TELTE Connectivity plcTechnology · Hardware, Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $202.20 · now $202.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TEL has typically landed between $180.40 and $226.51 — a range of −10.8% to +12.0% from the issuance price $202.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($202.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TEL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $202.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$180.4worst · -10.8%$226.51best · +12.0%
  • now $202.2 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $203.3 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $193.61$212.99
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $180.4$226.51
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-05−48.1%−48.1%+3.1%
2009-02-06−43.7%−49.7%+0.0%
2009-02-04−43.6%−43.6%+5.8%
3 best
2009-03-30+71.9%+0.0%+71.9%
2009-03-18+66.0%+0.0%+66.0%
2009-03-09+60.9%+0.0%+72.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$59.2B
market cap
$10.20
EPS (TTM)
19.9
P/E (TTM)
2026-11-04
next earnings
Revenue$17.1B
'20'25
Net income$1.8B
'20'25
Free cash flow$3.2B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr10.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr14.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.52
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $202.20$154.90$363.26
  • DCF (intrinsic)$169.27
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$348.89
  • Analyst target · range $225.00$300.00$237.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$202.20

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+1.3%
n=18
Feb
74%
+0.2%
n=19
Mar
53%
−0.5%
n=19
Apr
58%
+5.5%
n=19
May
79%
+1.2%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.3%
n=19
Jul
79%
+4.9%
n=19
Aug
37%
−0.4%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.8%
n=19
Oct
44%
+1.3%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.1%
n=18
Dec
61%
+1.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$247$1952026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Kroeger Shadrak W2026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Kroeger Shadrak W2026-04-08: 2 insider sales, $2.1M — Kroeger Shadrak W …2026-03-02: 6 insider sales, $2.1M — Kroeger Shadrak W …2026-02-13: 12 insider sales, $4.1M — Kroeger Shadrak W, SHAFFER REUBEN M. …2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Jenkins John S2025-12-19: 7 insider sales, $6.2M — CURTIN TERRENCE R, MITTS HEATH A …2025-12-18: 7 insider sales, $6.1M — CURTIN TERRENCE R, MITTS HEATH A …2025-11-03: 7 insider sales, $26.5M — MITTS HEATH A, Jenkins John S …2025-09-02: 3 insider sales, $4.8M — Kroeger Shadrak W …2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $4.8M2025-11: 7 open-market sales, $26.5M2025-12: 14 open-market sales, $12.3M2026-02: 13 open-market sales, $5.4M2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $2.0M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $2.0M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-04-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-04-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer SHAFFER REUBEN M. — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Jenkins John S — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed same daydirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed same daydirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed same daydirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CURTIN TERRENCE R — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jenkins John S — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jenkins John S — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MITTS HEATH A — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jenkins John S — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroeger Shadrak W — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-01Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale9,400 @ $215.00$2.0M−26.6% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open25,976Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale9,400 @ $215.00$2.0M−26.6% of holding−1.8%not yet — horizon still open25,976Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-08Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale4,930 @ $222.85$1.1M−16.0% of holding−14.0%not yet — horizon still open25,976Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-08Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale4,470 @ $223.72$1.0M−12.6% of holding−14.0%not yet — horizon still open30,906Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale3,370 @ $221.94$748K−11.5% of holding+3.6%−15.1%25,976Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale2,059 @ $225.65$465K−6.6% of holding+3.6%−15.1%29,346Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale2,015 @ $222.77$449K−6.0% of holding+3.6%−15.1%31,405Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale1,400 @ $219.56$307K−4.0% of holding+3.6%−15.1%33,420Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale550 @ $220.94$122K−1.6% of holding+3.6%−15.1%34,820Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale6 @ $223.40$1K−0.0% of