TERTeradyne, Inc.Technology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $398.38 · now $398.38 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, TER has typically landed between $324.41 and $504.25 — a range of −18.6% to +26.6% from the issuance price $398.38.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($398.38) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TER has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $398.38 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$324.41worst · -18.6%$504.25best · +26.6%
  • now $398.38 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $410.26 (+3.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $372.27–$448.24
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $324.41–$504.25
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,692 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-22−45.7%−45.7%+2.2%
2008-10-21−44.7%−44.7%+0.0%
2008-09-26−43.7%−43.7%+0.0%
3 best
2026-01-26+48.0%+0.0%+48.0%
2009-03-06+45.7%−1.6%+46.9%
2008-12-04+45.6%−0.6%+45.6%

4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$54.8B
market cap
$5.40
EPS (TTM)
64.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-28
next earnings
Revenue$3.2B
'20'25
Net income$554M
'20'25
Free cash flow$450M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr17.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr19.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.12
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $398.38$6.79$590.24
  • DCF (intrinsic)$47.03
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$184.71
  • Analyst target · range $270.00–$550.00$388.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$398.38

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.7%
n=18
Feb
68%
+4.3%
n=19
Mar
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Apr
58%
+1.5%
n=19
May
79%
+5.0%
n=19
Jun
47%
+1.1%
n=19
Jul
58%
+1.9%
n=19
Aug
37%
−1.9%
n=19
Sep
47%
+0.3%
n=19
Oct
67%
+3.3%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.9%
n=18
Dec
78%
+6.4%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$484$1092026-09-17: 1 insider sale, $140K — MATZ MARILYN2026-09-15: 2 insider sales, $1.6M — Smith Gregory Stephen, MATZ MARILYN2026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $57K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2026-08-17: 2 insider sales, $2.2M — Smith Gregory Stephen, MATZ MARILYN2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $59K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2026-07-15: 2 insider sales, $1.9M — Smith Gregory Stephen, MATZ MARILYN2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $77K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2026-06-15: 2 insider sales, $2.2M — Smith Gregory Stephen, MATZ MARILYN2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $62K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $233K — Poulin Shannon John2026-05-21: 2 insider sales, $488K — Poulin Shannon John, MATZ MARILYN2026-05-15: 2 insider sales, $3.2M — Smith Gregory Stephen, MATZ MARILYN2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $257K — Driscoll Ryan2026-04-08: 1 insider sale, $5K — Mills Regan2026-04-06: 1 insider sale, $195K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2026-04-02: 1 insider sale, $73K — Mills Regan2026-03-05: 1 insider sale, $187K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $262K — Mills Regan2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $167K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $132K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $223K — Smith Gregory Stephen2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $125K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $200K — Smith Gregory Stephen2025-11-05: 1 insider sale, $111K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2025-10-10: 1 insider sale, $161K — Smith Gregory Stephen2025-10-06: 1 insider sale, $92K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2025-09-22: 1 insider sale, $70K — Smith Gregory Stephen2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $64K — Smith Gregory Stephen2025-09-05: 1 insider sale, $75K — JOHNSON MERCEDES2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $125K2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $209K2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $253K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $310K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $348K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $132K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $429K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $187K2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $274K2026-05: 6 open-market sales, $4.2M2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-09: 4 open-market sales, $1.8M↑ buys↓ salesdirector MATZ MARILYN — Sale on 2026-09-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MATZ MARILYN — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MATZ MARILYN — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MATZ MARILYN — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MATZ MARILYN — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Poulin Shannon John — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Poulin Shannon John — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MATZ MARILYN — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MATZ MARILYN — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Driscoll Ryan — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Mills Regan — Sale on 2026-04-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2026-04-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Mills Regan — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Mills Regan — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2025-10-10, filed 5 days after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Smith Gregory Stephen — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector JOHNSON MERCEDES — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-17MATZ MARILYNdirectorSale400 @ $351.11$140K−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open13,841Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-15Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale4,000 @ $337.83$1.4M−3.