TIC · TickerCove

TICTIC Solutions, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.85 · now $8.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TIC has typically landed between $6.80 and $11.50 — a range of −23.1% to +30.0% from the issuance price $8.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

364 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-02-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$8.85 · 29% of range

$6.54 low$14.49 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.2%

typical move · IQR 24.8%

−23.1%worst (p90)+30.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TIC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $8.85 (+0.0%)
typical $8.65 (-2.2%)
middle 50% $7.55–$9.75
90% range $6.8–$11.5

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 364 windows spanning 2025-02-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-02-26	−33.3%	−33.3%	+0.0%
2026-03-02	−31.6%	−31.7%	+0.0%
2026-02-27	−29.5%	−30.6%	+1.6%
3 best
2026-04-07	+45.8%	+0.0%	+45.8%
2025-08-20	+43.4%	+0.0%	+43.4%
2026-07-20	+42.0%	+0.0%	+61.2%

364 overlapping windows · 2025-02-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

−0.1%

n=1

Feb

−6.2%

n=1

Mar

−20.3%

n=2

Apr

50%

+15.4%

n=2

May

50%

−3.9%

n=2

Jun

50%

+2.1%

n=2

Jul

50%

−5.5%

n=2

Aug

100%

+17.0%

n=2

Sep

50%

+5.7%

n=2

Oct

−8.9%

n=1

Nov

−19.9%

n=1

Dec

100%

+4.0%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-11-18	Tong Richard	director	Sale	52,467 @ $9.58	$503K	−100.0% of holding	+7.0%	−22.8%	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

108 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-04	Roth Byron	director	Option exercise	9,524	9,524	Form 4
2026-08-04	Roth Byron	director	Option exercise	9,524	0	Form 4
2026-08-04	WRIGHT DICKERSON	director	Option exercise	9,524	9,524	Form 4
2026-08-04	WRIGHT DICKERSON	director	Option exercise	9,524	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	Hepding Elizabeth Meloy	director	Option exercise	9,017	19,017	Form 4
2026-07-31	Hepding Elizabeth Meloy	director	Option exercise	9,017	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	Hochfelder Peter A	director	Option exercise	9,017	19,017	Form 4
2026-07-31	Hochfelder Peter A	director	Option exercise	9,017	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	LILLIE JAMES E	director	Option exercise	9,017	1,825,308	Form 4
2026-07-31	LILLIE JAMES E	director	Option exercise	9,017	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	BUSH ANTOINETTE COOK	director	Option exercise	9,017	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	BUSH ANTOINETTE COOK	director	Option exercise	9,017	19,017	Form 4
2026-07-31	Cullinan Rory	director	Option exercise	9,017	31,517	Form 4
2026-07-31	Cullinan Rory	director	Option exercise	9,017	0	Form 4
2026-07-01	BUSH ANTOINETTE COOK	director	Award / grant	12,500	12,500	Form 4
2026-07-01	Cullinan Rory	director	Award / grant	12,500	12,500	Form 4
2026-07-01	Hepding Elizabeth Meloy	director	Award / grant	12,500	12,500	Form 4
2026-07-01	Hochfelder Peter A	director	Award / grant	12,500	12,500	Form 4
2026-07-01	LILLIE JAMES E	director	Award / grant	12,500	12,500	Form 4
2026-07-01	PIZZEY TALMAN	director	Award / grant	12,500	12,500	Form 4
2026-07-01	Roth Byron	director	Award / grant	12,500	12,500	Form 4
2026-07-01	WRIGHT DICKERSON	director	Award / grant	12,500	12,500	Form 4
2026-06-15	PHAN JENNIFER N	officer	Award / grant	23,391	23,391	Form 4
2026-06-15	PHAN JENNIFER N	officer	Award / grant	76,023	76,023	Form 4
2026-06-15	PHAN JENNIFER N	officer	Award / grant	46,784	46,784	Form 4
2026-06-15	PHAN JENNIFER N	officer	Award / grant	11,696	11,696	Form 4
2026-05-08	O'Brien Mary Jo	director	Award / grant	1,060	1,060	Form 4
2026-05-08	Heraud Benjamin	director	Award / grant	1,060	1,060	Form 4
2026-03-31	PIZZEY TALMAN	director	Withheld for tax	40,188	469,812	Form 4
2026-03-31	PIZZEY TALMAN	director	Withheld for tax	40,187	502,958	Form 4
2026-03-31	PIZZEY TALMAN	director	Option exercise	73,333	0	Form 4
2026-03-31	PIZZEY TALMAN	director	Disposition	73,334	73,333	Form 4
2026-03-31	PIZZEY TALMAN	director	Option exercise	73,333	543,145	Form 4
2026-03-31	PIZZEY TALMAN	director	Option exercise	73,333	510,000	Form 4
2026-03-16	SCHULTES KRISTIN B	officer	Award / grant	52,632	52,632	Form 4
2026-03-16	SCHULTES KRISTIN B	officer	Award / grant	105,263	105,263	Form 4
2026-03-16	Heraud Benjamin	director	Award / grant	76,755	76,755	Form 4
2026-03-16	Heraud Benjamin	director	Award / grant	153,508	153,508	Form 4
2026-03-16	O'Brien Mary Jo	director	Award / grant	12,336	12,336	Form 4
2026-03-16	O'Brien Mary Jo	director	Award / grant	24,671	24,671	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i