holding+3.6%−15.1%35,370Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale6,565 @ $233.64$1.5M−20.2% of holding−11.6%−21.6%25,976Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale3,203 @ $234.22$750K−9.0% of holding−11.6%−21.6%32,541Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale2,797 @ $235.03$657K−7.3% of holding−11.6%−21.6%35,744Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13SHAFFER REUBEN M.officerSale1,425 @ $234.23$334K−100.0% of holding−11.6%−21.6%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale900 @ $236.29$213K−2.3% of holding−11.6%−21.6%38,541Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale700 @ $236.96$166K−1.7% of holding−11.6%−21.6%39,441Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale500 @ $231.78$116K−1.2% of holding−11.6%−21.6%40,141Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale300 @ $230.58$69K−0.7% of holding−11.6%−21.6%41,241Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale300 @ $227.36$68K−0.7% of holding−11.6%−21.6%40,941Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale300 @ $224.87$67K−0.7% of holding−11.6%−21.6%40,641Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale200 @ $229.14$46K−0.5% of holding−11.6%−21.6%41,741Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale200 @ $226.25$45K−0.5% of holding−11.6%−21.6%41,541Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-09Jenkins John SofficerSale6,155 @ $222.81$1.4M−22.0% of holding−6.6%−14.4%21,810Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-19CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale10,217 @ $229.84$2.3M−11.5% of holding−0.6%−21.4%78,943Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale4,289 @ $226.63$972K−13.8% of holding−0.6%−21.4%26,854Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-19CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale4,100 @ $227.50$933K−4.4% of holding−0.6%−21.4%89,160Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale3,600 @ $226.72$816K−3.7% of holding−0.6%−21.4%93,260Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale2,600 @ $228.42$594K−2.6% of holding−0.6%−21.4%96,860Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale1,980 @ $227.36$450K−6.0% of holding−0.6%−21.4%31,143Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-19CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale300 @ $230.33$69K−0.3% of holding−0.6%−21.4%99,460Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-18CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale15,885 @ $225.65$3.6M−13.7% of holding+0.6%−18.9%99,760Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-18CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale3,632 @ $224.77$816K−3.0% of holding+0.6%−18.9%115,645Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-18MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale3,238 @ $225.46$730K−8.9% of holding+0.6%−18.9%33,123Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-18MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale2,095 @ $226.31$474K−5.4% of holding+0.6%−18.9%36,361Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-18MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale936 @ $226.97$212K−2.4% of holding+0.6%−18.9%38,456Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-18CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale700 @ $226.64$159K−0.6% of holding+0.6%−18.9%119,277Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-18CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale600 @ $223.62$134K−0.5% of holding+0.6%−18.9%119,977Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-03MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale46,226 @ $247.79$11.5M−50.4% of holding−6.3%−19.9%45,503Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale22,474 @ $246.59$5.5M−19.7% of holding−6.3%−19.9%91,729Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03Jenkins John SofficerSale22,031 @ $247.71$5.5M−51.3% of holding−6.3%−19.9%20,903Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale12,141 @ $245.58$3.0M−9.6% of holding−6.3%−19.9%114,203Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03Jenkins John SofficerSale2,897 @ $247.91$718K−6.3% of holding−6.3%−19.9%42,934Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03MITTS HEATH AdirectorSale1,459 @ $248.32$362K−1.1% of holding−6.3%−19.9%126,344Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03Jenkins John SofficerSale93 @ $248.26$23K−0.2% of holding−6.3%−19.9%45,831Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale13,046 @ $203.47$2.7M−33.4% of holding+3.7%−4.8%25,976Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale7,221 @ $202.83$1.5M−15.6% of holding+3.7%−4.8%39,022Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale3,583 @ $201.59$722K−7.2% of holding+3.7%−4.8%46,243Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale109,051 @ $209.21$22.8M−58.0% of holding−2.1%+1.2%78,942Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale61,514 @ $208.26$12.8M−24.7% of holding−2.1%+1.2%187,993Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28Jenkins John SofficerSale37,932 @ $209.21$7.9M−60.6% of holding−2.1%+1.2%24,625Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale16,041 @ $206.87$3.3M−6.0% of