TFXTeleflex Incorporatedas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $128.00 · now $128.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TFX has typically landed between $108.48 and $145.05 — a range of −15.2% to +13.3% from the issuance price $128.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($128.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TFX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $128 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$108.48worst · -15.2%$145.05best · +13.3%
  • now $128 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $125.76 (-1.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $118.11–$133.41
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $108.48–$145.05
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−39.1%−39.1%+0.0%
2020-02-18−36.7%−36.7%+1.9%
2020-02-20−36.5%−36.5%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+48.3%+0.0%+53.9%
2020-03-18+41.5%−8.1%+41.5%
2020-03-19+35.6%−11.4%+36.3%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.6%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.9%
n=19
Mar
68%
+0.7%
n=19
Apr
58%
+1.4%
n=19
May
58%
−0.2%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.4%
n=19
Jul
74%
+2.6%
n=19
Aug
53%
−0.4%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.2%
n=19
Oct
44%
−1.7%
n=18
Nov
67%
+3.2%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$142$1002025-08: 6 open-market purchases, $634K↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-08-06HAGGERTY GRETCHEN RdirectorPurchase300 @ $114.73$34K+5.0% of holding+14.7%−12.7%6,305Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06HAGGERTY GRETCHEN RdirectorPurchase200 @ $114.78$23K+3.4% of holding+14.7%−12.7%6,005Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05Kelly LiamdirectorPurchase1,500 @ $115.07$173K+3.4% of holding+9.3%−17.1%45,267Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05Ryu JaewondirectorPurchase1,500 @ $115.00$173K+67.4% of holding+9.3%−17.1%3,727Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05RANDLE STUART AdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $115.86$116K+15.3% of holding+9.3%−17.1%7,547Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05Krakauer Andrew AdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $115.25$115K+16.1% of holding+9.3%−17.1%7,192Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

105 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Salmon SeandirectorAward / grant4,4444,444Form 4
2026-09-08Salmon SeandirectorAward / grant674674Form 4
2026-06-08RANDLE STUART AdirectorAward / grant2,1922,192Form 4
2026-06-08Weidman Jason R.directorAward / grant53,98353,983Form 4
2026-06-08RANDLE STUART AdirectorAward / grant99516,524Form 4
2026-06-08Weidman Jason R.directorAward / grant26,07126,071Form 4
2026-06-08RANDLE STUART AdirectorAward / grant4,66321,187Form 4
2026-06-07RANDLE STUART AdirectorWithheld for tax4,05415,529Form 4
2026-05-15Krakauer Andrew AdirectorAward / grant1,0908,309Form 4
2026-05-15Krakauer Andrew AdirectorAward / grant2,3972,397Form 4
2026-05-15TOKICH MICHAEL JdirectorAward / grant1,0901,090Form 4
2026-05-15TOKICH MICHAEL JdirectorAward / grant4,7934,793Form 4
2026-05-15Ryu JaewondirectorAward / grant1,0904,817Form 4
2026-05-15Patil Neena MdirectorAward / grant1,0903,716Form 4
2026-05-15Patil Neena MdirectorAward / grant2,3972,397Form 4
2026-05-15Duncan Candace HdirectorAward / grant1,0907,039Form 4
2026-05-15Duncan Candace HdirectorAward / grant2,3972,397Form 4
2026-05-15Ryu JaewondirectorAward / grant2,3972,397Form 4
2026-05-15HAGGERTY GRETCHEN RdirectorAward / grant1,0907,395Form 4
2026-05-15HAGGERTY GRETCHEN RdirectorAward / grant2,3972,397Form 4
2026-05-09RANDLE STUART AdirectorWithheld for tax28919,583Form 4
2026-03-04Winters JamesofficerWithheld for tax24717,760Form 4
2026-03-04Deren JohnofficerWithheld for tax22918,073Form 4
2026-03-04Logue Daniel V.officerWithheld for tax13124,653Form 4
2026-03-04Hicks Cameron PofficerWithheld for tax9819,363Form 4
2026-03-03Logue Daniel V.officerAward / grant6,59124,784Form 4
2026-03-03Hicks Cameron PofficerAward / grant2,44713,812Form 4
2026-03-03Hicks Cameron PofficerAward / grant5,64919,461Form 4
2026-03-03Deren JohnofficerAward / grant4,6049,122Form 4
2026-03-03Deren JohnofficerAward / grant9,18018,302Form 4
2026-03-03Deren JohnofficerAward / grant30,36230,362Form 4
2026-03-03Winters JamesofficerAward / grant3,2628,262Form 4
2026-03-03Hicks Cameron PofficerAward / grant16,13316,133Form 4
2026-03-03Winters JamesofficerAward / grant21,51021,510Form 4
2026-03-03Winters JamesofficerAward / grant9,74518,007Form 4
2026-03-03Logue Daniel V.officerAward / grant3,26218,193Form 4
2026-03-03Logue Daniel V.officerAward / grant21,51021,510Form 4
2026-02-28Winters JamesofficerWithheld for tax6615,000Form 4
2026-02-28Logue Daniel V.officerWithheld for tax48414,931Form 4
2026-02-28Hicks Cameron PofficerWithheld for tax39611,365Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-07-16$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-07-22$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-03-272025-02-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-03-062025-02-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-12-052024-11-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-05-062024-04-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-11-082023-10-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-09-062023-08-29$1–15K
Daniel GoldmanHousesale2023-08-132023-07-12$15–50K
Daniel GoldmanHousepurchase2023-05-192023-04-10$15–50K
Susie LeeHousesale2022-12-292022-11-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-09-082022-08-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-06-102022-05-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-06-102022-05-10$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.