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open108,495Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-15MATZ MARILYNdirectorSale800 @ $337.83$270K−5.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open14,241Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale167 @ $341.30$57K−2.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open6,364Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale4,000 @ $425.00$1.7M−3.4% of holding−20.4%not yet — horizon still open112,495Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17MATZ MARILYNdirectorSale1,200 @ $425.00$510K−7.4% of holding−20.4%not yet — horizon still open15,041Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale166 @ $358.15$59K−2.5% of holding−8.9%not yet — horizon still open6,531Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale4,000 @ $356.31$1.4M−3.3% of holding+16.9%not yet — horizon still open116,495Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15MATZ MARILYNdirectorSale1,200 @ $356.31$428K−6.9% of holding+16.9%not yet — horizon still open16,241Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale167 @ $460.00$77K−2.4% of holding−14.1%not yet — horizon still open6,697Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale4,000 @ $423.03$1.7M−3.2% of holding−25.2%not yet — horizon still open120,470Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15MATZ MARILYNdirectorSale1,200 @ $423.03$508K−6.4% of holding−25.2%not yet — horizon still open17,441Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-02JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale167 @ $369.74$62K−2.4% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open6,864Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22Poulin Shannon JohnofficerSale656 @ $355.00$233K−4.0% of holding+20.6%not yet — horizon still open15,722Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-21Poulin Shannon JohnofficerSale1,008 @ $345.37$348K−6.3% of holding+19.8%not yet — horizon still open15,066Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-21MATZ MARILYNdirectorSale400 @ $350.00$140K−2.1% of holding+19.8%not yet — horizon still open18,641Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-15Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale8,597 @ $338.98$2.9M−6.5% of holding+19.7%not yet — horizon still open124,470Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15MATZ MARILYNdirectorSale800 @ $338.98$271K−4.0% of holding+19.7%not yet — horizon still open19,041Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07Driscoll RyanofficerSale680 @ $377.60$257K−8.1% of holding+4.8%not yet — horizon still open7,665Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-08Mills ReganofficerSale16 @ $342.17$5K−0.1% of holding−9.4%not yet — horizon still open11,399Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-06JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $312.20$195K−8.9% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open6,363Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-02Mills ReganofficerSale252 @ $290.88$73K−2.2% of holding−0.5%not yet — horizon still open11,415Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $299.20$187K−8.2% of holding+6.2%−3.3%6,988Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25Mills ReganofficerSale788 @ $332.87$262K−6.2% of holding−6.6%−5.2%11,889Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-05JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $266.98$167K−7.6% of holding+9.3%+25.3%7,613Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $211.85$132K−7.1% of holding+22.8%+51.3%8,238Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-12Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale1,108 @ $201.31$223K−1.2% of holding+17.5%+101.2%93,409Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-05JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $200.00$125K−6.6% of holding+9.9%+75.9%8,863Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-12Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale1,108 @ $180.20$200K−1.2% of holding+8.2%+79.9%94,517Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-05JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $177.05$111K−6.2% of holding+5.9%+82.5%9,488Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-10Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale1,108 @ $145.24$161K−1.2% of holding+35.0%+170.1%94,777Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-10-06JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $147.90$92K−5.8% of holding+18.2%+141.4%10,113Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale554 @ $126.39$70K−0.6% of holding+5.4%+138.6%95,885Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-12Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale554 @ $115.00$64K−0.6% of holding+22.8%+163.7%96,439Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-05JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $120.06$75K−5.5% of holding+19.0%+141.5%10,738Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-12Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale554 @ $106.00$59K−0.6% of holding+1.3%+180.2%96,993Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $106.00$66K−5.2% of holding+8.3%+142.2%11,363Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-30JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale1,875 @ $105.73$198K−13.5% of holding+7.2%+124.4%11,988Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-30Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale554 @ $105.73$59K−0.6% of holding+7.2%+124.4%97,547Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $110.96$69K−4.7% of