Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.94 · now $2.94 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TGEN has typically landed between $2.06 and $4.76 — a range of −29.9% to +61.9% from the issuance price $2.94.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,071 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-05-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.94) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TGEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.94 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.94 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.86 (-2.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.41–$3.31
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.06–$4.76
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2014-05-22 | −67.1% | −69.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-04 | −57.7% | −57.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-06 | −55.4% | −55.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-04-17 | +139.4% | +0.0% | +139.4% |
| 2025-04-16 | +137.7% | +0.0% | +137.7% |
| 2025-04-23 | +133.7% | +0.0% | +133.7% |
3,071 overlapping windows · 2014-05-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Ghoniem Ahmed | director | Purchase | 12,723 @ $0.79 | $10K | ownership Δ n/a | +35.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,723 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-13 | Hirsch Susan B | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $3.73 | $19K | +1.9% of holding | +8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 265,416 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Hirsch Susan B | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $2.54 | $25K | +4.0% of holding | +51.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 260,416 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Lewis Earl | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $2.52 | $13K | +0.5% of holding | +51.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,011,006 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-26 | Lewis Earl | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $2.88 | $14K | +0.5% of holding | +51.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,006,006 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Whiting John Kimball IV | officer | Purchase | 10,000 @ $2.38 | $24K | +79.3% of holding | +74.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,612 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-20 | Deschenes Roger P. | officer | Purchase | 10,000 @ $2.23 | $22K | +23.3% of holding | +91.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 52,962 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-20 | Rangesh Abinand | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $2.30 | $7K | +4.7% of holding | +91.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,193 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $7.25 | $73K | −96.2% of holding | +7.4% | −46.1% | 400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $5.98 | $150K | −98.4% of holding | +41.0% | +1.7% | 400 | Form 4 · filed 18 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $5.00 | $75K | −97.4% of holding | +45.8% | +17.9% | 400 | Form 4 · filed 20 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $4.88 | $49K | −96.2% of holding | +66.0% | +17.2% | 400 | Form 4 · filed 21 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Purchase | 400 @ $2.50 | $1K | ownership Δ n/a | −0.8% | +215.7% | 400 | Form 4 · filed 113 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-22 | Lewis Earl | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $0.71 | $71K | +15.7% of holding | +54.7% | +426.7% | 737,000 | Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade |
| 2023-10-09 | Lewis Earl | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $0.80 | $2K | +0.3% of holding | +12.9% | −32.7% | 637,000 | Form 4 · filed 424 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Rangesh Abinand | director | Award / grant | 26,041 | 26,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Panora Robert | officer | Award / grant | 26,041 | 26,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Ghoniem Ahmed | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Lewis Earl | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Galiteva Angelina | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | ALBERTINE JOHN M | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Hirsch Susan B | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Award / grant | 29,013 | 29,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Whiting John Kimball IV | officer | Award / grant | 19,342 | 19,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Whiting John Kimball IV | officer | Award / grant | 19,342 | 19,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Award / grant | 29,013 | 29,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Panora Robert | officer | Award / grant | 9,671 | 9,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Rangesh Abinand | director | Award / grant | 174,081 | 174,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Rangesh Abinand | director | Award / grant | 174,081 | 174,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Panora Robert | officer | Award / grant | 9,671 | 9,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deschenes Roger P. | officer | Award / grant | 29,013 | 29,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deschenes Roger P. | officer | Award / grant | 29,013 | 29,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Ghoniem Ahmed | director | Option exercise | 12,723 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Hatsopoulos John | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Hatsopoulos John | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 1,038,951 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | ALBERTINE JOHN M | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 175,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Lewis Earl | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 91,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Ghoniem Ahmed | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 237,723 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Hirsch Susan B | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Galiteva Angelina | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 225,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Rangesh Abinand | director | Award / grant | 24,075 | 294,075 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Award / grant | 24,075 | 72,937 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Whiting John Kimball IV | officer | Award / grant | 24,075 | 424,075 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Deschenes Roger P. | officer | Award / grant | 12,063 | 152,063 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Rangesh Abinand | director | Award / grant | 12,048 | 306,123 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Deschenes Roger P. | officer | Award / grant | 17,964 | 42,962 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Whiting John Kimball IV | officer | Award / grant | 11,976 | 12,612 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Rangesh Abinand | director | Award / grant | 53,892 | 64,193 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Award / grant | 11,976 | 12,376 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-23 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Exercise | 10,000 | 10,400 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-23 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Exercise | 10,000 | 17,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Panora Robert | officer | Exercise | 52,500 | 165,223 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Panora Robert | officer | Exercise | 30,000 | 112,723 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Panora Robert | officer | Exercise | 12,723 | 82,723 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-06 | Lafaille Stephen | officer | Exercise | 25,000 | 25,400 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.