Issued 2026-09-16 at $34.66 · now $34.66 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TILE has typically landed between $29.31 and $41.05 — a range of −15.4% to +18.4% from the issuance price $34.66.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($34.66) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TILE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $34.66 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $34.66 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $35.41 (+2.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $32.84–$37.98
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $29.31–$41.05
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −65.3% | −65.3% | +3.1% |
| 2009-02-06 | −63.8% | −63.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −63.3% | −66.2% | +0.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-11 | +160.3% | +0.0% | +160.3% |
| 2009-03-10 | +143.9% | +0.0% | +143.9% |
| 2009-03-09 | +103.6% | −5.0% | +116.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Foshee David B | officer | Sale | 28,451 @ $35.99 | $1.0M | −16.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 146,563 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | HENDRIX DANIEL T | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $37.13 | $297K | −8.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 88,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | HENDRIX DANIEL T | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $37.13 | $297K | −8.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 88,147 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Sale | 170 @ $39.13 | $7K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 119,086 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Hurd Laurel | director | Sale | 7,000 @ $39.09 | $274K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 506,978 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-19 | Blackorby William Thomas | officer | Sale | 2,826 @ $39.21 | $111K | −6.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 40,786 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $38.43 | $384K | −9.6% of holding | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,846 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | Pridgen Robert | officer | Sale | 8,000 @ $38.30 | $306K | −26.3% of holding | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,447 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $29.66 | $1.5M | −29.5% of holding | +23.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 119,256 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Foshee David B | officer | Sale | 44,393 @ $29.00 | $1.3M | −20.2% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,014 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 8,000 @ $28.05 | $224K | −7.2% of holding | −10.0% | +17.5% | 103,846 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-05 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $28.11 | $141K | −4.3% of holding | −8.5% | +15.6% | 111,846 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 2,650 @ $29.11 | $77K | −2.2% of holding | −8.2% | +15.1% | 116,846 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $29.42 | $294K | −7.7% of holding | −9.6% | +13.2% | 119,496 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 5,206 @ $31.28 | $163K | −3.9% of holding | −14.5% | +10.0% | 129,496 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 9,144 @ $31.56 | $289K | −6.0% of holding | −13.9% | +7.6% | 144,117 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $26.95 | $674K | −14.7% of holding | +2.2% | +9.7% | 145,403 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $26.14 | $131K | −3.9% of holding | +8.5% | +12.7% | 124,616 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | Pridgen Robert | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $25.10 | $100K | −14.4% of holding | +7.5% | +29.6% | 23,795 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-06 | Nigel Stansfield | officer | Sale | 79,497 @ $25.60 | $2.0M | −55.0% of holding | +7.4% | +24.4% | 65,125 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 526 @ $20.12 | $11K | −0.4% of holding | +1.7% | +22.5% | 129,616 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-29 | Poppens James | officer | Sale | 19,474 @ $20.14 | $392K | −13.0% of holding | −0.4% | +23.5% | 130,142 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | HENDRIX DANIEL T | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $19.95 | $150K | −7.2% of holding | +7.7% | +28.7% | 96,147 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | HENDRIX DANIEL T | director | Sale | 12,500 @ $23.78 | $297K | −10.8% of holding | −18.5% | +2.4% | 103,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | HENDRIX DANIEL T | director | Sale | 12,500 @ $24.10 | $301K | −9.7% of holding | −3.7% | −16.3% | 116,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | HENDRIX DANIEL T | director | Sale | 24,500 @ $26.03 | $638K | −16.0% of holding | −8.3% | −19.5% | 128,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | HENDRIX DANIEL T | director | Sale | 18,000 @ $26.33 | $474K | −10.5% of holding | −7.0% | −20.4% | 153,147 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | Foshee David B | officer | Sale | 15,175 @ $26.27 | $399K | −7.0% of holding | −7.0% | −20.4% | 202,398 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
89 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Keough Joseph | director | Gift | 8,442 | 52,684 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kohler K David | director | Award / grant | 4,461 | 117,059 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Burke John Patrick | director | Award / grant | 4,461 | 91,059 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Keough Joseph | director | Award / grant | 4,461 | 61,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | KENNEDY CHRISTOPHER G | director | Award / grant | 6,067 | 152,934 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | KILBANE CATHERINE M | director | Award / grant | 4,461 | 71,576 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | O'Brien Robert T | director | Award / grant | 4,461 | 41,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Marcus Catherine | director | Award / grant | 4,461 | 22,755 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Gibson Dwight Audley Konrad | director | Award / grant | 4,461 | 68,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | KENNEDY CHRISTOPHER G | director | Other acquisition | 15,500 | 146,867 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Keough Joseph | director | Gift | 6,900 | 56,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Withheld for tax | 10,462 | 169,256 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Poppens James | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,415 | 134,702 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Foshee David B | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,099 | 219,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hurd Laurel | director | Withheld for tax | 77,075 | 513,978 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Withheld for tax | 24,586 | 179,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Poppens James | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,127 | 153,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Foshee David B | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,862 | 227,506 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hurd Laurel | director | Withheld for tax | 15,368 | 418,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Pridgen Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,886 | 30,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Withheld for tax | 4,645 | 149,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Poppens James | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,181 | 125,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Foshee David B | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,996 | 205,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Pridgen Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 924 | 24,364 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Foshee David B | officer | Award / grant | 37,595 | 243,368 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Award / grant | 55,198 | 204,304 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hurd Laurel | director | Award / grant | 173,046 | 591,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Pridgen Robert | officer | Award / grant | 10,969 | 35,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Poppens James | officer | Award / grant | 49,678 | 175,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Hurd Laurel | director | Withheld for tax | 9,753 | 433,375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Withheld for tax | 2,684 | 153,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Poppens James | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,413 | 129,891 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Foshee David B | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,747 | 208,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Pridgen Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 716 | 25,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Pridgen Robert | officer | Award / grant | 3,498 | 26,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Foshee David B | officer | Award / grant | 10,232 | 210,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Hurd Laurel | director | Award / grant | 57,301 | 443,128 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Hausmann Bruce Andrew | director | Award / grant | 17,044 | 156,435 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Poppens James | officer | Award / grant | 13,131 | 132,304 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | Hurd Laurel | director | Withheld for tax | 18,220 | 385,827 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.