holding−18.3%+3.9%12,768Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-04Mehta SanjayofficerSale1,384 @ $111.49$154K−3.6% of holding−0.7%−11.6%36,576Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-04Burns Richard JohndirectorSale445 @ $111.49$50K−1.7% of holding−0.7%−11.6%25,191Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-04Driscoll RyanofficerSale216 @ $111.49$24K−3.0% of holding−0.7%−11.6%7,007Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-03JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $112.58$70K−4.5% of holding+1.8%−9.2%13,393Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-30Mehta SanjayofficerSale614 @ $102.00$63K−2.0% of holding−4.5%−12.6%30,446Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-30Driscoll RyanofficerSale437 @ $102.00$45K−9.2% of holding−4.5%−12.6%4,312Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-29Mehta SanjayofficerSale5,338 @ $122.90$656K−14.7% of holding−8.6%−17.4%31,060Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-29Burns Richard JohndirectorSale1,477 @ $122.90$182K−6.5% of holding−8.6%−17.4%21,213Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-29Driscoll RyanofficerSale76 @ $122.90$9K−1.6% of holding−8.6%−17.4%4,749Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-28Mehta SanjayofficerSale1,789 @ $120.51$216K−5.1% of holding−7.5%−17.1%33,308Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-28Burns Richard JohndirectorSale407 @ $120.51$49K−1.9% of holding−7.5%−17.1%20,764Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-28Driscoll RyanofficerSale107 @ $120.51$13K−2.1% of holding−7.5%−17.1%4,984Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-03Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale3,080 @ $130.00$400K−4.0% of holding−15.9%−34.8%74,660Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-02JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $126.76$79K−4.3% of holding−14.7%−33.7%14,018Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-16Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale3,080 @ $130.00$400K−3.8% of holding+8.1%−32.0%77,656Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-02JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $110.04$69K−4.1% of holding+14.6%−26.5%14,643Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-11-07JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorSale625 @ $111.42$70K−3.9% of holding+5.7%−22.9%15,268Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2024-10-02Burns Richard JohndirectorSale191 @ $129.68$25K−0.9% of holding−19.2%−37.0%21,315Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-10-01Smith Gregory StephendirectorSale3,080 @ $132.80$409K−3.7% of holding−17.1%−36.6%80,736Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-10-01Burns Richard JohndirectorSale789 @ $132.80$105K−3.5% of holding−17.1%−36.6%21,864Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

162 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-25Henry Andrew ChisholmdirectorAward / grant522,927Form 4
2026-06-25TUFANO PAUL JdirectorAward / grant11665,848Form 4
2026-06-25Herweck PeterdirectorAward / grant6316,201Form 4
2026-06-12MADDOCK ERNEST EdirectorOther acquisition210,267Form 4
2026-06-12TUFANO PAUL JdirectorOther acquisition1965,732Form 4
2026-06-12Herweck PeterdirectorOther acquisition416,138Form 4
2026-06-02Hathout Jean PierreofficerWithheld for tax1749,733Form 4
2026-06-01Hathout Jean PierreofficerWithheld for tax2679,907Form 4
2026-05-21Poulin Shannon JohnofficerWithheld for tax1,53116,378Form 4
2026-05-21Poulin Shannon JohnofficerOption exercise2,84317,909Form 4
2026-05-21Poulin Shannon JohnofficerOption exercise2,8438,532Form 4
2026-05-15Smith Gregory StephendirectorOption exercise4,597133,067Form 4
2026-05-15Smith Gregory StephendirectorOption exercise4,5970Form 4
2026-05-08TUFANO PAUL JdirectorAward / grant66865,713Form 4
2026-05-08van Kralingen Bridget AdirectorAward / grant6686,224Form 4
2026-05-08MATZ MARILYNdirectorAward / grant66819,841Form 4
2026-05-08MADDOCK ERNEST EdirectorAward / grant66810,265Form 4
2026-05-08JOHNSON MERCEDESdirectorAward / grant6687,031Form 4
2026-05-08Sayiner NecipdirectorAward / grant6682,800Form 4
2026-05-08Herweck PeterdirectorAward / grant66816,134Form 4
2026-05-08Henry Andrew ChisholmdirectorAward / grant6682,875Form 4
2026-04-01Poulin Shannon JohnofficerWithheld for tax1,16216,074Form 4
2026-04-01Mills ReganofficerWithheld for tax22211,667Form 4
2026-03-26Herweck PeterdirectorAward / grant9215,466Form 4
2026-03-26Henry Andrew ChisholmdirectorAward / grant752,207Form 4
2026-03-26TUFANO PAUL JdirectorAward / grant15965,045Form 4
2026-03-13Herweck PeterdirectorOther acquisition515,374Form 4
2026-03-13MADDOCK ERNEST EdirectorOther acquisition29,597Form 4
2026-03-13TUFANO PAUL JdirectorOther acquisition2564,886Form 4
2026-02-04Hathout Jean PierreofficerAward / grant886886Form 4
2026-02-04Smith Gregory StephendirectorAward / grant13,380128,470Form 4
2026-02-04Smith Gregory StephendirectorAward / grant11,81011,810Form 4
2026-02-04Hathout Jean PierreofficerAward / grant1,00410,174Form 4
2026-02-04Mills ReganofficerAward / grant1,00412,677Form 4
2026-02-04Mills ReganofficerAward / grant886886Form 4
2026-02-04Driscoll RyanofficerAward / grant1,7848,345Form 4
2026-02-04Driscoll RyanofficerAward / grant1,5751,575Form 4
2026-02-04Poulin Shannon JohnofficerAward / grant4,46017,236Form 4
2026-02-04Poulin Shannon JohnofficerAward / grant3,9373,937Form 4
2026-02-02Smith Gregory StephendirectorWithheld for tax6,763115,090Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-05-042026-04-29$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-31$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-19$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-05-122025-04-23$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-04-142025-03-03$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousepurchase2025-03-122025-02-12$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.