TEAM · TickerCove

TEAMAtlassian CorporationTechnology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $190.28 · now $190.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TEAM has typically landed between $142.75 and $247.33 — a range of −25.0% to +30.0% from the issuance price $190.28.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,686 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-12-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($190.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$190.28 · 97% of range

$57.15 low$194.68 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.9%

typical move · IQR 21.0%

−25.0%worst (p90)+30.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TEAM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $190.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $190.28 (+0.0%)
typical $188.51 (-0.9%)
middle 50% $168.57–$208.46
90% range $142.75–$247.33

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,686 windows spanning 2015-12-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-10-06	−48.2%	−48.2%	+0.0%
2022-10-07	−47.8%	−47.8%	+0.0%
2026-01-26	−47.1%	−50.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-23	+114.4%	+0.0%	+118.2%
2026-07-22	+104.8%	−6.1%	+104.8%
2026-07-24	+97.2%	+0.0%	+101.3%

2,686 overlapping windows · 2015-12-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

64%

+4.4%

n=11

Feb

55%

−3.3%

n=11

Mar

36%

−3.8%

n=11

Apr

55%

−0.5%

n=11

May

55%

+7.9%

n=11

Jun

45%

+0.3%

n=11

Jul

73%

+9.9%

n=11

Aug

55%

+13.5%

n=11

Sep

27%

−2.8%

n=11

Oct

50%

+3.6%

n=10

Nov

60%

+1.4%

n=10

Dec

50%

+1.3%

n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-28	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	939 @ $190.00	$178K	−1.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	55,868	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	2,143 @ $173.14	$371K	−0.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	286,022	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	2,044 @ $174.02	$356K	−0.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	283,141	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	1,377 @ $172.01	$237K	−0.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	280,490	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	1,184 @ $175.10	$207K	−0.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	279,306	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	1,125 @ $175.00	$197K	−1.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	56,807	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	573 @ $171.31	$98K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	285,185	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	568 @ $167.15	$95K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	282,573	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	438 @ $173.14	$76K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	219,250	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	418 @ $174.02	$73K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	218,223	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	339 @ $167.99	$57K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	282,234	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	281 @ $172.01	$48K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	219,693	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	264 @ $175.76	$46K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	285,758	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	242 @ $175.10	$42K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	218,776	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	194 @ $165.96	$32K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	282,017	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	150 @ $169.09	$25K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	281,867	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	117 @ $171.31	$20K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	218,659	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	116 @ $167.15	$19K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	219,040	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	107 @ $170.05	$18K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	288,165	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	88 @ $165.08	$15K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	279,218	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	69 @ $167.99	$12K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	220,005	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	54 @ $175.76	$9K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	219,196	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	40 @ $165.96	$7K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	219,156	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	31 @ $169.09	$5K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	219,974	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	22 @ $170.05	$4K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	219,018	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	23 @ $162.05	$4K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	282,211	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	18 @ $165.08	$3K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	218,641	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	5 @ $162.05	$810	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	219,688	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-14	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	4,600 @ $162.38	$747K	−2.0% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	221,546	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	1,472 @ $163.22	$240K	−0.7% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	220,074	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	1,165 @ $164.29	$191K	−0.5% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	226,526	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	492 @ $162.38	$80K	−0.8% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	58,239	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	231 @ $165.15	$38K	−0.1% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	226,295	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	157 @ $163.22	$26K	−0.3% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	58,082	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	125 @ $166.40	$21K	−0.1% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	226,170	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	125 @ $164.29	$21K	−0.2% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	57,957	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	25 @ $165.15	$4K	−0.0% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	57,932	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	24 @ $167.29	$4K	−0.0% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	226,146	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	13 @ $166.40	$2K	−0.0% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	58,734	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	3 @ $167.29	$502	−0.0% of holding	+19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	58,731	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-13	LIU GENE	officer	Sale	737 @ $165.00	$122K	−1.2% of holding	+18.3%	not yet — horizon still open	58,747	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-12	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $89.71	$269K	−1.3% of holding	+1.6%	not yet — horizon still open	227,691	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-11	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	1,432 @ $88.79	$127K	−0.6% of holding	−2.3%	not yet — horizon still open	230,691	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	1,813 @ $92.79	$168K	−0.8% of holding	+1.5%	not yet — horizon still open	232,123	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-09	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	1,454 @ $95.35	$139K	−0.6% of holding	−9.8%	not yet — horizon still open	233,936	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-08	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	1,451 @ $98.03	$142K	−0.6% of holding	−9.3%	not yet — horizon still open	235,390	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	5,440 @ $86.59	$471K	−1.8% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	291,281	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	1,223 @ $86.59	$106K	−0.5% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	237,067	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	977 @ $87.17	$85K	−0.3% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	288,836	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	659 @ $89.23	$59K	−0.2% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	290,596	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	564 @ $91.38	$52K	−0.2% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	288,272	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	389 @ $90.29	$35K	−0.1% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	296,721	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	358 @ $92.53	$33K	−0.1% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	289,813	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	273 @ $88.23	$24K	−0.1% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	290,171	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	220 @ $87.17	$19K	−0.1% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	236,847	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Sale	152 @ $93.39	$14K	−0.1% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	290,444	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	148 @ $89.23	$13K	−0.1% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	238,558	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	127 @ $91.38	$12K	−0.1% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	238,290	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	87 @ $90.29	$8K	−0.0% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	238,740	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Sale	80 @ $92.53	$7K	−0.0% of holding	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	238,417	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

3 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-23	DUFFY BRIAN	officer	Award / grant	121,512	245,844	Form 4
2026-04-02	CHUONG JAMES	officer	Award / grant	297,030	297,110	Form 4
2026-02-02	SABHARWAL ANIL	director	Award / grant	2,118	2,118	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i