | director | Award / grant | 25,293 | 25,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Caliel Michael J | director | Award / grant | 23,110 | 91,691 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Tucker Keith D | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,385 | 51,672 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | HAIGHT NELSON M | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,986 | 42,247 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | HAIGHT NELSON M | officer | Option exercise | 18,703 | 18,703 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | HAIGHT NELSON M | officer | Option exercise | 18,703 | 49,233 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | HAIGHT NELSON M | officer | Option exercise | 18,703 | 18,703 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | HAIGHT NELSON M | officer | Option exercise | 18,703 | 49,233 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Tucker Keith D | officer | Option exercise | 28,054 | 63,057 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Tucker Keith D | officer | Option exercise | 28,054 | 28,055 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Tucker Keith D | officer | Option exercise | 28,054 | 28,055 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Tucker Keith D | officer | Option exercise | 28,054 | 63,057 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Webster James C. | officer | Award / grant | 5,548 | 5,548 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-21 | HAIGHT NELSON M | officer | Option exercise | 8,720 | 33,709 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-21 | HAIGHT NELSON M | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,179 | 30,530 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.