THRYThryv Holdings, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.97 · now $1.97 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, THRY has typically landed between $1.51 and $2.35 — a range of −23.4% to +19.5% from the issuance price $1.97.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,093 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-04-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.97) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where THRY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.97 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.51worst · -23.4%$2.35best · +19.5%
  • now $1.97 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.92 (-2.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.76–$2.07
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.51–$2.35
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,093 windows spanning 2018-04-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-08-03−57.7%−57.7%+0.0%
2025-10-22−55.6%−55.6%+2.6%
2025-10-23−54.8%−56.0%+1.6%
3 best
2020-09-01+145.1%+0.0%+145.1%
2020-09-02+139.0%+0.0%+145.1%
2020-09-03+120.4%+0.0%+145.1%

2,093 overlapping windows · 2018-04-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+4.3%
n=8
Feb
50%
−4.0%
n=8
Mar
38%
−5.8%
n=8
Apr
50%
+6.1%
n=8
May
56%
+2.3%
n=9
Jun
44%
−0.6%
n=9
Jul
44%
+2.0%
n=9
Aug
11%
−8.6%
n=9
Sep
11%
−3.4%
n=9
Oct
25%
−3.0%
n=8
Nov
63%
+2.4%
n=8
Dec
50%
+7.4%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$14$22026-08-05: 1 insider purchase, $404K — PAULSON & CO. INC.2026-08-04: 1 insider purchase, $718K — PAULSON & CO. INC.2026-03-18: 1 insider purchase, $13K — Orfanos Lou2026-03-17: 1 insider purchase, $5K — Slater John2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $44K — Walsh Joe2026-03-04: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Slater John2026-03-03: 2 insider purchases, $1.7M — PAULSON & CO. INC., Rouse Paul D2026-03-02: 2 insider purchases, $2.5M — PAULSON & CO. INC., Rouse Paul D2026-02-27: 1 insider purchase, $2.0M — PAULSON & CO. INC.2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $163K — Walsh Joe2025-11-05: 2 insider purchases, $11K — Slater John …2025-08-29: 1 insider purchase, $13K — Slater John2025-08-25: 1 insider purchase, $14K — Slater John2025-08: 4 open-market purchases, $140K2025-11: 3 open-market purchases, $173K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $2.0M2026-03: 8 open-market purchases, $4.3M2026-08: 2 open-market purchases, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salesother PAULSON & CO. INC. — Purchase on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradeother PAULSON & CO. INC. — Purchase on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Orfanos Lou — Purchase on 2026-03-18, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Slater John — Purchase on 2026-03-17, filed 6 days after the tradedirector Walsh Joe — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector Slater John — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradeother PAULSON & CO. INC. — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed same dayofficer Rouse Paul D — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradeother PAULSON & CO. INC. — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rouse Paul D — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeother PAULSON & CO. INC. — Purchase on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Walsh Joe — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Slater John — Purchase on 2025-11-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Slater John — Purchase on 2025-11-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Slater John — Purchase on 2025-08-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Slater John — Purchase on 2025-08-25, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-05PAULSON & CO. INC.otherPurchase144,975 @ $2.79$404K+1.7% of holding−21.8%not yet — horizon still open8,843,383Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04PAULSON & CO. INC.otherPurchase254,573 @ $2.82$718K+3.0% of holding−35.9%not yet — horizon still open8,698,408Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-18Orfanos LoudirectorPurchase5,000 @ $2.60$13K+45.3% of holding+18.9%not yet — horizon still open16,035Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-17Slater JohndirectorPurchase2,000 @ $2.66$5K+5.2% of holding+17.0%−40.0%40,370Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2026-03-13Walsh JoedirectorPurchase15,000 @ $2.91$44K+2.0% of holding−0.0%−47.8%775,749Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-04Slater JohndirectorPurchase3,000 @ $3.24$10K+8.5% of holding−8.2%−53.3%38,370Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03PAULSON & CO. INC.otherPurchase593,621 @ $2.83$1.7M+7.6% of holding−2.7%−51.3%8,443,835Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03Rouse Paul DofficerPurchase6,000 @ $2.61$16K+1.7% of