holding−2.1%+1.2%249,507Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorSale10,494 @ $209.84$2.2M−3.8% of holding−2.1%+1.2%265,548Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28Jenkins John SofficerSale7,918 @ $209.94$1.7M−11.2% of holding−2.1%+1.2%62,557Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerSale1,945 @ $207.20$403K−29.2% of holding−2.1%+1.2%4,716Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Stucki Aaron KyleofficerSale32,900 @ $189.00$6.2M−58.2% of holding−1.1%+6.0%23,667Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Stucki Aaron KyleofficerSale20,000 @ $199.00$4.0M−26.1% of holding−1.1%+6.0%56,567Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-26Stucki Aaron KyleofficerSale13,100 @ $170.00$2.2M−35.6% of holding+19.7%+24.6%23,657Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale15,792 @ $158.78$2.5M−37.8% of holding+3.5%+26.8%25,976Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerSale9,208 @ $159.46$1.5M−18.1% of holding+3.5%+26.8%41,768Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13Jenkins John SofficerSale20,400 @ $162.85$3.3M−45.3% of holding−0.2%+36.4%24,625Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

133 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11SHAFFER REUBEN M.officerAward / grant51,430Form 4
2026-09-11SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerAward / grant41,051Form 4
2026-06-12SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerAward / grant41,047Form 4
2026-06-12SHAFFER REUBEN M.officerAward / grant51,425Form 4
2026-06-01Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,40035,376Form 4
2026-06-01Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,4000Form 4
2026-05-15SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerWithheld for tax2976,500Form 4
2026-05-15SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerOption exercise1,0431,043Form 4
2026-05-15SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerOption exercise1,0436,798Form 4
2026-05-06Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,40035,376Form 4
2026-05-06Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,4009,400Form 4
2026-04-08Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,40035,376Form 4
2026-04-08Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,40018,800Form 4
2026-03-13SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerAward / grant72,086Form 4
2026-03-13SHAFFER REUBEN M.officerAward / grant51,420Form 4
2026-03-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,40028,200Form 4
2026-03-02Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,40035,376Form 4
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,40041,941Form 4
2026-02-13Kroeger Shadrak WofficerOption exercise9,40037,600Form 4
2025-12-16CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorWithheld for tax32,042120,577Form 4
2025-12-16MITTS HEATH AdirectorWithheld for tax9,26339,392Form 4
2025-12-16Jenkins John SofficerWithheld for tax5,21727,965Form 4
2025-12-16Kroeger Shadrak WofficerWithheld for tax5,09632,541Form 4
2025-12-16Stucki Aaron KyleofficerWithheld for tax3,63526,418Form 4
2025-12-16SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerWithheld for tax7995,755Form 4
2025-12-16Jenkins John SofficerAward / grant12,27933,182Form 4
2025-12-16CURTIN TERRENCE RdirectorAward / grant73,676152,618Form 4
2025-12-16SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerAward / grant1,8386,554Form 4
2025-12-16Kroeger Shadrak WofficerAward / grant11,66137,637Form 4
2025-12-16MITTS HEATH AdirectorAward / grant21,80148,655Form 4
2025-12-16Stucki Aaron KyleofficerAward / grant9,82330,052Form 4
2025-12-12SAGAR MALAVIKAofficerAward / grant62,079Form 4
2025-12-12SHAFFER REUBEN M.officerAward / grant41,415Form 4
2025-11-17Washington Kenneth EdirectorWithheld for tax400433Form 4
2025-11-17Washington Kenneth EdirectorAward / grant833833Form 4
2025-11-15SHAFFER REUBEN M.officerWithheld for tax1,4251,129Form 4
2025-11-15SHAFFER REUBEN M.officerOption exercise2,5541,411Form 4
2025-11-15SHAFFER REUBEN M.officerOption exercise2,5542,554Form 4
2025-11-13Wright LauradirectorWithheld for tax40317,119Form 4
2025-11-13TALWALKAR ABHIJIT YdirectorWithheld for tax4036,369Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-07-022026-06-05$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-06-082026-05-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-18$1–15K
Sheri BiggsHousesale2025-10-052025-03-19$15–50K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2025-06-112025-05-22$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2025-05-142025-04-17$15–50K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2025-05-142025-04-09$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-05-082025-04-08$1–15K
Greg LandsmanHousesale2025-04-082025-03-25$15–50K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2025-02-102025-01-23$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2024-11-062024-10-04$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2024-11-062024-10-03$1–15K
Greg LandsmanHousepurchase2024-08-142024-05-29$15–50K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2024-07-092024-06-25$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.