THOThor Industries, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Recreational Vehiclesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $69.74 · now $69.74 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, THO has typically landed between $58.57 and $81.07 — a range of −16.0% to +16.2% from the issuance price $69.74.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($69.74) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where THO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $69.74 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$58.57worst · -16.0%$81.07best · +16.2%
  • now $69.74 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $69.67 (-0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $64.83–$74.52
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $58.57–$81.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−59.4%−59.4%+3.2%
2020-02-21−59.2%−59.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−59.1%−60.7%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-03+79.5%+0.0%+94.4%
2009-03-05+76.7%−9.1%+76.7%
2009-03-09+73.0%+0.0%+94.4%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+4.0%
n=20
Feb
40%
−1.0%
n=20
Mar
30%
−3.9%
n=20
Apr
55%
+5.3%
n=20
May
40%
−1.7%
n=20
Jun
45%
+1.0%
n=20
Jul
70%
+4.9%
n=20
Aug
55%
−0.7%
n=20
Sep
65%
+5.2%
n=20
Oct
55%
−1.2%
n=20
Nov
65%
+2.7%
n=20
Dec
40%
+0.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$119$702026-03-06: 1 insider purchase, $229K — ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCH2026-01-15: 1 insider sale, $524K — WOELFER W. TODD2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $178K — WOELFER W. TODD2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $178K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $524K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $229K↑ buys↓ salesdirector ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCH — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer WOELFER W. TODD — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer WOELFER W. TODD — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-06ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCHdirectorPurchase2,600 @ $88.25$229K+1.9% of holding−9.4%−24.8%139,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-15WOELFER W. TODDofficerSale4,567 @ $114.84$524K−4.2% of holding+0.8%−41.2%104,109Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-12WOELFER W. TODDofficerSale1,729 @ $103.15$178K−1.5% of holding+10.7%−36.6%112,680Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCHdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $85.40$256K+2.2% of holding+5.1%+9.3%136,400Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

37 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-16ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCHdirectorGift10,000738,129Form 4
2026-06-16ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCHdirectorGift50071,070Form 4
2025-12-26MARTIN ROBERT WdirectorGift4,720400,504Form 4
2025-12-12WOELFER W. TODDofficerGift4,004108,676Form 4
2025-10-08MARTIN ROBERT WdirectorWithheld for tax13,991393,967Form 4
2025-10-08MARTIN ROBERT WdirectorWithheld for tax7,505405,224Form 4
2025-10-08ZUHL COLLEEN AofficerWithheld for tax5,906142,306Form 4
2025-10-08WOELFER W. TODDofficerWithheld for tax5,899109,420Form 4
2025-10-08ZUHL COLLEEN AofficerWithheld for tax3,413147,166Form 4
2025-10-08WOELFER W. TODDofficerWithheld for tax3,327114,409Form 4
2025-10-08Gasper Trevor Q.officerWithheld for tax1,97823,032Form 4
2025-10-08Gasper Trevor Q.officerWithheld for tax1,23424,906Form 4
2025-10-08McDermott MicheleofficerWithheld for tax1266,770Form 4
2025-10-08Gasper Trevor Q.officerAward / grant3,10826,140Form 4
2025-10-08MARTIN ROBERT WdirectorAward / grant18,762412,729Form 4
2025-10-08WOELFER W. TODDofficerAward / grant8,316117,736Form 4
2025-10-08ZUHL COLLEEN AofficerAward / grant8,273150,579Form 4
2025-10-07WOELFER W. TODDofficerAward / grant15,862115,319Form 4
2025-10-07Gasper Trevor Q.officerAward / grant7,84825,010Form 4
2025-10-07Graves Andrew EdirectorAward / grant1,48224,614Form 4
2025-10-07Kelley William J. JRdirectorAward / grant1,4827,374Form 4
2025-10-07MARTIN ROBERT WdirectorAward / grant35,626407,958Form 4
2025-10-07McDermott MicheleofficerAward / grant5,4606,896Form 4
2025-10-07Huntington AmeliadirectorAward / grant1,48210,831Form 4
2025-10-07Hurd LaureldirectorAward / grant1,4826,566Form 4
2025-10-07ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCHdirectorAward / grant1,482748,129Form 4
2025-10-07KLEIN CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant1,48211,594Form 4
2025-10-07ZUHL COLLEEN AofficerAward / grant16,307148,212Form 4
2025-10-07HENNINGTON CHRISTINAdirectorAward / grant1,4826,566Form 4
2025-10-07Lorenger Jeffrey DdirectorAward / grant1,4823,397Form 4
2025-06-30ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCHdirectorGift14,000746,647Form 4
2025-06-30ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCHdirectorGift45070,570Form 4
2024-12-18MARTIN ROBERT WdirectorGift2,500372,332Form 4
2024-12-18MARTIN ROBERT WdirectorGift1,000377,332Form 4
2024-12-18MARTIN ROBERT WdirectorGift2,500374,832Form 4
2024-12-11ORTHWEIN PETER BUSCHdirectorGift3001,060,647Form 4
2024-12-10WOELFER W. TODDofficerGift4,70099,457Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.