holding−2.7%−51.3%355,079Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02PAULSON & CO. INC.otherPurchase987,078 @ $2.49$2.5M+14.4% of holding+7.6%−40.8%7,850,214Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Rouse Paul DofficerPurchase14,000 @ $2.35$33K+4.2% of holding+7.6%−40.8%349,079Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-27PAULSON & CO. INC.otherPurchase857,066 @ $2.29$2.0M+14.3% of holding+17.5%−30.9%6,863,136Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-07Walsh JoedirectorPurchase25,000 @ $6.51$163K+4.3% of holding−6.6%−55.2%610,232Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-05Slater JohndirectorPurchase1,100 @ $7.07$8K+3.2% of holding−19.3%−56.7%35,370Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-05Slater JohndirectorPurchase400 @ $7.06$3K+1.2% of holding−19.3%−56.7%34,270Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-29Slater JohndirectorPurchase1,000 @ $12.92$13K+3.0% of holding−9.8%−83.2%33,870Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-25Slater JohndirectorPurchase1,000 @ $13.69$14K+3.1% of holding−13.7%−79.5%32,870Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-01Walsh JoedirectorPurchase8,000 @ $12.90$103K+1.4% of holding−0.6%−73.7%592,232Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01Kintzer BonniedirectorPurchase814 @ $12.32$10K+2.7% of holding−0.6%−73.7%31,021Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-07Walsh JoedirectorPurchase5,000 @ $13.40$67K+0.9% of holding−5.2%−67.5%586,043Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07Freeman GrantofficerPurchase500 @ $16.82$8K+0.3% of holding−24.3%−36.2%164,763Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-05Slater JohndirectorPurchase300 @ $16.72$5K+1.5% of holding−21.3%−38.9%20,835Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04Slater JohndirectorPurchase700 @ $16.53$12K+3.5% of holding−20.3%−38.6%20,535Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Walsh JoedirectorPurchase5,000 @ $16.45$82K+0.8% of holding−17.0%−34.4%603,812Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

109 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax1,167763,099Form 4
2026-09-08Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax958764,266Form 4
2026-08-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax1,167765,124Form 4
2026-08-05Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax958766,291Form 4
2026-07-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax1,167767,249Form 4
2026-07-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax958768,416Form 4
2026-06-11OHARA RYANdirectorAward / grant38,25869,878Form 4
2026-06-11Orfanos LoudirectorAward / grant38,25854,293Form 4
2026-06-11Kintzer BonniedirectorAward / grant38,25869,279Form 4
2026-06-11Vaccarello LaurendirectorAward / grant38,25867,628Form 4
2026-06-11Akhtar AmerdirectorAward / grant38,25869,828Form 4
2026-06-11Slater JohndirectorAward / grant38,25878,628Form 4
2026-06-08Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax1,167769,374Form 4
2026-06-05Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax958770,541Form 4
2026-05-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax1,167771,499Form 4
2026-05-05Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax958772,666Form 4
2026-05-04Rouse Paul DofficerOption exercise5,000124,521Form 4
2026-05-04Rouse Paul DofficerOption exercise5,000360,079Form 4
2026-04-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax1,167773,624Form 4
2026-04-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax958774,791Form 4
2026-03-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax1,167760,749Form 4
2026-03-05Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax958761,916Form 4
2026-02-27Freeman GrantofficerAward / grant20,339276,772Form 4
2026-02-27Rouse Paul DofficerAward / grant28,243335,079Form 4
2026-02-27Walsh JoedirectorAward / grant28,915762,874Form 4
2026-02-27Wholey John FofficerAward / grant20,406318,426Form 4
2026-02-27Bolger LesleyofficerAward / grant22,884223,973Form 4
2026-02-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax1,167733,959Form 4
2026-02-05Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax958735,126Form 4
2026-01-06Walsh JoedirectorWithheld for tax15,049591,506Form 4
2026-01-06Freeman GrantofficerWithheld for tax12,963135,952Form 4
2026-01-06Rouse Paul DofficerWithheld for tax11,041186,355Form 4
2026-01-06Wholey John FofficerWithheld for tax6,866213,683Form 4
2026-01-06Bolger LesleyofficerWithheld for tax6,880116,752Form 4
2026-01-05Rouse Paul DofficerWithheld for tax9,730197,396Form 4
2026-01-05Freeman GrantofficerWithheld for tax9,193148,915Form 4
2026-01-05Rouse Paul DofficerWithheld for tax8,298207,126Form 4
2026-01-05Freeman GrantofficerWithheld for tax6,655158,108Form 4
2026-01-05Wholey John FofficerWithheld for tax6,099220,549Form 4
2026-01-05Bolger LesleyofficerWithheld for tax6,099123,632Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.